What is Matthew Poon's strike rate?

Matthew Poon has won 3 of 126 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matthew Poon do best at?

Sha Tin by strike rate: 3 wins from 82 rides (3.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Matthew Poon's Fair A/E?

0.28, from 59 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Matthew Poon

126 rides in the last 5 seasons · 94 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 23 days ago 98% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2025→)

from 1 Jan 2022

3–126

Wins / Runs

2.4%

Strike rate

n=126

23 (18%)

Placed

0.28

Fair A/E

n=59 · 0.23 incl. margin

−55.90

£1 level stake

n=59 at SP · −94.7%

£942k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them.

Deterministic profile computed from 126 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026

The read

The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (5.9%, n=51). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 52 rides (0% strike, −32.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.1%−0.3

n=94 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −45.90

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

50%+47.6

n=4 · A/E 3.80 · £1 +2.10

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.2%+1.8

n=24 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=3 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +0.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.3%+0.9

n=60 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−2.4

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Firm going 5.9% vs 2.4% · n=51

With debutants 0% vs 2.4% · n=58

On Good going 0% vs 2.4% · n=52

At Happy Valley 0% vs 2.4% · n=40

Over 1m – 1m1f 0% vs 2.4% · n=38

With first-time headgear 0% vs 2.4% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 124 3 2.4% −55.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 52 0 0% −32.00

Good to Firm 51 3 5.9% −8.90

Good to Soft 12 0 0% −10.00

Standard (AW) 9 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 82 3 3.7% −33.90

Happy Valley 40 0 0% −20.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 33 0 0% −31.00

Class 3 15 0 0% −9.00

Class 5 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 2 3 1 33.3% +0.10

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 3 1 33.3% 1.44 +0.10

2nd–3rd fav 5 0 0% 0.00 −5.00

4th–6th fav 19 0 0% 0.00 −19.00

7th+ in betting 32 0 0% 0.00 −32.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Double Alpha (NZ) 5 0 1 1 Oct 26

Casa Of Honor (AUS) 4 0 1 4 Oct 26

Fortune Supernova (AUS) 3 0 0 4 Oct 26

The Red Hare (AUS) 3 0 1 27 Sep 26

Keefy (AUS) 3 0 0 23 Sep 26

Phoenix Light (AUS) 3 0 1 15 Jul 26

Victory Sky (AUS) 2 0 1 1 Oct 26

Cirrus Speed (AUS) 2 1 1 1 Oct 26

Lucky With You (AUS) 2 0 0 27 Sep 26

Von Baer (IRE) 2 0 1 27 Sep 26

Voyage Horizon 2 0 0 27 Sep 26

Pass Line (AUS) 2 0 0 23 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 94 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····0040013··

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

D J Hall 23 2 8.7% −8.90

F C Lor 21 0 0% −4.00

P F Yiu 18 0 0% −10.00

C H Yip 14 0 0% −10.00

C S Shum 13 0 0% −8.00

C W Chang 9 1 11.1% −4.00

David Eustace 5 0 0% −1.00

W K Mo 5 0 0% −4.00

P C Ng 5 0 0% −4.00

Jamie Richards 3 0 0% —

David A Hayes 3 0 0% —

Y S Tsui 2 0 0% —

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2025→

Archived wins

£942k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 3 wins

Ka Ying Attack (NZ) — Hong Kong Reunification Cup (Handicap) (Course C) (Turf) Sha Tin (HK) · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£151,611

Cirrus Speed (AUS) — Nanning Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Oct 2026

£70,568

Team Happy (AUS) — Lo Wai Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Oct 2026

£70,568

Notable horses

Cirrus Speed (AUS) Ka Ying Attack (NZ) Team Happy (AUS)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

All Too Hard (AUS) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 11.5% of 52 runs since 2008 (21 horses).

Darci Brahma (NZ) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 4.3% of 23 runs since 2008 (10 horses). A small sample.

Mikki Isle (JPN) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 0% of 13 runs since 2008 (3 horses). A small sample.

Star Turn (AUS) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 4.2% of 24 runs since 2008 (11 horses). A small sample.

Belardo (IRE) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,713 runs since 2008 (280 horses).

Capitalist (AUS) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 8.5% of 82 runs since 2008 (35 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 126 · newest first

The latest 50 of 126 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 August 2025 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Casa Of Honor (AUS)T: C W Chang Shing Mun Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Call Me Magnifique (AUS)T: C S Shum The Chinese Recreation Club Challenge Cup (Handicap)9f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 7th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Quick Contribution (NZ)T: D J Hall Sham Tseng Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Shotgun (NZ)T: D J Hall The Yan Chai Trophy (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Joltin (IRE)T: David A Hayes Sha Tsui Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 5th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Team Happy (AUS)T: C W Chang Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Shandong Spirit (AUS)T: P F Yiu Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Fortune Supernova (AUS)T: D J Hall Chai Wan Kok Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 13th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Leather Hero (AUS)T: C H Yip Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Victory Sky (AUS)T: P F Yiu Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Ka Ying Radiance (AUS)T: David A Hayes Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Double Alpha (NZ)T: C S Shum Hangzhou Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 5th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Francis Meynell (IRE)T: David Eustace Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Cirrus Speed (AUS)T: D J Hall Nanning Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lucrative Eight (AUS)T: P F Yiu Shanghai Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 7th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Salon S (AUS)T: F C Lor Magpie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Voyage Horizon (NZ)T: F C Lor Mesia Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lucky With You (AUS)T: F C Lor The Celebration Cup (Handicap)7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Hott Shott (GB)T: D J Hall Hwamei Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Von Baer (IRE)T: Jamie Richards Tropicbird Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Poon's strike rate?: Matthew Poon has won 3 of 126 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Poon do best at?: Sha Tin by strike rate: 3 wins from 82 rides (3.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Matthew Poon's Fair A/E?: 0.28, from 59 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.