Martin Protti
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21). Rides mostly for H A Pantall — 63% of rides in the window. The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.49). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 22 rides in the last 14 days (4.5%, 7.3pts below the 11.8% baseline). H A Pantall supplies 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.7%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Soft going (16.1%, n=62) and over 6f – 7f (15.8%, n=38). The record reads poorly on Good going — 3% over 33 rides, 8.8pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2025→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 187 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 187 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 September 2025 to 12 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Martin Protti's strike rate?
- Martin Protti has won 22 of 187 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.8% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Martin Protti ride most for?
- H A Pantall, with 117 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (13.7%).
- Is Martin Protti in form?
- In the last 14 days: 22 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.5%. That is below the baseline of 11.8% since 2008.
- What is Martin Protti's Fair A/E?
- 1.21, from 186 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.