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Trainer profile

Brendan W Duke

171 runners in the last 5 seasons · 33 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–171
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=171
26 (15%)
Placed
1.08
Fair A/E
n=171 · 0.85 incl. margin
−86.75
£1 level stake
n=171 at SP · −50.7%
£109k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 171 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (7.7%, n=39). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the El Gran Senor Stakes at Tipperary (IRE) (Oct 2006, £32,550). The stable star of the record: Mister Benedictine (GB) — 7 wins from 64 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.7
n=37 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −37.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.8%−0.9
n=52 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −39.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Rory Cleary 7.9% vs 4.7% · n=38
Off a 15-30-day break 7.7% vs 4.7% · n=39
In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 4.7% · n=46
Off a 8-14-day break 6.7% vs 4.7% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 118 6 5.1% −43.00
Hurdle 46 1 2.2% −40.50
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 1 1 100% +2.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 71 4 5.6% −22.50
Soft 50 2 4% −39.00
Good to Soft 23 1 4.3% −19.25
Standard (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Curragh 20 0 0% −20.00
Punchestown 17 0 0% −17.00
Leopardstown 15 0 0% −15.00
Dundalk (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Naas 12 2 16.7% +12.00
Gowran Park 12 1 8.3% +7.00
Killarney 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Down Royal 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Galway 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 4 44.4% 2.39 +11.25
4th–6th fav 30 1 3.3% 0.48 −19.00
7th+ in betting 128 3 2.3% 1.07 −75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Darraby (GB) 14 1 3 20 Jul 23
Canon Law (IRE) 13 2 4 21 Sep 26
The Holy Apostle (IRE) 12 0 1 27 Aug 26
Pride Of Pimlico (IRE) 12 0 2 15 Jun 23
Zheleznaya Dama (USA) 11 1 3 28 Sep 26
Bold Approach (IRE)from J S Bolger · then J S Bolger 11 1 3 28 May 23
Coolcullen (IRE)from J S Bolger 10 0 2 20 May 23
Joan Of Pimlico (IRE) 8 0 0 30 May 23
Victory Lantern (IRE)from Edward Lynam · then Aidan Anthony Howard 7 0 0 1 Jun 23
Moving (IRE)from J S Bolger 7 0 0 2 Dec 22
Sweetie Too (IRE) 6 0 0 28 Sep 26
Ballysax Hank (IRE)from Miss Katy Brown · then Gavin Cromwell 6 1 4 10 Dec 24
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from J S Bolger (4); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00006042010000
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRory Cleary
22% of all rides
7.9% SR · A/E 1.65
RiderRWSR£1
Rory Cleary 38 3 7.9% −2.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
76
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£997k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Zafonical Storm (USA) — El Gran Senor Stakes () Tipperary (IRE) · Oct 2006 · Listed
£32,550
Warm The Voice (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Premier Nursery Handicap Listowel · Sep 2017
£29,500
Openide (GB) — Kevin McManus Bookmaker Like-A-Butterfly Novice Chase Tipperary (IRE) · Oct 2006 · Grade 3
£29,295
Notable horses
Mister Benedictine (GB) Bramalea (GB) Openide (GB) Left Hand Drive (GB) Headache (GB) Pride Of Pimlico (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Waldgeist (GB) 9.7% · 3–31
Progeny have won 8.8% of 936 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.2% from 233.
Dawn Approach (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,576 runs since 2008 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Saxon Warrior (JPN) 6.3% · 1–16
Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,917 runs since 2008 (365 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.9% from 946. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.6% from 142.
Danon Ballade (JPN) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 7.1% of 112 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Casamento (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,626 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.
Camelot (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,709 runs since 2008 (756 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,577 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,577 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Pimlico Piranha (GB)J: Wesley Joyce Navan Racecourse Handicap14f · Yielding · 23 ran 23rd 80/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Sweetie Too (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 7th 14/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) The Monday Club (GB)J: Rory Cleary Pravha Handicap (Div I)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 20/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Zheleznaya Dama (USA)J: Rory Cleary Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 10/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Canon Law (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap12f · Yielding · 15 ran 1st 13/2
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Sweetie Too (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Suir Blueway Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 12/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) The Monday Club (GB)J: Rory Cleary Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 9th 40/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Canon Law (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap12f · Soft · 15 ran 2nd 6/1
08 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Sweetie Too (IRE)J: Rory Cleary James P. Cunningham Electrical Handicap8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 50/1
31 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Canon Law (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap12f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 6th 6/1
29 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Sword Of State (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Newtownanner Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 200/1
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) The Holy Apostle (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle This Saturday Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 12 ran 12th 14/1
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Sweetie Too (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 66/1
20 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Zheleznaya Dama (USA)J: Rory Cleary Unio Employee Benefits Handicap7f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 12th 15/2
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Sword Of State (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Auction Series Race7.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 3/1
12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Pimlico Piranha (GB)J: Rory Cleary 1XBET IRISH SPIRIT Handicap (Div I)9.5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 15th 40/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) The Holy Apostle (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Renault Ireland Handicap9f · Good · 22 ran 18th 14/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) The Monday Club (GB)J: Diego Lima Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 14th 150/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Canon Law (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Guinness Handicap13.5f · Yielding · 10 ran 1st 5/2
03 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Sweetie Too (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Hurling For Cancer On August 24th Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 17 ran 8th 200/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Brendan W Duke's strike rate?
Brendan W Duke has won 8 of 171 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Brendan W Duke in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Brendan W Duke's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 171 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).