Thomas J Farrell
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18). With a claiming rider up the record reads 7% (77 runs).
The yard also read well in Hurdle races (8.8%, n=57). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.77 across 56 runners (3.6% strike, −28.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 144 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 144 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 May 2009 to 29 December 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Thomas J Farrell's strike rate?
- Thomas J Farrell has won 7 of 144 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Thomas J Farrell's Fair A/E?
- 1.18, from 144 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.