What is P J F Murphy's strike rate?

P J F Murphy has won 30 of 491 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P J F Murphy do best at?

Curragh by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P J F Murphy?

Gavin Ryan, with 89 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.6%).

Is P J F Murphy in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P J F Murphy's Fair A/E?

0.92, from 491 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P J F Murphy

491 runners in the last 5 seasons · 66 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

30–491

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=491

93 (19%)

Placed

0.92

Fair A/E

n=491 · 0.73 incl. margin

−204.60

£1 level stake

n=491 at SP · −41.7%

£383k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.92). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (138 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 491 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Gavin Ryan: 5.6% from 89 Claiming riders: 8%

The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Gavin Ryan rides 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (11.4%, n=35). The record reads poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 1.9% over 154 runners, 4.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.67 across 133 runners (3.8% strike, −49.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Craft Irish (IRE) — 5 wins from 16 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.1%−2.0

n=74 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −35.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

3.3%−2.8

n=30 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −19.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.1

n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5%−1.1

n=20 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −12.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.8%+5.7

n=17 · A/E 1.67 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

20%

n=25 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −10.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8%+1.9

n=138 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −53.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.1

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Gowran Park 0% vs 6.1% · n=37

Over 1m – 1m1f 1.9% vs 6.1% · n=154

On Good to Soft going 11.4% vs 6.1% · n=35

Over 6f – 7f 8.4% vs 6.1% · n=202

With a new jockey booking 4% vs 6.1% · n=249

On Good going 3.8% vs 6.1% · n=133

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 479 30 6.3% −192.60

Hurdle 7 0 0% −7.00

Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 177 14 7.9% −67.64

Good 133 5 3.8% −49.50

Soft 108 5 4.6% −70.29

Good to Soft 35 4 11.4% −6.17

Heavy 31 1 3.2% −10.00

Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 174 14 8% −64.64

Gowran Park 37 0 0% −37.00

Curragh 33 3 9.1% −8.50

Leopardstown 27 1 3.7% −6.00

Navan 24 0 0% −24.00

Naas 24 3 12.5% +2.38

Roscommon 20 2 10% −7.17

Bellewstown 19 0 0% −19.00

Cork 18 3 16.7% +6.50

Listowel 14 0 0% −14.00

Galway 14 1 7.1% −9.67

Limerick 13 0 0% −13.00

Killarney 12 0 0% −12.00

Down Royal 11 0 0% −11.00

Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 31 6 19.4% 0.79 −12.43

2nd–3rd fav 62 7 11.3% 0.83 −15.67

4th–6th fav 110 13 11.8% 1.47 +7.50

7th+ in betting 288 4 1.4% 0.51 −184.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Free Solo (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 44 3 11 15 Oct 26

Mint Man (GB) 35 3 16 2 Sep 26

Desert Friend (IRE)from Mrs Denise Foster 18 2 3 8 Oct 26

Un Bacio Ancora (IRE)from C W J Farrell · then James M Barcoe 18 0 2 26 Jul 24

Asisaid (IRE)then Denis Gerard Hogan 17 2 2 23 Aug 24

Mythical Rock (IRE)from James M Barrett · then C Byrnes 16 1 6 30 Jan 26

Craft Irish (IRE) 16 5 7 20 Aug 23

Methgal (IRE)from K R Burke · then Dylan Cunha 15 1 3 30 Jun 26

Lucky Queen (IRE)from James M Barrett · then P A Fahy 15 1 5 19 Sep 23

Eagles Whistle (IRE)then Daragh Bourke 13 0 1 20 Sep 25

Snag It (IRE)from Alastair Ralph 13 1 2 31 Jan 25

Longclaw (USA)from Kevin Frost 13 2 5 16 Jul 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Gerard Hogan (2) and James M Barrett (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard; 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

111473443108288

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGavin Ryan

18% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Gavin Ryan 89 5 5.6% +0.71

Luke McAteer 49 3 6.1% −21.50

Chris Hayes 44 2 4.5% −30.50

Conor Cusack 35 3 8.6% −5.17

R. P. Whelan 30 1 3.3% −28.27

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

Archived wins

£699k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 8 wins

Mint Man (GB) — Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2026

£15,000

Craft Irish (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Naas · Aug 2023

£11,800

Waka Waka (IRE) — Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden Galway · Jul 2022

£11,210

Notable horses

Craft Irish (IRE) Fairy Foxglove (IRE) Koybig (IRE) Free Solo (IRE) Mint Man (GB) Carvelas (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Showcasing (GB) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,575 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Due Diligence (USA) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,543 runs since 2008 (193 horses).

Cotai Glory (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,912 runs since 2008 (388 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,392. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 416.

No Nay Never (USA) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,300 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9% from 611. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 184.

Dandy Man (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,911 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Universal (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 892 · newest first

The latest 50 of 892 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 March 2013 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Free Solo (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Feel The Rush With 1xBet.ie Handicap7f · Soft · 20 ran 4th 33/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Cosmic Funk (IRE)J: Ben Coen Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 5/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mehman (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II)7f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 3/1F

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Desert Friend (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 12/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Aghadrum Boy (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 40/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Free Solo (IRE)J: Chris Hayes BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 9th 9/1

05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) One Cool County (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 40/1

25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Mehman (GB)J: Conor Cusack View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap6f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 7/1

21 Sep 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Cloughleagh Bridge (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race7f · Good · 6 ran 6th 10/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Cosmic Funk (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 4th 20/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Perfect Judgement (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 4/1

18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Free Solo (IRE)J: Ben Coen Friday Night Lights Are Back At Dundalk Handicap7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 10/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Signor Ferrari (IRE)J: Conor Cusack Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 5th 3/1F

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) One Cool County (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 10th 300/1

09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Mehman (GB)J: Gavin Ryan Follow Us On Instagram Handicap6f · Good · 22 ran 7th 28/1

08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Cloughleagh Bridge (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 100/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Aghadrum Boy (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Navan Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 16 ran 10th 50/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Perfect Judgement (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 5th 8/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Mint Man (GB)J: Chris Hayes Navan Racecourse Handicap5f · Good · 16 ran 13th 12/1

01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Cosmic Funk (IRE)J: Luke McAteer Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap8f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P J F Murphy's strike rate?: P J F Murphy has won 30 of 491 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P J F Murphy do best at?: Curragh by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P J F Murphy?: Gavin Ryan, with 89 runners since 2022 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.6%).
Is P J F Murphy in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P J F Murphy's Fair A/E?: 0.92, from 491 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.