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Trainer profile

Ian McInnes

173 runners in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 349 days ago 98% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–173
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=173
33 (19%)
Placed
1.12
Fair A/E
n=171 · 0.92 incl. margin
−34.51
£1 level stake
n=173 at SP · −19.9%
£85,010
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 173 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (12.5%, n=40). The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.34 across 132 runners (8.3% strike, +6.49 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 0% over 35 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: H Harrison (IRE) — 9 wins from 96 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−0.5
n=17 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +17.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%−1.1
n=19 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +4.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.5%−2.9
n=86 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −48.34

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 0% vs 6.4% · n=35
Over 1m – 1m1f 12.5% vs 6.4% · n=40
With claiming riders up 3.5% vs 6.4% · n=86
In Class 6 8.3% vs 6.4% · n=132 · A/E 1.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 170 11 6.5% −31.51
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 93 6 6.5% −55.84
Good to Firm 22 1 4.5% −17.67
Good 21 2 9.5% +18.00
Soft 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Soft 14 1 7.1% +15.00
Heavy 5 1 20% +24.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle (AW) 59 4 6.8% −32.17
Beverley 25 1 4% −20.67
Southwell (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 16 2 12.5% −5.67
Doncaster 9 1 11.1% +25.00
Redcar 8 0 0% −8.00
Pontefract 6 0 0% −6.00
Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00
Carlisle 4 1 25% +25.00
Thirsk 3 0 0% −3.00
Ripon 3 1 33.3% +2.00
Nottingham 3 1 33.3% +26.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00
Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 132 11 8.3% +6.49
Class 5 35 0 0% −35.00
Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 1.85 +5.50
2nd–3rd fav 15 4 26.7% 1.63 +3.99
4th–6th fav 34 0 0% 0.00 −34.00
7th+ in betting 117 4 3.4% 1.22 −10.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Panama City (GB)from Tim Easterby 27 5 11 17 Jun 25
The Princes Poet (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 20 0 1 1 Feb 25
Tommytwohoots (GB)from Shaun Harris · then Shaun Harris 17 1 4 6 Nov 25
Mattice (GB)from Tim Easterby 12 3 5 27 Oct 25
Desert Raider (GB)from Charlie Johnston 12 0 3 19 Sep 25
Autumn Flight (IRE)from Phil McEntee · then Phil McEntee 11 0 2 31 Oct 23
Miss Britain (IRE)from Gemma Tutty 10 0 1 29 Dec 23
Crypto Quest (IRE)from Les Eyre · then Gemma Tutty 10 2 5 2 Nov 23
Bust A Moon (GB)from David Evans · then Derek Shaw 9 0 1 23 Sep 25
Elzour (GB) 7 0 0 26 Jul 25
Brave Musketeer (GB) 7 0 0 12 May 25
Amerjeet (GB)from Archie Watson · then Michael Herrington 5 0 0 27 Oct 25
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Les Eyre (4) and Shaun Harris (2); 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Shaun Harris (3); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0140001170582015
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Burns
24% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 0.78
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Burns 42 2 4.8% −8.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
125
Archived wins
£756k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 35 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Ingleby Star (IRE) — Betfair Bonus Scottish Racing Sprint Series Final Handicap Musselburgh · Sep 2011 · Class 4
£14,755
Commando Scott (IRE) — Magner's Irish Cider Handicap Ayr · May 2006 · Class 3
£11,659
Commando Scott (IRE) — Connaught Square Squirrel Hunt Handicap Newmarket · May 2007 · Class 2
£11,659
Notable horses
H Harrison (IRE) Lobengula (IRE) Time To Regret (GB) Dabbers Ridge (IRE) Royal Challenge (GB) Jarvo (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Iffraaj (GB) 18.5% · 5–27
Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,951 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.
Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–21
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Brazen Beau (AUS) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.2% of 2,473 runs since 2008 (186 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.7% from 162. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 15.8% from 158.
Bated Breath (GB) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 846.
Mattmu (GB) 17.6% · 3–17
Progeny have won 8.6% of 243 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Advertise (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,540 runs since 2008 (151 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,436 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,436 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 6 November 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Shay Farmer Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 17/2
03 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Filey Beach (IRE)J: Sean D Bowen Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 12/1
30 Oct 25 Bath Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Harry Burns Lambert Smith Hampton Bath Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 7/1
27 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Rob Hornby Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 28/1
27 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Rob Hornby Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 5th 8/1
18 Oct 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Luke Morris Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Returns HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 28/1
17 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Filey Beach (IRE)J: David Nolan Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 9/1
08 Oct 25 Nottingham Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Shay Farmer PricedUp The Flat Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 6/1
02 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Jason Hart Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 5/2F
01 Oct 25 Catterick Tommytwohoots (GB)J: Miss Stephanie Dorey Watch Race Replays On racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 11/1
27 Sep 25 Ripon Mattice (GB)J: Jason Hart Michael Raby Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 1st 4/1J
23 Sep 25 Beverley Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer Shelley Fegan's Bostin 60th HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 7/2J
19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 33/1
19 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Desert Raider (GB)J: Shay Farmer Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 7/2
18 Sep 25 Pontefract Mattice (GB)J: Shay Farmer Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 10/3
09 Sep 25 Carlisle Bust A Moon (GB)J: Charlie Bennett Quickstep Floor Designer Supporting Andersons HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 20/1
08 Sep 25 Newcastle (AW) Amerjeet (GB)J: Cam Hardie Arc 1MILLION Bonus Bigger Than Ever Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 8th 50/1
04 Sep 25 Southwell (AW) Mattice (GB)J: Shay Farmer Golf And Gallop HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
01 Sep 25 Carlisle Bust A Moon (GB)J: Shay Farmer PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 18/1
29 Aug 25 Newcastle (AW) Desert Raider (GB)J: Shay Farmer National Racehorse Week 7th-15th September HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian McInnes's strike rate?
Ian McInnes has won 11 of 173 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian McInnes do best at?
Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 59 runners (6.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Ian McInnes's Fair A/E?
1.12, from 171 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).