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Trainer profile

Michael Hourigan

201 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2024 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–201
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=201
35 (17%)
Placed
0.62
Fair A/E
n=201 · 0.49 incl. margin
−154.09
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −76.7%
£109k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
1.6%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.62).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 0% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (9.6%, n=52) and on Good going (8.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 40 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. 28 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup at Leopardstown (Feb 2007, £117,000). The stable star of the record: False Economy (IRE) — 8 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%−0.9
n=39 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −33.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.5
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+6.5
n=10 · A/E 2.18 · £1 +9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −3.42
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−3.5
n=77 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −77.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
16.7%+13.2
n=6 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.6% vs 3.5% · n=52
With Darragh O'Keeffe 9.3% vs 3.5% · n=43
On Good going 8.5% vs 3.5% · n=47
With claiming riders up 0% vs 3.5% · n=77
With horses switching code 0% vs 3.5% · n=66
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 3.5% · n=40
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 131 4 3.1% −99.92
Chase 39 2 5.1% −28.67
NH Flat 16 1 6.3% −10.50
Flat 15 0 0% −15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 86 3 3.5% −73.92
Good 47 4 8.5% −12.17
Good to Soft 40 0 0% −40.00
Heavy 27 0 0% −27.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 23 0 0% −23.00
Cork 22 0 0% −22.00
Ballinrobe 19 0 0% −19.00
Punchestown 18 1 5.6% −15.75
Killarney 16 2 12.5% −5.67
Listowel 14 2 14.3% +10.50
Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00
Kilbeggan 12 0 0% −12.00
Naas 11 0 0% −11.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 5 1 20% +0.50
Sligo 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 12 3 25% 1.09 +0.08
2nd–3rd fav 25 3 12% 0.86 −9.17
4th–6th fav 41 0 0% 0.00 −41.00
7th+ in betting 123 1 0.8% 0.40 −104.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.6% completed · 170 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 39 89.7% 0 0 4 0 0
Hurdle 131 87% 2 3 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rising Dust (IRE)then Emmet Mullins 16 1 4 22 Aug 24
Touch Of Oscar (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 15 0 2 16 Feb 23
Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)then Gary & Josh Moore 14 0 6 28 Sep 24
Winning Smut (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 13 0 2 19 Jul 24
All Walks Of Life (IRE) 13 0 1 2 Jul 24
Icee M B A (IRE) 12 0 1 22 Aug 24
Winning Rascal (GB) 11 2 2 27 Oct 22
Dorans Law (IRE)then P J Rothwell 9 0 4 4 Jul 24
Sanibel Island (IRE)from Gearoid Patrick Brouder 9 2 6 25 May 23
The Connector (IRE) 9 1 4 21 Apr 23
Getawiggleon (FR)from David J Geary 8 0 0 26 Sep 24
Ferrybridge (IRE)then James Owen 7 0 0 27 Jul 23
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from D Harvey (2) and Gearoid Patrick Brouder (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Keelan Dempsey (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
01404090061800
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDarragh O'Keeffe
21% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 1.19
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh O'Keeffe 43 4 9.3% −9.34
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
277
Archived wins
28
Pattern / graded wins
£5.83m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 37 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2007 · Grade 1
£117,000
Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Feb 2006 · Grade 1
£109,800
Beef Or Salmon (IRE) — Lexus Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2005 · Grade 1
£97,500
Notable horses
False Economy (IRE) Dancing Tornado (IRE) Church Island (IRE) Hans Crescent (FR) The Gatechecker (IRE) Just (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,804 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Leading Light (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,193 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Touch Of Land (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.5% of 681 runs since 2008 (44 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 178. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Vita Venturi (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 4.4% of 90 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Barely A Moment (AUS) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 3.1% of 129 runs since 2008 (19 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,110 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,110 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 28 September 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Sep 24 Listowel Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 5/4F
26 Sep 24 Listowel Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Behans Horseshoe Bar, Restaurant & Townhouse Handicap Hurdle (80-123)20f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
26 Sep 24 Listowel Getawiggleon (FR)J: Danny Mullins Buckley Agri New Holland Irish EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 18/1
11 Sep 24 Cork Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Follow Us On Social Media Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 250/1
25 Aug 24 Naas Getawiggleon (FR)J: James Ryan TRM Speedxcell Multi Vitamin And Mineral Tonic Handicap10.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 5th 80/1
24 Aug 24 Killarney Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Killarney Park Hotel Beginners Chase17f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 2nd 14/1
22 Aug 24 Killarney Icee M B A (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Thorn Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-109)21f · Yielding · 9 ran PU 40/1
22 Aug 24 Killarney Rising Dust (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Jeremy O'Neill Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)23.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran PU 11/2
18 Aug 24 Tramore Getawiggleon (FR)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Peter Queally Memorial Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 15 ran 7th 33/1
12 Aug 24 Ballinrobe Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Phillip Enright C.J. Sheeran Ltd 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 100/1
05 Aug 24 Cork Four Shares (GB)J: Aidan Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 100/1
03 Aug 24 Galway Madam Alkaterina (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Bathshack Maiden8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 200/1
03 Aug 24 Galway Thefutureisnow (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Bathshack Maiden8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 250/1
03 Aug 24 Galway Her Self (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon BoyleSports Best Odds Guaranteed Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 20 ran UR 250/1
24 Jul 24 Wexford Ballywilliam Boy (IRE)J: Danny Mullins www.wexfordraces.ie Beginners Chase19.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 9/1
23 Jul 24 Ballinrobe All In Peder (FR)J: Danny Gilligan David Heneghan Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 11/1
23 Jul 24 Ballinrobe Her Self (IRE)J: Mark McDonagh Breaffy House Resort Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 13th 200/1
20 Jul 24 Curragh Madam Alkaterina (IRE)J: Robert Whearty La Celia Wines Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 250/1
19 Jul 24 Killarney Rising Dust (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Lee Strand Handicap Chase (0-102)23f · Good · 15 ran 4th 4/1F
19 Jul 24 Killarney Winning Smut (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Lee Strand Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 10 ran 5th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Hourigan's strike rate?
Michael Hourigan has won 7 of 201 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael Hourigan's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).