Mrs K Burke
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Debutants are a strength: 21% on first career starts (71 runs).
It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.3% over 30 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants strike at 21.1% (n=71, Fair A/E 2.17), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 9.5% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.99). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 13.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +16.61 to a £1 stake over 142 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Andrew Elliott rode 15% of the entries and edges the yard's average (15.6% vs 13.2%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Class 5 (19.3%, n=332). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 1.4% over 72 runners, 11.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Dante Stakes at York (May 2013, £85,065). The stable star of the record was Bold Marc (IRE) — 5 wins from 43 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,019 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,019 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 August 2010 to 24 August 2013.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mrs K Burke's strike rate?
- Mrs K Burke has won 135 of 1,019 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mrs K Burke do best at?
- Carlisle by strike rate: 7 wins from 36 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mrs K Burke?
- Andrew Elliott, with 154 runners since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (15.6%).
- What is Mrs K Burke's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 1,015 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.