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Jockey profile

Mr A E Kinirons

111 rides in the lifetime window · 71 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2024 96% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–111
Wins / Runs
2.7%
Strike rate
n=111
19 (17%)
Placed
0.47
n=111 · 0.39 incl. margin
−84.00
£1 level stake
n=111 at SP · −75.7%
£33,881
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.47). Rides mostly for Sue Smith — 53% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sue Smith: 5.1% from 59 First rides: 3% Claiming: 2.8%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.49 and −79.00 to a £1 stake over 106 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Sue Smith supplies 53% of the rides and edges the rider's average (5.1% vs 2.7%, A/E 0.64). The rider also reads well on Good going (6.3%, n=32) and over 2m5f – 3m (6.3%, n=32).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3%+0.3
n=67 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −53.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.7
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.8%+0.1
n=106 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −79.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.6%+0.9
n=55 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −33.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 6.3% vs 2.7% · n=32
Over 2m5f – 3m 6.3% vs 2.7% · n=32
With Sue Smith 5.1% vs 2.7% · n=59
In Class 4 0% vs 2.7% · n=33
In Hurdle races 4.8% vs 2.7% · n=42
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 45 1 2.2% −32.00
Hurdle 42 2 4.8% −28.00
NH Flat 20 0 0% −20.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 43 1 2.3% −38.00
Good 32 2 6.3% −10.00
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 13 0 0% −13.00
Sedgefield 8 0 0% −8.00
Catterick 8 0 0% −8.00
Market Rasen 7 0 0% −7.00
Uttoxeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Wetherby 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 4 0 0% −4.00
Southwell 4 1 25% +5.00
Carlisle 4 0 0% −4.00
Hexham 4 1 25% +1.00
Doncaster 4 1 25% +9.00
Newcastle 3 0 0% −3.00
Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Downpatrick 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 33 0 0% −33.00
Class 3 16 1 6.3% −3.00
Class 5 11 2 18.2% +3.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00
4th–6th fav 26 2 7.7% 0.96 −12.00
7th+ in betting 70 1 1.4% 0.48 −57.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
79.3% completed · 87 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 45 66.7% 4 2 8 1 0
Hurdle 42 92.9% 0 1 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
And Whatever Else (IRE) 10 0 2 26 Jan 10
Gunpoint (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Mar 10
Stagecoach Opal (GB) 4 1 2 5 Apr 09
Black Mogul (GB) 4 1 2 5 Apr 09
Rare Society (IRE) 4 0 1 16 Jan 09
Carutomark (IRE) 3 0 1 3 Aug 10
Work Boy (GB) 3 0 0 8 Dec 09
Cardington (GB) 3 0 0 28 Mar 09
Leac An Scail (IRE) 3 0 2 14 Mar 09
It's Bertie (GB) 3 0 3 20 Jan 09
Goinforporter (IRE) 3 0 0 26 Apr 08
The Green Hat (IRE) 2 0 0 6 Nov 09
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000·0001106
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardSue Smith
53% of all rides
5.1% SR · A/E 0.64
TrainerRWSR£1
Sue Smith 59 3 5.1% −32.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
6
Archived wins
£76,195
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Red Setter (IRE) — DNG Nationwide Chase (Ladies Perpetual Cup) Punchestown · Apr 2007
£11,056
Winterdown Star (IRE) — William & Gladys Bourke (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race Navan (IRE) · Nov 2007
£7,256
Stagecoach Opal (GB) — Sheffield And Hallamshire Sporting Club Handicap Chase Doncaster · Dec 2008 · Class 3
£6,505

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob Back (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Nomadic Way (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.8% of 799 runs since 2008 (70 horses).
SADDLER'S HALL (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).
Deep Society (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 0% of 17 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Komaite (USA) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 10.1% of 447 runs since 2008 (27 horses).
Rainbow Quest (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10% of 1,384 runs since 2008 (113 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.1% from 230.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 211 · newest first

The latest 50 of 211 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2005 to 31 August 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Sep 12 Roscommon Lagan Canal (IRE)T: A J Martin Frenchpark (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 16/1
26 Oct 10 Punchestown Railway Road (IRE)T: A J McNamara Punchestown Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 16th 25/1
10 Mar 10 Catterick Gunpoint (IRE)T: Sue Smith Racinguk.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 17 ran 11th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr A E Kinirons's strike rate?
Mr A E Kinirons has won 3 of 111 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Mr A E Kinirons ride most for?
Sue Smith, with 59 rides since 2008 — 53% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (5.1%).
What is Mr A E Kinirons's Fair A/E?
0.47, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).