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Jockey profile

Matthew Chadwick

128 rides in the lifetime window · 94 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 41 days ago 99% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–128
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=128
25 (20%)
Placed
0.92
Fair A/E
n=76 · 0.78 incl. margin
−50.20
£1 level stake
n=76 at SP · −66.1%
£920k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them.

Deterministic profile computed from 128 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance First rides: 4.3%
The read

It is weakest at Happy Valley (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (7.8%, n=51). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 0% over 38 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.3%+0.4
n=94 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −38.20
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−3.9
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−3.9
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
100%
n=1 · A/E 2.02 · £1 +0.80
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−3.9
n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going 7.8% vs 3.9% · n=51
Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 3.9% · n=38
With debutants 0% vs 3.9% · n=37
At Happy Valley 0% vs 3.9% · n=31
At Sha Tin (HK) 1.5% vs 3.9% · n=67
Over 6f – 7f 6.3% vs 3.9% · n=64
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 127 5 3.9% −50.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 56 1 1.8% −37.20
Good to Firm 51 4 7.8% +2.00
Good to Soft 12 0 0% −11.00
Standard (AW) 7 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sha Tin (HK) 67 1 1.5% −32.00
Happy Valley 31 0 0% −15.00
Ascot 10 1 10% −3.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Folkestone 3 2 66.7% +14.00
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Nottingham 1 0 0% −1.00
Sandown 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Ffos Las 1 1 100% +0.80
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Goodwood 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 28 0 0% −27.00
Class 3 18 0 0% −15.00
Class 5 16 1 6.3% −13.20
Class 2 10 1 10% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 6 2 2 100% +15.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.50 −0.20
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 0.97 +0.50
4th–6th fav 18 2 11.1% 1.38 −2.50
7th+ in betting 48 0 0% 0.00 −48.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lightning Ace (NZ) 4 0 0 4 Oct 26
Sing Dragon (AUS) 3 1 1 4 Oct 26
View All Things (AUS) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
M M Concord (AUS) 3 0 0 27 Sep 26
Russet Glow (AUS) 3 0 0 13 Sep 26
Desert Strike (GB) 3 1 1 9 Aug 12
Dragon Air Force (NZ) 2 0 1 4 Oct 26
Magic Control (AUS) 2 0 1 1 Oct 26
Circuit Marshal (AUS) 2 0 0 1 Oct 26
All Out For Six (SAF) 2 0 0 27 Sep 26
Pakistan Legacy (AUS) 2 0 1 27 Sep 26
Windlord (GB) 2 0 1 23 Sep 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 94 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
····008930··
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
W K Mo 25 0 0% −9.00
Charles Hills 15 3 20% +3.80
C H Yip 9 0 0% −7.00
M Newnham 9 0 0% −5.00
W Y So 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Y S Tsui 9 0 0% −1.00
K L Man 6 0 0% −4.00
Jamie Richards 6 0 0% −2.00
A S Cruz 5 0 0% −3.00
P F Yiu 4 0 0% −1.00
Douglas Whyte 3 0 0% −2.00
K W Lui 2 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
5
Archived wins
£920k
Prize money
2012
Best season · 4 wins
Sing Dragon (AUS) — Albert Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026
£229,041
Mince (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint Handicap Ascot · Aug 2012 · Class 2
£14,754
Red Explorer (USA) — 32red.com Maiden Stakes Ffos Las · Jul 2012 · Class 5
£2,264
Notable horses
Sing Dragon (AUS) Desert Strike (GB) Complexity (GB) Mince (GB) Red Explorer (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Ace High (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10% of 10 runs since 2026 (4 horses). A small sample.
Pride Of Dubai (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.1% of 1,163 runs since 2020 (92 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.6% from 386. Weakest on Soft going: 8.3% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 17% from 200.
Capitalist (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2023 (35 horses).
Headwater (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 4.8% of 21 runs since 2026 (9 horses). A small sample.
All Too Hard (AUS) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 11.5% of 52 runs since 2023 (21 horses).
Bertolini (USA) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 128 · newest first

The latest 50 of 128 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2012 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Radiant Path (AUS)T: W K Mo Yau Kom Tau Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Dragon Air Force (NZ)T: P F Yiu Shek Wai Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Kingman Reef (AUS)T: J Size Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) View All Things (AUS)T: W K Mo The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lightning Ace (NZ)T: W K Mo Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Sing Dragon (AUS)T: W Y So Muk Min Ha Handicap8f · Standard · 8 ran 6th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Viva Taste (AUS)T: Jimmy Ting Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Natural Numbers (AUS)T: Y S Tsui Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lucky Bid (AUS)T: Jamie Richards Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) My Wyndfall (NZ)T: Jamie Richards Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Fast Speed (GB)T: Y S Tsui Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Diamond Sparkle (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Magic Control (AUS)T: W K Mo The National Day Cup (Handicap)5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Circuit Marshal (AUS)T: Mark Newnham Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Pakistan Legacy (AUS)T: W Y So Magpie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) All Out For Six (SAF)T: Y S Tsui Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) M M Concord (AUS)T: W K Mo Swallow Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Flying Ting Lok (AUS)T: Y S Tsui Parrot Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Swagger Bro (AUS)T: Jamie Richards Woodpecker Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Little Monster (AUS)T: W K Mo Peacock Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Chadwick's strike rate?
Matthew Chadwick has won 5 of 128 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Chadwick do best at?
Sha Tin (HK) by strike rate: 1 wins from 67 rides (1.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Matthew Chadwick's Fair A/E?
0.92, from 76 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).