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Trainer profile

I McMath

111 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2010 100% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–111
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=111
13 (12%)
Placed
0.19
n=110 · 0.16 incl. margin
−103.50
£1 level stake
n=111 at SP · −93.2%
£12,731
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.19).

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−0.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−0.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−0.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−0.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−0.9
n=55 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −55.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−0.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 0.9% · n=76 · A/E 0.00
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 0.9% · n=61 · A/E 0.00
With claiming riders up 0% vs 0.9% · n=55 · A/E 0.00
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 0.9% · n=53 · A/E 0.00
In Class 4 1.7% vs 0.9% · n=58 · A/E 0.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 76 0 0% −76.00
Chase 21 1 4.8% −13.50
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 29 0 0% −29.00
Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00
Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 11 1 9.1% −3.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newcastle 23 0 0% −23.00
Sedgefield 13 0 0% −13.00
Hexham 12 0 0% −12.00
Carlisle 11 1 9.1% −3.50
Musselburgh 8 0 0% −8.00
Kelso 7 0 0% −7.00
Haydock 7 0 0% −7.00
Perth 6 0 0% −6.00
Catterick 6 0 0% −6.00
Wetherby 5 0 0% −5.00
Bangor-on-Dee 4 0 0% −4.00
Ayr 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 0 0% −2.00
Market Rasen 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 58 1 1.7% −50.50
Class 5 30 0 0% −30.00
Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 6 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.96 −1.50
4th–6th fav 25 0 0% 0.00 −25.00
7th+ in betting 74 0 0% 0.00 −74.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
66% completed · 97 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 52.4% 3 0 6 1 0
Hurdle 76 69.7% 2 0 21 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Remainder (GB) 13 0 0 2 May 09
Prioryjo (GB)then Martin Todhunter 13 0 2 1 May 09
Cuccinello (IRE)from K W Hogg · then K W Hogg 11 0 0 24 Mar 09
Nicozetto (FR)from Noel Wilson · then George Bewley 10 1 3 16 Feb 09
Birnies Boy (GB)then Brian Storey 3 0 0 20 Feb 10
Patriot (IRE)from Charlie Mann · then Maurice Barnes 3 0 2 24 Apr 09
Elsies Nook (GB) 3 0 0 21 Jan 09
Zanjeer (GB)from Noel Wilson 3 0 0 10 May 08
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alan Berry (2) and Noel Wilson (2); 14 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Martin Todhunter (4) and Maurice Barnes (3); 15 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000·000080
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderFearghal Davis
34% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
RiderRWSR£1
Fearghal Davis 38 0 0% −38.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
11
Archived wins
£71,808
Prize money
2006
Best season · 6 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Nifty Roy (GB) — toteexacta Handicap Chase Carlisle · Apr 2007 · Class 4
£6,506
Nicozetto (FR) — Rectangle Group Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Musselburgh · Nov 2007 · Class 4
£3,904
Nifty Roy (GB) — Novices' Handicap Chase Ayr · Feb 2006 · Class 4
£3,904

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Foxhound (USA) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 5.5% of 1,106 runs since 2008 (60 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 9.7% from 144. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 8.6% from 360.
Mark of Esteem (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,657 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 128.
Makbul (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,039 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.8% from 117. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 120.
Nicolotte (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 4.7% of 64 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Rock City (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 4.1% of 245 runs since 2008 (31 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 253 · newest first

The latest 50 of 253 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 7 March 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Mar 10 Sedgefield Clueless (GB)J: Kyle James Ice Fresh Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 14 ran PU 16/1
20 Apr 09 Hexham Wensleydale Web (GB)J: Fearghal Davis Newgate Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 8th 33/1
30 Mar 09 Newcastle Mighty Magnus (IRE)J: James Halliday Parklands Golf Club Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 13th 14/1
24 Mar 09 Sedgefield Remainder (GB)J: P J Benson Oakley Service Station Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 27f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 13/2
20 Mar 09 Kelso Prioryjo (GB)J: Barry Keniry Border Facilities Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is I McMath's strike rate?
I McMath has won 1 of 111 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is I McMath's Fair A/E?
0.19, from 110 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).