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Jockey profile

Mr J P Dowling

50 rides in the lifetime window · 27 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2018
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–50
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=50
10 (20%)
Placed
1.05
Fair A/E
n=50 · 0.83 incl. margin
−21.50
£1 level stake
n=50 at SP · −43.0%
£25,799
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.1%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−2.3
n=27 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −16.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−6.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−6.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.1%+0.1
n=49 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −20.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.8%−1.2
n=21 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In NH Flat races 9.4% vs 6% · n=32
Over 1m5f – 2m 2.9% vs 6% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 32 3 9.4% −3.50
Flat 17 0 0% −17.00
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 21 2 9.5% −3.50
Soft 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +4.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 7 0 0% −7.00
Roscommon 4 1 25% +7.00
Curragh 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Navan 3 1 33.3% +10.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Tramore 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 2 1 50% +2.50
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Listowel 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.87 −4.50
4th–6th fav 15 2 13.3% 1.85 +9.00
7th+ in betting 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Man Of Conquest (IRE) 6 0 1 29 Apr 16
Concience (IRE) 5 1 4 16 Oct 15
Zagress (IRE) 5 0 0 14 Oct 15
Pack The Punch (IRE) 3 1 2 10 Sep 14
Let The Heirs Walk (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Sep 18
Theophilus (IRE) 2 0 0 29 Jul 17
Melanna (IRE) 2 0 0 16 Aug 15
Maighnealta (IRE) 2 0 0 11 Oct 14
Little Haarth (IRE) 2 1 1 6 Sep 14
Eve's Warrior (IRE) 2 0 0 31 Jul 14
Toburg Island (IRE) 2 0 0 21 Jun 14
Twin Focus (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Jun 14
All 27 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·00000140933·0
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Desmond McDonogh 28 3 10.7% +0.50
J S Bolger 8 0 0% −8.00
Brendan W Duke 6 0 0% −6.00
P J F Murphy 3 0 0% −3.00
James M Barrett 3 0 0% −3.00
John O Clifford 1 0 0% −1.00
Denis W Cullen 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£25,799
Prize money
2014
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Concience (IRE) — Invitational Byerley Turk Gala Ball On 5th December Flat Race Downpatrick · Oct 2015
£6,210
Little Haarth (IRE) — Follow Navan Racecourse On Twitter Flat Race Navan · Sep 2014
£5,520
Pack The Punch (IRE) — roscommonracecourse.ie Flat Race Roscommon · Jul 2014
£5,175
Notable horses
Concience (IRE) Pack The Punch (IRE) Little Haarth (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Teofilo (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.5% of 10,085 runs since 2011 (908 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7% from 626.
Kutub (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,003 runs since 2008 (86 horses).
Zagreb (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Golan (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,151 runs since 2008 (288 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 258.
Alhaarth (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Camacho (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 55 · newest first

The latest 50 of 55 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 June 2005 to 21 September 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Sep 18 Ballinrobe Let The Heirs Walk (IRE)T: Brendan W Duke Cummins Homevalue Hardware Flat Race16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 5th 8/1
11 Sep 18 Listowel Let The Heirs Walk (IRE)T: Brendan W Duke Kerry Petroleum Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 6th 8/1
31 Aug 18 Curragh New Direction (IRE)T: J S Bolger Paddy Power Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Handicap (50-85)12f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 12th 16/1
23 Sep 17 Navan Peace Party (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Meath Farm Machinery (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 8/1
29 Jul 17 Curragh Theophilus (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Irish Daily Mail Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Handicap (50-85)12f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 7th 10/1
15 Jun 17 Leopardstown Constancio (IRE)T: J S Bolger Leopardstown Summer Pass (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good · 15 ran RO 8/1
25 Sep 16 Curragh Theophilus (IRE)T: J S Bolger Manguard Plus Amateur Riders Derby (Q.R.) Handicap (50-85)12f · Heavy · 20 ran 8th 12/1
14 May 16 Punchestown Lake Maria (IRE)T: Brendan W Duke Racing Again On 1st June Flat Race16f · Good · 23 ran 12th 33/1
07 May 16 Wexford Alterno (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Owenavarragh (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Yielding · 10 ran 5th 16/1
02 May 16 Down Royal Howluckycanwebe (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Jackson Court Hotel Flat Race16f · Good · 19 ran 11th 33/1
29 Apr 16 Punchestown Man Of Conquest (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Racing Fx Flat Race18f · Yielding · 24 ran 16th 50/1
29 Mar 16 Fairyhouse Man Of Conquest (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh 42.ie Flat Race16f · Yielding · 9 ran 5th 33/1
16 Oct 15 Downpatrick Concience (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Invitational Byerley Turk Gala Ball On 5th December Flat Race18f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/2
14 Oct 15 Punchestown Zagress (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 66/1
26 Sep 15 Navan Zagress (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Bective Restaurant (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Good · 14 ran 9th 50/1
25 Sep 15 Downpatrick Concience (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Party After Racing Flat Race18f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 12/1
08 Sep 15 Galway Concience (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Weatherbys Ireland GSB Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 6/1
16 Aug 15 Tramore Melanna (IRE)T: James M Barrett Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 7/1
14 Aug 15 Tramore Concience (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Brennan's Pharmacy Flat Race16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2
12 Jul 15 Sligo (IRE) Zagress (IRE)T: Desmond McDonogh Sligo Rovers Race Day 5th August Flat Race18f · Good · 9 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr J P Dowling's strike rate?
Mr J P Dowling has won 3 of 50 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr J P Dowling's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 50 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).