Mickael Berto
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). When claiming the record reads 9% (216 rides).
It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (2.2% over 90 rides) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.4% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.57). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 7.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.24 and +44.80 to a £1 stake over 526 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A De Royer-Dupre supplies 16% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.4% over 125 rides, 4.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Etalon Muhaarar at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2019, £23,423). Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2012→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 798 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 798 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 October 2012 to 5 September 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mickael Berto's strike rate?
- Mickael Berto has won 55 of 798 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mickael Berto do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 82 rides (8.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Mickael Berto ride most for?
- A De Royer-Dupre, with 131 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (13%).
- What is Mickael Berto's Fair A/E?
- 1.06, from 775 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.