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Jockey profile

Mr P J Casey

92 rides in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2014
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–92
Wins / Runs
5.4%
Strike rate
n=92
15 (16%)
Placed
1.10
n=92 · 0.81 incl. margin
+17.33
£1 level stake
n=92 at SP · +18.8%
£58,130
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
100%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.1%−3.3
n=47 · A/E 0.54 · £1 −21.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−5.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
4.8%−0.6
n=21 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
5.4%+0.0
n=92 · A/E 1.10 · £1 +17.33
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.5%+0.1
n=55 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +17.33

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With debutants 0% vs 5.4% · n=32
On first rides for the horse 2.1% vs 5.4% · n=47
On Soft going 2.6% vs 5.4% · n=38
With Peter Casey 7.5% vs 5.4% · n=40
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.6% vs 5.4% · n=55 · A/E 0.83
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 65 4 6.2% +33.33
Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Hurdle 11 1 9.1% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 38 1 2.6% −12.00
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Heavy 12 2 16.7% +3.33
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 9 1 11.1% +8.00
Standard (AW) 5 1 20% +46.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Down Royal 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 9 0 0% −9.00
Punchestown 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 6 1 16.7% +20.00
Bellewstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Galway 6 0 0% −6.00
Leopardstown 6 0 0% −6.00
Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00
Navan 5 1 20% +6.00
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 4 1 25% +47.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Limerick 4 1 25% +13.00
Sligo 3 1 33.3% +1.33
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 0.94 −2.67
4th–6th fav 18 2 11.1% 1.77 +10.00
7th+ in betting 64 2 3.1% 1.11 +13.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
100% completed · 11 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 11 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ross Limestone (IRE) 4 0 2 20 Jul 10
Inch Rebel (IRE) 4 1 1 18 Jun 09
Cooksgrove Lady (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Apr 09
Eight Till Late (IRE) 3 1 1 27 Apr 14
Salahoona (IRE) 3 0 0 23 Jul 13
Quai Du Roi (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Sep 10
Buckshots Banjo (IRE) 3 0 2 18 Dec 09
Equation (IRE) 3 0 0 3 Aug 09
Palace Storm (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Aug 08
Five Hawk Wings (IRE) 2 1 1 4 Aug 13
Lost Book (IRE) 2 0 0 4 Aug 13
Michael Valentine (IRE) 2 0 0 7 Jul 13
All 52 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
001418800002000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPeter Casey
43% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 1.48
TrainerRWSR£1
Peter Casey 40 3 7.5% +39.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
6
Archived wins
£75,514
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Jack The Bus (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Novice Hurdle Navan (IRE) · Mar 2008
£19,530
Charlies First (IRE) — O'Callaghan Family Hotels (QR) Handicap (50-80) Listowel · Sep 2006
£10,365
Inch Rebel (IRE) — European Mortgages INH Flat Race Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2008
£7,256

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Bob Back (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Desert King (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9% of 1,142 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.4% from 157.
Old Vic (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Lahib (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,699 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Bob's Return (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,268 runs since 2008 (219 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 254.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 162 · newest first

The latest 50 of 162 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 27 April 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Aug 13 Galway Lost Book (IRE)T: S J Mahon Galway Shopping Centre Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 33/1
16 Apr 13 Fairyhouse Heisatoughone (IRE)T: S J Mahon Ratoath Flat Race16f · Yielding · 22 ran 19th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr P J Casey's strike rate?
Mr P J Casey has won 5 of 92 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr P J Casey's Fair A/E?
1.10, from 92 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).