Skip to content
Jockey profile

Miss P Elvin

161 rides in the last 5 seasons · 100 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 23 days ago 91% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
10–161
Wins / Runs
6.2%
Strike rate
n=161
39 (24%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=161 · 0.93 incl. margin
−41.79
£1 level stake
n=161 at SP · −26.0%
£126k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 9% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs). Rides mostly for P J Rothwell — 90% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 161 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.4% P J Rothwell: 6.2% from 145 Claiming: 6.8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 9.4% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.90). P J Rothwell supplies 90% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.2%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Hurdle races (10%, n=70) and off a 15-30-day break (10.5%, n=38). The market has also underrated the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 1.60 across 70 rides (8.6% strike, +18.38 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.81 across 58 rides (3.4% strike, −18.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.1%−0.1
n=99 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −34.62
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
9.4%+3.2
n=32 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
66.7%
n=3 · A/E 3.10 · £1 +4.38
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.8%+0.6
n=147 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −27.79
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.6%+0.4
n=76 · A/E 1.42 · £1 +3.33
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 10% vs 6.2% · n=70
Off a 15-30-day break 10.5% vs 6.2% · n=38
In NH Flat races 3.4% vs 6.2% · n=58
On Soft going 8.6% vs 6.2% · n=70
On Good to Soft going 3.3% vs 6.2% · n=30
Off a 31-60-day break 3.3% vs 6.2% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 70 7 10% +6.33
NH Flat 58 2 3.4% −18.00
Chase 19 1 5.3% −16.12
Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 70 6 8.6% +18.38
Good 43 2 4.7% −27.67
Good to Soft 30 1 3.3% −25.50
Heavy 18 1 5.6% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 22 1 4.5% −17.50
Thurles 15 2 13.3% +21.50
Fairyhouse 14 1 7.1% −11.12
Clonmel 13 3 23.1% +36.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Tramore 9 0 0% −9.00
Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Downpatrick 7 1 14.3% −2.67
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 2.10 +4.71
2nd–3rd fav 16 2 12.5% 0.99 −3.00
4th–6th fav 43 3 7% 1.00 −11.50
7th+ in betting 95 2 2.1% 0.93 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.8% completed · 89 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 73.7% 0 1 4 0 0
Hurdle 70 92.9% 0 0 5 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Outdoor Mozzy (IRE) 9 0 1 23 Jan 24
Harry's Dream (IRE) 7 0 2 29 Aug 25
Jollie Cosmos (IRE) 6 0 0 15 Jan 25
Phils Choice (IRE) 6 0 5 26 Apr 23
Woodstream Lad (IRE) 5 2 2 1 May 26
Cullenwaine (IRE) 5 1 1 9 Jun 25
Galon De Vauzelle (FR) 4 0 1 6 Apr 26
Cato's Revenge (IRE) 4 1 2 27 Dec 23
Coolboy Christy (IRE) 3 0 1 23 Jul 26
That's About Right (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Apr 26
Moon Mission (GB) 3 0 2 9 Oct 25
Ricky Langford (IRE) 3 0 1 16 Sep 23
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 100 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0967712070697
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardP J Rothwell
90% of all rides
6.2% SR · A/E 1.17
TrainerRWSR£1
P J Rothwell 145 9 6.2% −28.67
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
12
Archived wins
£159k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 4 wins
Gain De Cause (FR) — Fred Kenny Lifetime Services To Racing Ladies National Handicap Chase Fairyhouse · Apr 2023
£11,800
Woodstream Lad (IRE) — Botanica International Handicap Hurdle (80-123) Clonmel · May 2024
£9,145
Fairlander (IRE) — Congratulations Nicole Lockhead Anderson INHSC Ladies Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Jun 2026
£8,835
Notable horses
Woodstream Lad (IRE) Cullenwaine (IRE) Cato's Revenge (IRE) Josies Orders (IRE) Ar Nos Na Gaoithe (IRE) Big Bee Hive (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,390 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Morozov (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,317 runs since 2009 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.
Arctic Cosmos (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,308 runs since 2017 (131 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.3% from 194.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,905 runs since 2013 (688 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Golden Lariat (USA) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10% of 570 runs since 2012 (54 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.2% from 114. Weakest on Soft going: 5.5% from 181.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 255 · newest first

The latest 50 of 255 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2013 to 22 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Volez Vous (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 4/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Pat's Prodigies (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 10th 50/1
10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Modcon (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 16/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Colossal Impact (GB)T: P J Rothwell Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 4th 7/2
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Gatehouse Boy (FR)T: P J Rothwell MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 50/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Sammy Smart (GB)T: Thomas Gibney Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Ladies Handicap Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran 9th 16/1
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Confidence Within (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Connellan & Noone Solicitors LLP Longford Flat Race16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 10/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Vartry Diamond (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 100/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Piper Street (FR)T: P J Rothwell Save The Date Ladies Day At Wexford Races Friday 7th August Flat Race16.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 40/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Coolboy Christy (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Wexford Racecourse Ladies Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 14 ran 5th 11/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) You Lift Me Up (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Kate Kearney's Cottage (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 15 ran 11th 28/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Fournonblondes (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Volez Vous (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)22f · Good · 13 ran 9th 10/1
13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Hakensack (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Denvir's Of Downpatrick (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)22f · Good · 14 ran PU 16/1
07 Jun 26 Punchestown Fairlander (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Congratulations Nicole Lockhead Anderson INHSC Ladies Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 1st 7/2F
22 May 26 Downpatrick Majestic Horizon (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Caherty Stables Racing Syndicate Point-To-Point Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 3rd 10/3
07 May 26 Wexford Majestic Horizon (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Racing Again 16th May (C & G) Point-To-Point Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 4/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Colwyn Bay (FR)T: P J Rothwell Stables Restaurant Naas Flat Race19f · Yielding · 21 ran 17th 100/1
01 May 26 Punchestown Woodstream Lad (IRE)T: P J Rothwell FRS Fencing Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 24 ran PU 100/1
28 Apr 26 Punchestown Blue Nude (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Willie Coonan Memorial Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 16th 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Miss P Elvin's strike rate?
Miss P Elvin has won 10 of 161 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.2% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Miss P Elvin ride most for?
P J Rothwell, with 145 rides since 2022 — 90% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.2%).
What is Miss P Elvin's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 161 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).