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Trainer profile

J. R. Jenkins

877 runners in the last 5 seasons · 68 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday 92% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
45–877
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=877
145 (17%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=871 · 0.77 incl. margin
−185.52
£1 level stake
n=877 at SP · −21.2%
£399k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 877 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Marco Ghiani: 7.4% from 94
The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (11.4%, n=70) and Chelmsford City (AW) (8.7%, n=149) — all clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 115 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 4.1% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.27 and +118.00 to a £1 stake over 148 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Marco Ghiani rides 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (7.4% vs 5.1%, A/E 0.86). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 60 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Bunbury Cup Heritage Handicap at Newmarket (Jul 2008, £62,310). The stable star of the record: Billy Red (GB) — 17 wins from 130 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.1%−1.0
n=148 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +118.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.1
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.2%−0.9
n=24 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −16.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.5%+1.4
n=46 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
11.1%
n=18 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −13.42
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.7%−2.4
n=184 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −25.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Wolverhampton (AW) 11.4% vs 5.1% · n=70
At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 5.1% · n=115
On last-time-out winners 11.1% vs 5.1% · n=45
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 5.1% · n=60
With C&D winners 8.8% vs 5.1% · n=182
At Chelmsford City (AW) 8.7% vs 5.1% · n=149
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 807 44 5.5% −136.52
Hurdle 62 1 1.6% −41.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 534 35 6.6% −56.35
Good 126 2 1.6% −97.00
Good to Firm 110 4 3.6% −80.50
Good to Soft 44 1 2.3% −38.00
Soft 43 3 7% +106.33
Heavy 16 0 0% −16.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Chelmsford City (AW) 149 13 8.7% −6.80
Lingfield (AW) 123 9 7.3% +74.33
Southwell (AW) 115 0 0% −115.00
Yarmouth 90 2 2.2% −78.17
Kempton (AW) 71 5 7% +10.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 70 8 11.4% −12.88
Leicester 32 1 3.1% +94.00
Huntingdon 31 1 3.2% −10.00
Windsor 28 2 7.1% −18.00
Lingfield 24 1 4.2% −12.00
Nottingham 24 1 4.2% −16.00
Bath 13 1 7.7% −7.00
Brighton 11 0 0% −11.00
Doncaster 10 0 0% −10.00
Southwell 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 619 36 5.8% −35.35
Class 5 180 7 3.9% −85.17
Class 4 71 2 2.8% −58.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 25 2 8% 0.34 −20.42
2nd–3rd fav 99 19 19.2% 1.18 −7.60
4th–6th fav 249 13 5.2% 0.71 −80.50
7th+ in betting 504 11 2.2% 1.03 −77.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB) 70 5 16 15 Oct 26
Bang On The Bell (GB) 68 10 28 19 May 26
Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) 66 8 22 14 Jul 26
Sunset In Paris (IRE)from Richard Hughes 47 6 9 27 Aug 26
No News (IRE)from Richard Hughes 40 2 7 28 Sep 26
Iftikhaar (IRE)from David Simcock 34 1 7 27 Aug 26
Tilsworth Max (GB) 32 1 7 28 Sep 26
Tilsworth Turf (GB) 30 2 4 26 Oct 26
Company Minx (IRE)from Clive Cox 27 2 5 4 Apr 25
Dr Ali (IRE)from G M Lyons 23 2 7 24 Oct 26
Chloellie (GB) 23 0 5 5 Nov 23
Charlie My Boy (IRE) 19 1 2 6 Oct 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 68 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Butler (2) and Richard Hughes (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 58 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
5697434970010
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMarco Ghiani
11% of all rides
7.4% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Marco Ghiani 94 7 7.4% −9.80
Jonny Peate 92 3 3.3% −60.75
Clifford Lee 80 4 5% −57.67
Lewis Edmunds 66 6 9.1% −10.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
418
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£2.52m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 39 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Little White Lie (IRE) — Ladbrokes Bunbury Cup Heritage Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2008 · Class 2
£62,310
Fruit of Glory (GB) — Slatch Farm Stud Flying Fillies' Stakes (Listed) Pontefract · Aug 2005 · Listed
£29,000
Little White Lie (IRE) — Jeep Mile Handicap Epsom Downs · Jun 2008 · Class 2
£18,693
Notable horses
Billy Red (GB) Sir Rodneyredblood (GB) Hollow Jo (GB) Go Amwell (GB) Pretty Bubbles (GB) Bang On The Bell (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Heeraat (IRE) 11.9% · 10–84
Progeny have won 8% of 2,997 runs since 2008 (194 horses).
Ardad (IRE) 6.2% · 5–81
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,528 runs since 2008 (351 horses).
Roderic O'connor (IRE) 12.1% · 8–66
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,341 runs since 2008 (166 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.5% from 126. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.7% from 224. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.3% from 143.
Outstrip (GB) 3.3% · 2–60
Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,280 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 634. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.7% from 263.
Camelot (GB) 11.5% · 6–52
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,701 runs since 2008 (755 horses).
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 5% · 2–40
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,378 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,925 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,925 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Tilsworth Boe (GB)J: Oliver Carmichael Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 150/1
28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Roccobear (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 3rd 6/1
28 Oct 26 Huntingdon Celine Man (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 250/1
26 Oct 26 Redcar Tilsworth Turf (GB)J: Lauren Young Thanks And See You Next Season Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 50/1
24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dr Ali (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 18/1
22 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) For Ever Hopefull (IRE)J: Cam Hardie Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 18/1
20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Kohana Girl (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Graham & Alison's 15th Wedding Aniversary Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 18/1
17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Silent Sadhu (GB)J: Cam Hardie Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 22/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB)J: Jonny Peate Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1
13 Oct 26 Southwell Celine Man (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 100/1
07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) For Ever Hopefull (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 11th 80/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jungle Dance (IRE)J: Clifford Lee bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 20/1
06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Kohana Girl (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani bettingsites.co.uk Racing Offers Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 16/1
06 Oct 26 Huntingdon Charlie My Boy (IRE)J: Jack Quinlan 2026/2027 Annual Badges Now On Sale At Huntingdon Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 14/1
05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Dr Ali (IRE)J: Jonny Peate Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 10/1
05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Tilsworth Emma (GB)J: Oliver Carmichael Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 200/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Roccobear (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/1
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Tilsworth Max (GB)J: Jonny Peate Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 7/2
28 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) No News (IRE)J: Lewis Edmunds Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 28/1
24 Sep 26 Pontefract Tilsworth Turf (GB)J: Oliver Carmichael ROA Shared Ownership Day Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J. R. Jenkins's strike rate?
J. R. Jenkins has won 45 of 877 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J. R. Jenkins do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 70 runners (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J. R. Jenkins?
Marco Ghiani, with 94 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (7.4%).
Is J. R. Jenkins in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J. R. Jenkins's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 871 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).