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Jockey profile

Mr Ed Bailey

71 rides in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2018 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–71
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=71
9 (13%)
Placed
0.76
Fair A/E
n=71 · 0.65 incl. margin
−16.00
£1 level stake
n=71 at SP · −22.5%
£26,443
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 4.3%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−4.2
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−4.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.3%+2.1
n=16 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −8.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
4.3%+0.1
n=70 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −15.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
9.1%+4.9
n=11 · A/E 2.43 · £1 +2.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Matt Sheppard 8.3% vs 4.2% · n=36
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 4.2% · n=30
When claiming 4.3% vs 4.2% · n=70 · A/E 0.76
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 41 2 4.9% +1.00
Hurdle 23 1 4.3% −10.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 23 2 8.7% −2.00
Soft 19 1 5.3% +15.00
Good to Soft 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Ludlow 19 1 5.3% −11.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Warwick 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Chepstow 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Ffos Las 3 1 33.3% +31.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Taunton 3 0 0% −3.00
Wincanton 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 34 1 2.9% +0.00
Class 5 22 2 9.1% −1.00
Class 6 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 0.88 +0.00
4th–6th fav 26 1 3.8% 0.56 −13.00
7th+ in betting 37 1 2.7% 0.96 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.3% completed · 64 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 41 63.4% 0 4 11 0 0
Hurdle 23 82.6% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Go On Henry (IRE) 16 1 3 11 Jan 18
Grandioso (IRE) 5 0 1 22 Mar 18
Handsome Sam (GB) 5 0 0 31 Jan 18
Act Four (IRE) 5 1 1 28 Apr 17
Phangio (USA) 4 0 1 23 Feb 18
Mr Cardle (IRE) 4 0 1 6 Apr 17
Tugboat (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Feb 18
The Ould Lad (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Apr 17
Ballyallia Man (IRE) 3 0 0 24 Mar 16
Patricks Park (IRE) 2 1 1 21 Oct 17
Musical Moon (GB) 2 0 0 1 Feb 17
Filament Of Gold (USA) 1 0 0 20 Feb 18
All 30 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00011000004000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardMatt Sheppard
51% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 1.22
TrainerRWSR£1
Matt Sheppard 36 3 8.3% +19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
3
Archived wins
£26,443
Prize money
2017
Best season · 3 wins
Patricks Park (IRE) — Ladbrokes Handicap Chase Ffos Las · Oct 2017 · Class 4
£6,498
Go On Henry (IRE) — Bob Hagan 70th Birthday Amateur Riders' Handicap Chase Ludlow · Oct 2017 · Class 5
£3,743
Act Four (IRE) — totescoop6 The Millionaire Maker Novices' Handicap Hurdle Chepstow · Apr 2017 · Class 5
£2,599
Notable horses
Go On Henry (IRE) Act Four (IRE) Patricks Park (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Golan (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,684 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Old Vic (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,837 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Invasor (ARG) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.5% of 213 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 71 · newest first

The latest 50 of 71 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2016 to 22 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
22 Mar 18 Ludlow Grandioso (IRE)T: Steve Flook Abberley Hall Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7th 14/1
09 Mar 18 Leicester Grandioso (IRE)T: Steve Flook Nicol & Fielding Mechanical Services Ltd Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 14/1
23 Feb 18 Warwick Phangio (USA)T: Matt Sheppard 188Bet Download The App Hands And Heels Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 5 · 26f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 7/1
20 Feb 18 Wolverhampton (AW) Filament Of Gold (USA)T: Roy Brotherton Betway Casino Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 25/1
18 Feb 18 Ffos Las Tugboat (IRE)T: G Slade-Jones Walters Welsh Foxhunters Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 14/1
31 Jan 18 Leicester Handsome Sam (GB)T: Matt Sheppard Six Hills Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 13th 20/1
26 Jan 18 Doncaster Steel Summit (IRE)T: David Dennis Sky Bet Extra Place Races Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran PU 22/1
16 Jan 18 Hereford Handsome Sam (GB)T: Matt Sheppard Follow myracingtips On Twitter Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 13 ran PU 7/1
11 Jan 18 Leicester Go On Henry (IRE)T: Matt Sheppard Dove Selling HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 33/1
10 Jan 18 Kempton (AW) Milord (GER)T: Kim Bailey 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 40/1
10 Jan 18 Ludlow Phangio (USA)T: Matt Sheppard A.J.A Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 17 ran 7th 33/1
03 Jan 18 Ludlow R Bren (IRE)T: Tracey Barfoot-Saunt 235 Annual Membership Mares' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 100/1
27 Dec 17 Limerick Rock On Barney (IRE)T: G T Lynch BRC McMahon Reinforcements Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 25/1
26 Dec 17 Huntingdon Lady Marwah (IRE)T: Michael Scudamore Henrietta Knight Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 25/1
26 Dec 17 Huntingdon Skint (GB)T: Michael Scudamore Kia Stonic Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 12/1
16 Dec 17 Hereford Go On Henry (IRE)T: Matt Sheppard Central Roofing South Wales Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 25/1
16 Dec 17 Hereford Handsome Sam (GB)T: Matt Sheppard Ross Labels Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 15/2
07 Dec 17 Wincanton Zayfire Aramis (GB)T: Michael Scudamore Jockey Club Catering Amateur Riders' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 6 ran UR 13/2
06 Dec 17 Ludlow Handsome Sam (GB)T: Matt Sheppard Perrott Properties Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 5th 14/1
06 Dec 17 Ludlow Go On Henry (IRE)T: Matt Sheppard Racing UK Club Day Today Novices' Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 4th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Ed Bailey's strike rate?
Mr Ed Bailey has won 3 of 71 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Ed Bailey's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 71 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).