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Trainer profile

Terence O'Brien

488 runners in the last 5 seasons · 89 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
53–488
Wins / Runs
10.9%
Strike rate
n=488
142 (29%)
Placed
1.16
Fair A/E
n=488 · 0.93 incl. margin
−120.06
£1 level stake
n=488 at SP · −24.6%
£715k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.16). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 17% off breaks of two months or more (115 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 488 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar Fresh horses: 16.5% 32.8% when favourite John Shinnick: 11.6% from 250 Claiming riders: 11.1% Sends off the favourite in 13% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (20.8%, n=53), clear of the yard's 10.9% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.5% (n=115, Fair A/E 1.90), but debutants struggle at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.46). John Shinnick rides 51% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.6%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (17.3%, n=104) and off a 61-180-day break (16.4%, n=67). 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2015, £60,000). The stable star of the record: Ballyadam Brook (IRE) — 7 wins from 49 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.5%+5.6
n=115 · A/E 1.90 · £1 +61.38
New recruits · first run for the yard
10.5%−0.4
n=38 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +1.37
Debutants · first career start
2.2%−8.7
n=45 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −38.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.1%+0.2
n=18 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −3.75
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
27.3%+16.4
n=11 · A/E 2.30 · £1 +0.50
When favourite
32.8%
n=61 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +5.24
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%+0.2
n=360 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −76.35
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
15.8%+4.9
n=19 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +13.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Clonmel 20.8% vs 10.9% · n=53
At Punchestown 0% vs 10.9% · n=31
With debutants 2.2% vs 10.9% · n=45
In Chase races 17.3% vs 10.9% · n=104
With Mr D Allen 17.6% vs 10.9% · n=34
Off a 61-180-day break 16.4% vs 10.9% · n=67
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 281 22 7.8% −130.76
Chase 104 18 17.3% +22.37
Flat 68 7 10.3% −14.62
NH Flat 35 6 17.1% +2.95

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 175 17 9.7% −91.50
Good 117 9 7.7% −49.30
Heavy 94 13 13.8% +14.33
Good to Soft 84 10 11.9% −11.59
Standard (AW) 16 3 18.8% +17.00
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Clonmel 53 11 20.8% +20.20
Limerick 48 4 8.3% −8.25
Cork 43 4 9.3% −22.50
Killarney 33 2 6.1% −24.12
Punchestown 31 0 0% −31.00
Thurles 30 2 6.7% −12.00
Fairyhouse 26 3 11.5% −13.50
Tramore 26 2 7.7% −17.00
Galway 23 1 4.3% −19.00
Listowel 22 2 9.1% +0.50
Gowran Park 21 2 9.5% −13.00
Wexford 19 2 10.5% −10.30
Ballinrobe 16 2 12.5% −3.00
Dundalk (AW) 16 3 18.8% +17.00
Naas 15 4 26.7% +24.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 21 3 14.3% +11.50
Class 4 4 2 50% +0.16
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 70 21 30% 1.25 +2.74
2nd–3rd fav 94 19 20.2% 1.35 +15.70
4th–6th fav 118 8 6.8% 0.93 −37.50
7th+ in betting 206 5 2.4% 0.82 −101.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.7% completed · 385 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 104 76% 5 5 14 1 0
Hurdle 281 89.3% 3 5 21 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Magnor Glory (IRE) 20 4 8 23 Sep 26
Stellar Symphony (IRE)from Edmond Kent 19 2 6 24 Jul 25
Answer To Kayf (GB) 17 4 9 11 Apr 26
Ik's Man (FR) 17 1 5 17 Aug 25
Whiskeywealth (IRE)from Eoghan O'Grady · then Donald McCain 17 3 4 30 Apr 25
Emancipator (IRE)from Donal Hassett 17 5 6 20 Apr 25
Bright N Shine (IRE)from P F McEnery 15 2 6 28 May 26
Cathys Quest (IRE) 14 1 2 16 Oct 25
Nytol (IRE)from S Curling 12 2 4 17 Jul 26
Jay Pee M (IRE)from Daniel William O'Sullivan 10 2 4 10 Jul 26
Pitwood Road (GB)then Chris Grant 10 2 5 3 Feb 25
Kilmurry Jj (IRE)from Michael Barry · then Henry Oliver 10 2 3 15 Nov 24
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Chris Timmons (2) and Michael Mulvany (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard; 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11181612100611178126
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJohn Shinnick
51% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.20
RiderRWSR£1
John Shinnick 250 29 11.6% −56.42
Mr D Allen 34 6 17.6% +6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
134
Archived wins
11
Pattern / graded wins
£2.17m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 13 wins
Ballyadam Approach (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2015 · Grade A
£60,000
Answer To Kayf (GB) — Bar One Racing Troytown Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Navan · Nov 2025 · Grade 3
£59,000
Magnor Glory (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Listowel · Sep 2022 · Grade B
£59,000
Notable horses
Ballyadam Brook (IRE) Lakemilan (IRE) Viaduct Joey (IRE) Magnor Glory (IRE) Emancipator (IRE) She's Got Grit (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 5.7% · 2–35
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,837 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Fame And Glory (GB) 17.9% · 5–28
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Valirann (FR) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,437 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Yeats (IRE) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Pour Moi (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21
Progeny have won 9.9% of 2,682 runs since 2008 (265 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 380.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,377 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,377 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2008 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Plontier (FR)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy Irishinjuredjockeys.com Apprentice Optional Claiming Race10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 14/1
04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Barryroe Madam (FR)J: Mr R Sugrue Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran PU 20/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Awordinyourear (IRE)J: John Shinnick Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 18th 150/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) George Dundee (IRE)J: Danny Power Cantor Fitzgerald Ireland Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 17th 50/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Plontier (FR)J: Danny Power Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 22/1
30 Sep 26 Catterick Ina Mina (GB)J: Oisin Orr Amstel Gallop Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 7th 11/2
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Barryroe Madam (FR)J: Mr R Sugrue Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 11th 14/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Tippawan Haa (IRE)J: Elizabeth Gale MCG Ladies Handicap Hurdle18f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 28/1
23 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Magnor Glory (IRE)J: John Shinnick Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 14 ran PU 20/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Inchiquin Maid (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Gerard Lynch Memorial Handicap14f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 33/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Lake Pippaway (IRE)J: Mr A P Ryan Kenny Developments Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Soft · 18 ran 7th 28/1
07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Barryroe Madam (FR)J: Michael Kenneally WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)22.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 5th 22/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Thewaybackhome (IRE)J: John Shinnick Racing Again October 25th & 26th Handicap Steeplechase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 1st 7/2F
24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Barryroe Madam (FR)J: John Shinnick Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 16 ran 14th 12/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Plontier (FR)J: Danny Power Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 12th 66/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Magnor Glory (IRE)J: John Shinnick Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 33/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Ina Mina (GB)J: John Shinnick Frank Gillane Memorial Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 3/1F
15 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Plontier (FR)J: Reese Holohan Brennan's Pharmacy Handicap16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 6th 16/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Thewaybackhome (IRE)J: John Shinnick I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 5th 11/2
03 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Voice Of Northeast (IRE)J: Rian Lane Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 18 ran PU 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Terence O'Brien's strike rate?
Terence O'Brien has won 53 of 488 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Terence O'Brien do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 11 wins from 53 runners (20.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Terence O'Brien?
John Shinnick, with 250 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 29 (11.6%).
Is Terence O'Brien in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Terence O'Brien's Fair A/E?
1.16, from 488 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).