Skip to content
Trainer profile

Douglas Whyte

114 runners in the last 5 seasons · 50 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 16 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–114
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=114
20 (18%)
Placed
0.29
Fair A/E
n=52 · 0.24 incl. margin
−45.70
£1 level stake
n=52 at SP · −87.9%
£883k
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 4% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (39 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 114 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.7%
The read

The record is strongest at Happy Valley (8.5%, n=47), clear of the yard's 3.5% baseline. It is weakest at Sha Tin (0% over 67 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 7.7% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well on Good going (6.8%, n=59). The record reads poorly on Good to Firm going — 0% over 44 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.46 across 66 runners (6.1% strike, −23.70 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.7%+4.2
n=39 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
8.3%+4.8
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
2.6%−0.9
n=38 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −20.70
First-time headgear · true-first definition
3.4%−0.1
n=29 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −15.70
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Happy Valley 8.5% vs 3.5% · n=47
At Sha Tin 0% vs 3.5% · n=67
On Good going 6.8% vs 3.5% · n=59
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 3.5% · n=44
Over 6f – 7f 6.1% vs 3.5% · n=66
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 59 4 6.8% −25.70
Good to Firm 44 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sha Tin 67 0 0% −31.00
Happy Valley 47 4 8.5% −14.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 27 1 3.7% −20.70
Class 3 14 0 0% −8.00
Class 5 9 0 0% −6.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 1 8.3% 0.57 −5.70
4th–6th fav 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
7th+ in betting 29 0 0% 0.00 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Supreme Winner (AUS) 5 0 1 4 Oct 26
Kolachi (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 4 0 0 4 Oct 26
Ten Loves (IRE) 4 0 0 4 Oct 26
Harmony Fire (AUS) 4 0 2 23 Sep 26
Red Elegance (AUS) 4 0 1 16 Sep 26
Ocean Impact (NZ) 4 0 0 16 Sep 26
Runjeet (AUS) 4 0 0 16 Sep 26
Conrad The Great (AUS) 4 0 0 9 Sep 26
Celestial Hero (AUS) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
Riding High (AUS) 3 0 2 1 Oct 26
Prince Alex (AUS) 3 0 0 27 Sep 26
Navas G (SAF) 3 0 1 27 Sep 26
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J P Murtagh (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
····034·60··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
L Hewitson 18 0 0% −8.00
K Teetan 18 1 5.6% −13.00
R Kingscote 11 0 0% −2.00
H Bowman 9 0 0% −6.00
Brenton Avdulla 8 0 0% −4.00
Zac Purton 7 3 42.9% +3.30
Alexis Badel 7 0 0% −5.00
L J Ferraris 6 0 0% −2.00
Ethan Brown 5 0 0% −2.00
James Orman 4 0 0% −2.00
Harry Bentley 3 0 0% −1.00
Matthew Chadwick 3 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
4
Archived wins
£883k
Prize money
2026
Best season · 4 wins
Wings Of War (IRE) — Penalty Shootout Handicap Happy Valley · Jul 2026
£150,470
Live Wire (AUS) — The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) Happy Valley (HK) · Sep 2026
£94,359
Young Arrow (AUS) — Lido Handicap Happy Valley (HK) · Sep 2026
£94,359
Notable horses
Live Wire (AUS) Young Arrow (AUS) Wings Of War (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Deep Field (AUS) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2008 (41 horses).
Toronado (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.
Epaulette (AUS) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.1% of 3,066 runs since 2008 (221 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4% from 173. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 222.
Mehmas (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,107 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
Brazen Beau (AUS) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,472 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
Camelot (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,675 runs since 2008 (752 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 114 · newest first

The latest 50 of 114 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Celestial Hero (AUS)J: Zac Purton Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Supreme Winner (AUS)J: Alexis Badel Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Ten Loves (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Kolachi (IRE)J: M L Yeung Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Riding High (AUS)J: Lyle Hewitson Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Celestial Zous (AUS)J: Alexis Badel Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 9th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Silvery Knight (FR)J: Lyle Hewitson Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Fortune Kingo (AUS)J: Jerry Chau Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Violet Star (FR)J: Luke Ferraris Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Hot Air Ballon (AUS)J: Brenton Avdulla Tailorbird Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Show Me Your Love (IRE)J: Lyle Hewitson Parrot Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 11th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Prince Alex (AUS)J: Lyle Hewitson Woodpecker Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Navas G (SAF)J: Nichola Yuen Peacock Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Prime Success (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote Kestrel Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Harmony Fire (AUS)J: Britney Wong Island Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran — —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Ivy League (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap)8f · Good · 12 ran — —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Invictus (NZ)J: James Orman Deep Water Bay Handicap6f · Good · 10 ran 4th —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Find My Love (GB)J: M L Yeung Deep Water Bay Handicap6f · Good · 12 ran — —
23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Kolachi (IRE)J: K C Leung Nam Fung Handicap8f · Good · 12 ran — —
16 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Red Elegance (AUS)J: Matthew Chadwick Repulse Bay Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Douglas Whyte's strike rate?
Douglas Whyte has won 4 of 114 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Douglas Whyte do best at?
Happy Valley by strike rate: 4 wins from 47 runners (8.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Douglas Whyte's Fair A/E?
0.29, from 52 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).