B W Hills
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 290 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (414 runs).
It is weakest at York (7.1% over 112 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.39). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 8.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −108.67 to a £1 stake over 330 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Michael Hills rode 44% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well in Class 5 (19.1%, n=638). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 7% over 387 runners, 6.7pts below the baseline. 63 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Stanjames.com 1000 Guineas Stakes at Newmarket (May 2009, £227,080). The stable star of the record was Prime Defender (GB) — 8 wins from 51 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Mar–Apr.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,376 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,376 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 13 November 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is B W Hills's strike rate?
- B W Hills has won 313 of 2,289 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does B W Hills do best at?
- Windsor by strike rate: 23 wins from 117 runners (19.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for B W Hills?
- Michael Hills, with 1,013 runners since 2008 — 44% of the total. That pairing has won 139 (13.7%).
- What is B W Hills's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 2,276 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.