What is Nick Gifford's strike rate?

Nick Gifford has won 42 of 402 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nick Gifford do best at?

Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 runners (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nick Gifford?

James Davies, with 287 runners since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (12.2%).

Is Nick Gifford in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nick Gifford's Fair A/E?

1.17, from 401 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nick Gifford

402 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

42–402

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=402

92 (23%)

Placed

1.17

Fair A/E

n=401 · 1.02 incl. margin

−87.31

£1 level stake

n=402 at SP · −21.7%

£386k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 402 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec James Davies: 12.2% from 287

The read

Debutants struggle at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.65). James Davies rides 71% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.2%, A/E 1.28) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (17.2%, n=145) and over 2m5f – 3m (16.9%, n=71). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Stan James Christmas Hurdle at Kempton (Dec 2007, £62,722). The stable star of the record: Fairway Freddy (IRE) — 7 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.3%−1.1

n=108 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −39.42

New recruits · first run for the yard

33.3%+22.9

n=3 · A/E 4.92 · £1 +4.50

Debutants · first career start

3.1%−7.3

n=32 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −21.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−10.4

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

16.7%+6.3

n=6 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

29.6%

n=27 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −7.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−4.6

n=69 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −41.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−10.4

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 33.3% vs 10.4% · n=42

In Chase races 17.2% vs 10.4% · n=145

Over 2m5f – 3m 16.9% vs 10.4% · n=71

With horses switching code 3.6% vs 10.4% · n=55

With debutants 3.1% vs 10.4% · n=32

Off a 31-60-day break 15.2% vs 10.4% · n=112

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 186 13 7% −82.80

Chase 145 25 17.2% +41.91

NH Flat 52 4 7.7% −27.42

Flat 19 0 0% −19.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 148 16 10.8% −4.00

Good to Soft 118 8 6.8% −59.22

Soft 96 12 12.5% −21.97

Heavy 19 5 26.3% +13.38

Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% −5.50

Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Plumpton 96 11 11.5% −17.00

Fontwell 59 8 13.6% +4.50

Lingfield 30 4 13.3% −15.17

Warwick 26 4 15.4% +11.50

Huntingdon 24 3 12.5% −9.67

Fakenham 17 2 11.8% −6.17

Chepstow 15 1 6.7% −4.00

Newbury 15 0 0% −15.00

Wincanton 12 0 0% −12.00

Kempton 11 0 0% −11.00

Exeter 11 0 0% −11.00

Ascot 11 0 0% −11.00

Lingfield (AW) 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Sandown 8 0 0% −8.00

Leicester 7 0 0% −7.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 179 24 13.4% −15.05

Class 4 159 14 8.8% −28.64

Class 3 38 4 10.5% −17.62

Class 2 19 0 0% −19.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 6 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 9 31% 1.02 −3.72

2nd–3rd fav 72 15 20.8% 1.26 +2.91

4th–6th fav 152 18 11.8% 1.58 +62.50

7th+ in betting 149 0 0% 0.00 −149.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

77.3% completed · 331 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 145 72.4% 4 1 35 0 0

Hurdle 186 81.2% 6 0 29 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Eliza Dolittle (IRE) 24 3 7 19 Oct 26

River Tyne (GB)from Dan Skelton 24 3 14 7 May 25

Northern Poet (IRE) 19 6 7 4 May 26

Koenigsstern (IRE) 17 1 7 27 Mar 26

Fairway Freddy (IRE) 17 2 3 12 May 24

Grand Sabre (GB) 13 1 1 20 May 26

Aworkinprogress (IRE) 13 7 7 14 Mar 26

Ami Bondhu (FR) 13 1 3 23 Feb 26

Low Expectations (IRE)from Paul Nolan 12 3 3 29 Mar 26

My Bad Lucy (GB) 12 2 2 2 Mar 25

Drumheller (IRE) 11 0 1 6 May 26

Belargus (FR)from P Bary 11 0 2 1 Jun 25

All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 49 had their first archived run for this yard.

2 have since run for another yard; 54 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

61081190000191316

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Davies

71% of all rides
12.2% SR · A/E 1.28

RiderRWSR£1

James Davies 287 35 12.2% −31.81

Tabitha Worsley 58 5 8.6% −6.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

241

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.67m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Straw Bear (USA) — Stan James Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Kempton · Dec 2007 · Class 1

£62,722

Straw Bear (USA) — Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Newcastle · Nov 2006 · Grade 1

£45,072

Straw Bear (USA) — Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Wincanton · Feb 2007 · Class 1

£39,914

Notable horses

Fairway Freddy (IRE) Northern Poet (IRE) Aworkinprogress (IRE) Straw Bear (USA) Brown Bear (IRE) Fairy Rath (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,122 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 378.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 24.1% · 7–29

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,815 runs since 2008 (679 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Califet (FR) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,788 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Geordieland (FR) 12.5% · 3–24

Progeny have won 11.8% of 712 runs since 2008 (71 horses).

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–23

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Sans Frontieres (IRE) 13% · 3–23

Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,252 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.2% from 183.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,302 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,302 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Graeme The Grey (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley SIS Handicap Hurdle Race (For The Josh Gifford Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 8/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Gone Country (IRE)J: Tom Cannon SIS Handicap Hurdle Race (For The Josh Gifford Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/4F

20 May 26 Warwick Grand Sabre (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Logicor Grand Neighsional Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 10/1

14 May 26 Fontwell Gone Country (IRE)J: James Davies Southern Cranes And Access Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1

06 May 26 Fontwell Drumheller (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran PU 20/1

04 May 26 Fakenham Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Break Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

04 May 26 Fakenham Northern Poet (IRE)J: James Davies Chestnut Group Norfolk National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 29f · Good · 10 ran PU 18/1

24 Apr 26 Fontwell Approaching Storm (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley V2 Radio Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Apr 26 Plumpton Northern Poet (IRE)J: James Davies Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 18/1

08 Apr 26 Fontwell Graeme The Grey (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 50/1

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley BetGoodwin Master Trainer Chris Gordon Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Approaching Storm (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley BetGoodwin Free Bet Nose Losers Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 50/1

02 Apr 26 Chepstow Touquet (FR)J: James Davies South West Rail Solutions Ltd Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 3/1

29 Mar 26 Ascot Low Expectations (IRE)J: James Davies Barrie Wells Box4Kids Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 11/1

27 Mar 26 Fontwell Koenigsstern (IRE)J: James Davies betstgeorge.com With Daily St George Specials Chase Series Final (Handicap Chase) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

27 Mar 26 Fontwell Graeme The Grey (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley England To Win Tonight 20/1 betstgeorge.com Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1

27 Mar 26 Fontwell Willshebe Court (IRE)J: James Davies Bet 30 Get 5 Weekly betstgeorge.com Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 3 ran PU 40/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick Drumheller (IRE)J: James Davies Best Odds Guaranteed At Betano Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 18/1

23 Mar 26 Kempton Gone Country (IRE)J: James Davies Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Gifford's strike rate?: Nick Gifford has won 42 of 402 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nick Gifford do best at?: Fontwell by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 runners (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nick Gifford?: James Davies, with 287 runners since 2022 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 35 (12.2%).
Is Nick Gifford in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nick Gifford's Fair A/E?: 1.17, from 401 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.