What is P C Ng's strike rate?

P C Ng has won 17 of 127 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P C Ng do best at?

Sha Tin by strike rate: 12 wins from 83 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is P C Ng's Fair A/E?

1.47, from 61 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P C Ng

127 runners in the last 5 seasons · 54 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 16 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2026→)

from 1 Jan 2022

17–127

Wins / Runs

13.4%

Strike rate

n=127

29 (23%)

Placed

1.47

Fair A/E

n=61 · 1.20 incl. margin

−4.90

£1 level stake

n=61 at SP · −8.0%

£2.61m

Prize money (window)

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 22% off breaks of two months or more (36 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 127 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 22.2% Claiming riders: 21.6%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 22.2% (n=36, Fair A/E 5.71), but debutants struggle at 7% (n=43, Fair A/E 1.33). The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (18.2%, n=33). The record reads poorly in Class 4 — 6.5% over 31 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

22.2%+8.8

n=36 · A/E 5.71 · £1 +20.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

18.2%+4.8

n=11 · A/E 5.71 · £1 +20.20

Debutants · first career start

7%−6.4

n=43 · A/E 1.33 · £1 −8.80

First-time headgear · true-first definition

13.5%+0.1

n=37 · A/E 2.39 · £1 +18.40

When favourite

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

21.6%+8.2

n=37 · A/E 1.74 · £1 −10.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−13.4

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With claiming riders up 21.6% vs 13.4% · n=37

With debutants 7% vs 13.4% · n=43

In Class 4 6.5% vs 13.4% · n=31

Over 1m – 1m1f 18.2% vs 13.4% · n=33

With a new jockey booking 12% vs 13.4% · n=100 · A/E 1.83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 126 17 13.5% −4.90

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 54 8 14.8% +7.20

Good to Firm 51 7 13.7% −3.80

Good to Soft 14 1 7.1% −3.30

Standard (AW) 7 1 14.3% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sha Tin 83 12 14.5% +0.10

Happy Valley 43 5 11.6% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 31 2 6.5% −5.80

Class 3 20 2 10% +11.70

Class 5 12 1 8.3% −1.80

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00

2nd–3rd fav 5 2 40% 3.20 +9.90

4th–6th fav 11 1 9.1% 0.98 −3.30

7th+ in betting 41 2 4.9% 2.36 −7.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Luck Is Back (BRZ) 5 1 1 23 Sep 26

Victor The Rapid (IRE)from Phil McEntee 5 0 0 16 Sep 26

Healthy Healthy (NZ) 4 1 1 1 Oct 26

Master Champion (AUS) 4 0 0 1 Oct 26

I Excelle (NZ) 4 0 1 1 Oct 26

Aeroinvincible (NZ) 4 2 3 27 Sep 26

Lucky Doctor (AUS) 4 0 0 27 Sep 26

Blue Illusion (AUS) 4 0 0 23 Sep 26

Jumbo Steps (NZ) 4 0 0 16 Sep 26

Supreme Agility (BRZ) 3 1 1 4 Oct 26

On The Lash (NZ) 3 0 0 1 Oct 26

Aerovolanic (AUS) 3 1 2 1 Oct 26

All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A P O'Brien (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

····8516·2317··

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Andrea Atzeni 18 4 22.2% +20.90

C Y Ho 17 4 23.5% +14.00

Nichola Yuen 15 7 46.7% +5.20

K C Leung 13 0 0% −7.00

Angus Chung 12 0 0% −9.00

Zac Purton 8 0 0% −5.00

L Hewitson 6 0 0% −5.00

Matthew Poon 5 0 0% −4.00

L J Ferraris 5 0 0% −2.00

Jerry Chau 5 0 0% −4.00

James Orman 4 1 25% −1.00

Harry Bentley 3 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2026→

Archived wins

£2.61m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 17 wins

Le Zonda (IRE) — Hat Trick Handicap Happy Valley · Jul 2026

£252,401

Le Zonda (IRE) — Shek O Handicap Happy Valley (HK) · Sep 2026

£251,622

Victor The Winner (AUS) — Magpie Handicap Sha Tin (HK) · Sep 2026

£229,041

Notable horses

Le Zonda (IRE) Aeroinvincible (NZ) Prestige Always (IRE) Luck Is Back (BRZ) Healthy Healthy (NZ) Supreme Agility (BRZ)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Per Incanto (USA) 27.3% · 3–11

Progeny have won 10.9% of 46 runs since 2008 (20 horses).

Toronado (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,848 runs since 2008 (416 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.5% from 142.

Frosted (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 9.8% of 61 runs since 2008 (13 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,145 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Churchill (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 11% of 4,781 runs since 2008 (458 horses).

I Am Invincible (AUS) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 9.1% of 55 runs since 2008 (19 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 127 · newest first

The latest 50 of 127 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 May 2026 to 4 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Supreme Agility (BRZ)J: James Orman Sha Tsui Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 1st —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) The All Rounder (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Lo Wai Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —

04 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Happy Special (AUS)J: Andrea Atzeni Kwok Shui Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Aerovolanic (AUS)J: Nichola Yuen Tianjin Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Drombeg Banner (IRE)J: Nichola Yuen Beijing Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Healthy Healthy (NZ)J: Nichola Yuen Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Master Champion (AUS)J: Nichola Yuen Chongqing Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) On The Lash (NZ)J: Andrea Atzeni Jinan Handicap9f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Noble Patch (AUS)J: K C Leung Chengdu Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 6th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Johannes Brahms (GB)J: M L Yeung The National Day Cup (Handicap)5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) I Excelle (NZ)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Shenyang Handicap8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 3rd —

01 Oct 26 Sha Tin (HK) Good Fortune (NZ)J: Nichola Yuen Nanning Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Victor The Winner (AUS)J: Nichola Yuen Magpie Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 1st —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Lucky Doctor (AUS)J: Luke Ferraris Swallow Handicap6f · Standard · 12 ran 6th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Aquaman (AUS)J: James Orman Woodpecker Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 2nd —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Glaciated (AUS)J: Vincent C. Y. Ho Peacock Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th —

27 Sep 26 Sha Tin (HK) Aeroinvincible (NZ)J: Nichola Yuen Kestrel Handicap7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st —

23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Ka Ying Generation (IRE)J: Andrea Atzeni Tai Hang Handicap9f · Good · 12 ran 10th —

23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Prestige Always (IRE)J: Nichola Yuen Mount Butler Handicap6f · Good · 12 ran 1st —

23 Sep 26 Happy Valley (HK) Blue Illusion (AUS)J: James Orman Island Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran — —

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P C Ng's strike rate?: P C Ng has won 17 of 127 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P C Ng do best at?: Sha Tin by strike rate: 12 wins from 83 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P C Ng's Fair A/E?: 1.47, from 61 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.