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Trainer profile

Francois Monfort

933 runners in the last 5 seasons · 231 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Non-runners: 0.9% of 223 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.
Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
79–933
Wins / Runs
8.5%
Strike rate
n=933
244 (26%)
Placed
1.00
n=931 · 0.83 incl. margin
−6.50
£1 level stake
n=931 at SP · −0.7%
£1.65m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 190 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 933 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 23.3% when favourite M Guyon: 12.3% from 195 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 4% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.52). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −141.70 to a £1 stake over 282 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. M Guyon rides 21% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 8.5%, A/E 0.96). The yard also reads well on Heavy going (13.6%, n=66). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.1% over 145 runners, 4.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.59 across 210 runners (4.3% strike, −135.30 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sumbe Grand Handicap at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2026, £36,000). The stable star of the record: Homo Deus (FR) — 6 wins from 17 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%−2.8
n=282 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −141.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
4%−4.5
n=101 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −53.80
Debutants · first career start
5.8%−2.7
n=103 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +16.70
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7%−1.5
n=115 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −7.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.4%−1.1
n=27 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +7.50
When favourite
23.3%
n=60 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −16.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.6%−0.9
n=171 · A/E 0.95 · £1 +36.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
26.3%+17.8
n=19 · A/E 2.51 · £1 +62.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Julien Guillochon 0% vs 8.5% · n=34
With Theo Bachelot 2.4% vs 8.5% · n=42
Off a 61-180-day break 4.3% vs 8.5% · n=210
On Good to Soft going 4.1% vs 8.5% · n=145
On Heavy going 13.6% vs 8.5% · n=66
With new recruits 4% vs 8.5% · n=101
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 500 43 8.6% +49.20
Soft 168 16 9.5% +48.50
Good to Soft 145 6 4.1% −109.00
Heavy 66 9 13.6% +21.10
Good 53 5 9.4% −16.30
Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 356 31 8.7% +21.60
Chantilly (FR) 237 17 7.2% +7.30
Saint-Cloud (FR) 146 17 11.6% +2.80
Longchamp (FR) 91 5 5.5% −43.90
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 12 1 8.3% −10.00
Vichy (FR) 10 2 20% −1.20
Toulouse (FR) 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Le Mans (FR) 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Compiegne (FR) 6 1 16.7% +35.00
Craon (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 22 6 27.3% +63.70
Class 4 20 3 15% −1.00
Class 3 15 0 0% −15.00
Class 2 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 68 14 20.6% 0.90 −24.90
2nd–3rd fav 192 32 16.7% 1.19 −5.20
4th–6th fav 283 15 5.3% 0.66 −139.70
7th+ in betting 388 18 4.6% 1.28 +163.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Viou (FR) 27 3 9 16 Aug 25
Homo Deus (FR)from R Chotard 17 6 8 8 Apr 26
Tantomile (FR)then N Caullery 16 2 9 3 Jul 25
Seona (FR) 15 1 6 20 Sep 26
Sim Card (FR)from Michael Bell · then N Caullery 15 4 8 12 Jun 25
Testipedro (FR) 14 2 6 22 Sep 26
My Queen (FR)then Pierre Menard 14 2 6 10 Jan 26
Full Colour (FR) 13 1 3 23 Dec 24
Catherine's Gift (IRE)from Harry Charlton 12 1 4 14 Oct 26
Firstman (FR)from Mrs C O'Leary 12 1 3 9 Jan 26
Estacity (FR) 12 0 3 27 Oct 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 231 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 33 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Kevin Philippart De Foy (2) and N Caullery (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for N Caullery (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 13
Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
87895777914912
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderM Guyon
21% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 0.96
RiderRWSR£1
M Guyon 195 24 12.3% −51.80
Aurelien Lemaitre 94 9 9.6% +40.30
Clement Lecoeuvre 73 6 8.2% −6.80
Antoine Subias 63 7 11.1% +0.50
Tony Piccone 61 6 9.8% −9.90
Anthony Crastus 54 6 11.1% +5.20
Theo Bachelot 42 1 2.4% −36.20
Julien Guillochon 34 0 0% −34.00
Warren Levesque 30 3 10% +20.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→
87
Archived wins
6
Pattern / graded wins
£1.95m
Prize money
2023
Best season · 21 wins
Prince Des Villes (FR) — Sumbe Grand Handicap Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 1
£36,000
Ateem (FR) — Grand Prix du Departement 06 - Defi du Galop 2021 () (4yo+) (Turf) Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) · Feb 2021 · Listed
£31,250
Homo Deus (FR) — Prix le Parisien - Prix Rieussec (Handicap) (3yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2023
£30,973

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
City Light (FR) 5.1% · 2–39
Progeny have won 12.9% of 945 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.2% from 309. Weakest on Soft going: 9.9% from 212. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 16% from 413. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 178.
Romanised (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 8.7% of 610 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 204. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 137.
George Vancouver (USA) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,172 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.
Recorder (GB) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 5.5% of 902 runs since 2008 (124 horses).
Seahenge (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 7.5% of 544 runs since 2008 (91 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 10.5% from 133.
Toronado (IRE) 18.2% · 4–22
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,855 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 191. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,133 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,133 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2021 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Pau (FR) Sfusato (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix D'artigueloutan10f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 3rd 8/1
16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Indy (FR)J: Jerome Moutard Prix Des Biches11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 20/1
09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Woody Frangipani (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Charles LaffitteClass 1 · 10f · Very Soft · 12 ran 1st 40/1
05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Catherine's Gift (IRE)J: Jd Manceau Prix Capitaine Riquet - Handicap ChallengeClass 4 · 12.5f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 3/1F
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Ferdy (FR)J: Mme Cecilia Poirier Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 66/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Testiriver (FR)J: Julien Guillochon Prix D'aigne9.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 22/1
05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Testana (FR)J: Mme Cecilia Poirier Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-MansClass 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 40/1
02 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) La Guerche (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Vert ClosClass 3 · 12.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 14th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francois Monfort's strike rate?
Francois Monfort has won 79 of 933 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Francois Monfort do best at?
Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 17 wins from 146 runners (11.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Francois Monfort?
M Guyon, with 195 runners since 2022 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (12.3%).
Is Francois Monfort in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Francois Monfort's Fair A/E?
1.00, from 931 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).