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Trainer profile

Desmond McDonogh

135 runners in the last 5 seasons · 11 individual horses
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 264 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
10–135
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=135
30 (22%)
Placed
1.24
Fair A/E
n=135 · 0.96 incl. margin
−43.50
£1 level stake
n=135 at SP · −32.2%
£123k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.24).

Deterministic profile computed from 135 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 7.9%
The read

The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (20%, n=45) and off a 31-60-day break (15.2%, n=33). The market has also underrated the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 1.48 across 60 runners (10% strike, +0.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 1.6% over 64 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Rybo Handicap Hurdle at Fairyhouse (Apr 2021, £47,200). The stable star of the record: Hearts Are Trumps (IRE) — 5 wins from 46 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%−1.5
n=34 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +0.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+17.6
n=4 · A/E 7.05 · £1 +25.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 3.45 · £1 +9.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.9%+0.5
n=63 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −4.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 20% vs 7.4% · n=45
Off a 31-60-day break 15.2% vs 7.4% · n=33
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.6% vs 7.4% · n=64
In Hurdle races 10.2% vs 7.4% · n=98
On Soft going 10% vs 7.4% · n=60
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 98 10 10.2% −6.50
Flat 29 0 0% −29.00
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 60 6 10% +0.50
Good 27 3 11.1% −8.00
Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −11.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Navan 19 0 0% −19.00
Ballinrobe 14 1 7.1% −5.00
Naas 14 2 14.3% +7.00
Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00
Dundalk (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 8 1 12.5% +21.00
Roscommon 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 5 1 20% −1.00
Gowran Park 5 2 40% +6.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Wexford 4 1 25% +4.50
Sligo 3 1 33.3% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 3 50% 2.83 +8.50
2nd–3rd fav 21 3 14.3% 1.17 −3.00
4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.26 −3.00
7th+ in betting 75 1 1.3% 0.48 −46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.7% completed · 106 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 8 62.5% 0 1 2 0 0
Hurdle 98 90.8% 3 2 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Luimneach (IRE)then Conor O'Dwyer 22 2 5 5 Feb 26
Verbal Sparring (IRE)from J S Bolger 22 2 8 3 Feb 26
In For The Night (IRE)then Conor O'Dwyer 21 2 6 11 Oct 25
Hearts Are Trumps (IRE) 15 1 2 29 Nov 23
Peace Party (IRE) 15 0 5 30 May 23
Static Charge (GB)from Joseph G Murphy 9 0 0 1 Dec 23
Music Magic (IRE)from G M Lyons 9 0 0 14 Aug 23
Fair Minded (IRE) 8 0 0 31 Dec 22
Moving Water (IRE) 8 3 4 29 Oct 22
Glenview (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Oct 22
Enquire Within (IRE)from Miss Maura McGuinness · then F G Hand 3 0 0 28 May 22
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Conor O'Dwyer (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
33807725807860
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Walsh 21 4 19% +3.00
E Walsh 18 0 0% −18.00
Aidan Kelly 15 4 26.7% +19.00
Declan McDonogh 13 0 0% −13.00
Carl Millar 7 2 28.6% +26.50
Simon Torrens 7 0 0% −7.00
Wayne Hassett 7 0 0% −7.00
Jody McGarvey 6 0 0% −6.00
Charlie O'Dwyer 6 0 0% −6.00
L P Dempsey 4 0 0% −4.00
Miss A B O'Connor 4 0 0% −4.00
Shane O'Callaghan 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
58
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£926k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Hearts Are Trumps (IRE) — Rybo Handicap Hurdle (Grade A) Fairyhouse · Apr 2021 · Grade A
£47,200
Fiscal Focus (IRE) — Knight Frank Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Leopardstown · Dec 2014 · Grade 2
£26,000
Morga (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2016
£18,450
Notable horses
Hearts Are Trumps (IRE) Morga (IRE) Little Haarth (IRE) Articilitis (IRE) Alterno (IRE) World Citizen (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,208 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Vocalised (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Champs Elysees (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,122 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Gamut (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,839 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Fastnet Rock (AUS) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 12.1% of 5,482 runs since 2008 (557 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,275 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,275 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 5 February 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Feb 26 Thurles Luimneach (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Racing Again On The 19th February Handicap Chase18f · Soft · 16 ran PU 10/1
03 Feb 26 Fairyhouse Verbal Sparring (IRE)J: Carl Millar Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 12 ran 2nd 11/1
20 Jan 26 Down Royal Luimneach (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Aspall Handicap Chase (0-100)20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 25/1
20 Jan 26 Down Royal Verbal Sparring (IRE)J: Carl Millar Pravha Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 28/1
20 Nov 25 Thurles Luimneach (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Chase18.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 10/1
16 Nov 25 Navan Verbal Sparring (IRE)J: Carl Millar Gaeil Colmcille GAA Kells 'Day At The Races' Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Heavy · 24 ran F 40/1
11 Oct 25 Fairyhouse In For The Night (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 20/1
07 Oct 25 Galway Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Mongey Communications Handicap Chase18f · Yielding · 9 ran UR 8/1
20 Sep 25 Navan In For The Night (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 33/1
29 Aug 25 Wexford Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Dan & Breda Byrne Memorial Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 14/1
09 Jun 25 Roscommon Luimneach (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Strokestown Handicap Chase16f · Good · 13 ran 9th 14/1
08 Jun 25 Punchestown In For The Night (IRE)J: Miss A B O'Connor INHSC Congratulate Pandora Briselden Ladies Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 11th 10/1
30 Apr 25 Punchestown In For The Night (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Yielding · 25 ran 19th 28/1
25 Apr 25 Kilbeggan Luimneach (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Racing Again Friday May 16th Beginners Chase22.5f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 40/1
03 Apr 25 Naas In For The Night (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Mulvaney Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 1st 11/1
27 Mar 25 Clonmel Luimneach (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Kilmanahan Beginners Chase16.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 8/1
22 Feb 25 Fairyhouse In For The Night (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Tote, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 23 ran PU 10/1
31 Dec 24 Punchestown In For The Night (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Tote's Cheers To 2024 Handicap Hurdle19f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 11/2
15 Dec 24 Navan Luimneach (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 4th 8/1
30 Nov 24 Fairyhouse In For The Night (IRE)J: Charlie O'Dwyer Roganstown Hotel & Country Club 20th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle (80-130)20f · Yielding · 24 ran 2nd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Desmond McDonogh's strike rate?
Desmond McDonogh has won 10 of 135 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Desmond McDonogh's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 135 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 27 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).