What is Matthew Lawson's strike rate?

Matthew Lawson has won 45 of 682 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matthew Lawson do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 rides (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Matthew Lawson ride most for?

Jonathan Portman, with 96 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.3%).

What is Matthew Lawson's Fair A/E?

0.83, from 680 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Matthew Lawson

682 rides in the lifetime window · 407 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

45–682

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=682

133 (20%)

Placed

0.83

Fair A/E

n=680 · 0.71 incl. margin

−183.79

£1 level stake

n=682 at SP · −26.9%

£299k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.83). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (54 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 682 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Sep Jonathan Portman: 6.3% from 96 LTO winners: 13% Claiming: 6.8%

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (11.1%, n=36), clear of the rider's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Southwell (AW) (0% over 41 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13% (n=54, Fair A/E 0.82). Jonathan Portman supplied 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 0.89). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.3%, n=65) and on Firm going (13.3%, n=30). Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.6%+0.0

n=407 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −85.55

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13%+6.4

n=54 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −17.99

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.6%+0.0

n=91 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −17.50

When favourite

35.7%

n=28 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −0.04

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.8%+0.2

n=573 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −128.54

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.7%−1.9

n=128 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −30.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.6

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13% vs 6.6% · n=54

At Southwell (AW) 0% vs 6.6% · n=41

Off a 0-7-day break 12.3% vs 6.6% · n=65

On Firm going 13.3% vs 6.6% · n=30

With Robin Bastiman 2% vs 6.6% · n=49

At Bath 11.1% vs 6.6% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 219 10 4.6% −154.47

Good to Firm 160 11 6.9% −78.74

Good 143 10 7% +36.00

Good to Soft 59 4 6.8% −27.00

Soft 55 4 7.3% +3.25

Firm 30 4 13.3% +30.67

Heavy 16 2 12.5% +6.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 73 3 4.1% −50.50

Kempton (AW) 64 3 4.7% −36.50

Southwell (AW) 41 0 0% −41.00

Bath 36 4 11.1% +24.67

Lingfield (AW) 36 2 5.6% −27.00

Chepstow 30 2 6.7% −18.00

Windsor 28 1 3.6% −20.50

Newbury 22 0 0% −22.00

Warwick 21 2 9.5% +80.00

Ayr 20 0 0% −20.00

Salisbury 20 2 10% −3.00

Nottingham 19 3 15.8% +18.73

Doncaster 18 3 16.7% +20.75

Redcar 15 0 0% −15.00

Goodwood 15 1 6.7% −11.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 267 17 6.4% −68.00

Class 5 264 16 6.1% −85.71

Class 4 80 7 8.8% −18.08

Class 2 36 3 8.3% +1.00

Class 3 23 2 8.7% −1.00

Class 7 9 0 0% −9.00

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 37 12 32.4% 1.16 −2.79

2nd–3rd fav 115 8 7% 0.47 −62.50

4th–6th fav 215 14 6.5% 0.82 −70.50

7th+ in betting 315 11 3.5% 1.09 −48.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Daneside (IRE) 11 1 3 19 Dec 13

Regal Parade (GB) 11 2 3 19 Oct 13

Shropshire (IRE) 11 2 5 5 May 13

Comptonspirit (GB) 9 1 2 24 Jul 14

Tregereth (IRE) 8 1 2 19 Jul 14

You've Been Mowed (GB) 8 2 2 5 Sep 12

Only You Maggie (IRE) 8 1 3 8 Jun 12

Pose (IRE) 7 0 2 29 Oct 11

Play Street (GB) 6 1 1 10 Jul 14

Polar Express (GB) 6 0 0 3 Apr 14

Cool Macavity (IRE) 6 2 2 6 Jul 12

Frontline Phantom (IRE) 6 2 2 19 Sep 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 407 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

60124661089554

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJonathan Portman

14% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

Jonathan Portman 96 6 6.3% −21.00

Robin Bastiman 49 1 2% −28.00

Charles Hills 45 2 4.4% −31.00

Milton Bradley 39 4 10.3% +7.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

£299k

Prize money

2011

Best season · 17 wins

Regal Parade (GB) — Coral Sprint Trophy Handicap York · Oct 2012 · Class 2

£46,688

Regal Parade (GB) — Pertemps Network Conditions Stakes Haydock · May 2013 · Class 2

£12,450

Shropshire (IRE) — Cushman & Wakefield Handicap (For The John Travers Memorial Trophy) Ascot · Jul 2012 · Class 2

£9,960

Notable horses

Regal Parade (GB) Shropshire (IRE) You've Been Mowed (GB) Frontline Phantom (IRE) Cool Macavity (IRE) Troopingthecolour (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pivotal (GB) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

Cape Cross (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Shamardal (USA) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,413 runs since 2009 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,288. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,809 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Royal Applause (GB) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 682 · newest first

The latest 50 of 682 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 May 2008 to 21 July 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Jul 15 Wetherby Keep Up (GER)T: Saeed bin Suroor Racinguk Now Available 10 Per Day Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 11th 10/1

16 Jul 15 Leicester Storm Check (GB)T: Saeed bin Suroor Breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 10/1

10 Jul 15 York Super Kid (GB)T: Saeed bin Suroor Coopers Marquees Apprentice HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 5th 14/1

29 May 15 Newcastle Fly With Emirates (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Knight Frank Passionate About Property Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 4/1

06 May 15 Chelmsford City (AW) Beautiful Ending (GB)T: Saeed bin Suroor totequadpot Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 6/1

27 Apr 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Keep In Line (GER)T: Saeed bin Suroor Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 4/1

26 Apr 15 Wetherby Fly With Emirates (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor bet365 EBF Stallions Maiden Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 7/1

15 Apr 15 Beverley Ershaadaat (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Beverley Annual Badgeholders HandicapClass 5 · 7.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 7/2

28 Mar 15 Kempton (AW) Ershaadaat (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Molson Coors Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 6/1

30 Oct 14 Lingfield (AW) Fine View (USA)T: Saeed bin Suroor 32Red Casino/British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 5/1

24 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Army (GB)T: Saeed bin Suroor Exclusive Free Bets At Monsterbet HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 11/4F

17 Oct 14 Redcar Tijan (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Bet With Your Racing UK App Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 9/4F

17 Oct 14 Redcar New Strategy (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor IJF 50th Anniversary British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 2nd 16/1

03 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Super Moment (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Weekend Price Boosts Now Live At Bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 8/1

20 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Night Party (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Follow totepool On Twitter HandicapClass 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 11/1

13 Sep 14 Bath Khusoosy (USA)T: Saeed bin Suroor P K Building Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Firm · 6 ran 1st 4/6F

13 Sep 14 Bath Arabian Beauty (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Malcolm Saunders Trainer HandicapClass 3 · 11.5f · Firm · 4 ran 3rd 5/2C

22 Aug 14 Newmarket Keep Up (GER)T: Saeed bin Suroor TRM Excellence In Equine Nutrition EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 10th 7/1

02 Aug 14 Newmarket Stay Silent (IRE)T: Saeed bin Suroor Alzheimer's Research UK EBF Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 7f · Firm · 12 ran 4th 8/1

31 Jul 14 Ffos Las Connaught Water (IRE)T: Jonathan Portman 32Red Sponsor Of 1000 Races Annually HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Lawson's strike rate?: Matthew Lawson has won 45 of 682 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Lawson do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 rides (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Matthew Lawson ride most for?: Jonathan Portman, with 96 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (6.3%).
What is Matthew Lawson's Fair A/E?: 0.83, from 680 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.