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Trainer profile

Jamie Richards

115 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 16 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
6–115
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=115
23 (20%)
Placed
0.75
n=45 · 0.61 incl. margin
−34.90
£1 level stake
n=45 at SP · −77.6%
£1.06m
Prize money (window)
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them.

Deterministic profile computed from 115 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
The read

The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 1.4% over 72 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.47 across 57 runners (7% strike, −24.20 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.4%+2.2
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−5.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
4.4%−0.8
n=45 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −15.90
First-time headgear · true-first definition
6.1%+0.9
n=33 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −10.90
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.2
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 6f – 7f 1.4% vs 5.2% · n=72
On Good going 7% vs 5.2% · n=57 · A/E 0.47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 57 4 7% −24.20
Good to Firm 47 2 4.3% −4.70
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sha Tin 73 3 4.1% −19.90
Happy Valley 42 3 7.1% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 29 1 3.4% −22.70
Class 3 18 1 5.6% −4.20
Class 5 8 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 2 33.3% 1.95 +4.10
4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
7th+ in betting 32 0 0% 0.00 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Romantic Fantasy (IRE) 5 1 1 1 Oct 26
Thunder Prince (AUS) 5 0 1 27 Sep 26
Dragon Four Seas (AUS) 5 0 0 16 Sep 26
Swagger Bro (AUS) 4 0 0 4 Oct 26
Big Return (AUS) 4 1 2 4 Oct 26
Groovy Feeling (AUS) 4 0 0 1 Oct 26
Von Baer (IRE)from Brian Meehan 4 0 1 27 Sep 26
Storming Dragon (AUS) 4 0 0 23 Sep 26
Mega Mastermind (AUS) 4 0 0 23 Sep 26
Happy Smile (NZ) 4 1 2 23 Sep 26
Goldentronicmighty (AUS) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
Well Enough (IRE)from John Ryan 3 0 0 4 Oct 26
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
····038·67··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Alexis Badel 21 2 9.5% −8.00
Brenton Avdulla 16 0 0% −5.00
M L Yeung 13 0 0% −6.00
James Orman 13 0 0% −5.00
Zac Purton 9 3 33.3% +6.10
Lyle Hewitson 7 0 0% −2.00
Matthew Chadwick 6 0 0% −2.00
Andrea Atzeni 5 0 0% −2.00
Hugh Bowman 4 0 0% −4.00
Britney Wong 3 0 0% —
Matthew Poon 3 0 0% —
H T Mo 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→
6
Archived wins
£1.06m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 6 wins
Big Return (AUS) — The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap) Sha Tin (HK) · Oct 2026
£165,329
Chicken Dinner (NZ) — Sapphire Handicap (Course A) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jun 2026 · Class 3
£99,295
Happy Smile (NZ) — The Hong Kong Country Club Challenge Cup (handicap) Happy Valley (HK) · Sep 2026
£94,359

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Capitalist (AUS) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Hellbent (AUS) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 11.9% of 42 runs since 2008 (17 horses).
Star Turn (AUS) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 4.2% of 24 runs since 2008 (11 horses). A small sample.
Darci Brahma (NZ) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 4.3% of 23 runs since 2008 (10 horses). A small sample.
Deep Field (AUS) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.6% of 105 runs since 2008 (41 horses).
Charm Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,806 runs since 2008 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 115 · newest first

The latest 50 of 115 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lahore (AUS)J: Alexis Badel Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —
04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Well Enough (IRE)J: M L Yeung Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Sonic Liner (AUS)J: Britney Wong Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Samarkand (NZ)J: Lyle Hewitson Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —
01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Red Sea (NZ)J: Andrea Atzeni Shanghai Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 10th —
27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Big Return (AUS)J: Lyle Hewitson Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jamie Richards's strike rate?
Jamie Richards has won 6 of 115 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jamie Richards do best at?
Happy Valley by strike rate: 3 wins from 42 runners (7.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Jamie Richards's Fair A/E?
0.75, from 45 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).