What is S J Mahon's strike rate?

S J Mahon has won 73 of 1,604 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S J Mahon do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S J Mahon?

Denis O'Regan, with 143 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.3%).

What is S J Mahon's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,601 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S J Mahon

1,604 runners in the lifetime window · 172 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Mar 2021 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

73–1,604

Wins / Runs

4.6%

Strike rate

n=1,604

229 (14%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,601 · 0.75 incl. margin

−846.91

£1 level stake

n=1,604 at SP · −52.8%

£1.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 110 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,604 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Denis O'Regan: 6.3% from 143

The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (9.3%, n=43), clear of the yard's 4.6% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 48 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=63, Fair A/E 0.00). Denis O'Regan rode 9% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 0.88). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (9.2%, n=87). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0.9% over 109 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Troytown Handicap Chase at Navan (Nov 2005, £55,335). The stable star of the record was Usa (IRE) — 7 wins from 71 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−1.6

n=328 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −211.92

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.7%−1.9

n=74 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −55.25

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−3.5

n=92 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −87.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.4%−1.2

n=88 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −68.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−4.6

n=63 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −63.00

When favourite

37.9%

n=29 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +3.76

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.1%−0.5

n=679 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −384.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.6

n=43 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −43.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 12.3% vs 4.6% · n=122

Off a 0-7-day break 9.2% vs 4.6% · n=87

With headgear back on 0% vs 4.6% · n=63

At Punchestown 0% vs 4.6% · n=48

At Clonmel 9.3% vs 4.6% · n=43

On Good to Soft going 0.9% vs 4.6% · n=109

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 846 37 4.4% −498.87

Chase 468 24 5.1% −195.42

Flat 161 7 4.3% −95.87

NH Flat 129 5 3.9% −56.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 530 29 5.5% −254.54

Soft 507 21 4.1% −247.00

Heavy 298 11 3.7% −198.50

Good to Soft 109 1 0.9% −104.50

Good to Firm 107 6 5.6% −37.00

Standard (AW) 46 4 8.7% −1.37

Firm 7 1 14.3% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ballinrobe 302 17 5.6% −79.50

Galway 278 10 3.6% −170.25

Limerick 160 8 5% −71.75

Roscommon 100 4 4% −61.00

Bellewstown 96 8 8.3% −36.25

Thurles 86 4 4.7% −61.62

Fairyhouse 86 1 1.2% −80.50

Navan 76 2 2.6% −54.00

Tipperary 56 1 1.8% −51.67

Punchestown 48 0 0% −48.00

Cork 47 2 4.3% −29.00

Sligo 45 3 6.7% −3.00

Clonmel 43 4 9.3% +0.00

Dundalk (AW) 32 3 9.4% +10.25

Down Royal 28 2 7.1% −19.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 43 0 0% −43.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 46 15 32.6% 1.56 +3.51

2nd–3rd fav 125 19 15.2% 1.21 −5.75

4th–6th fav 404 23 5.7% 0.88 −101.67

7th+ in betting 1,029 16 1.6% 0.61 −743.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 1,314 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 468 74.1% 30 11 75 2 3

Hurdle 846 87% 18 12 74 2 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Usa (IRE) 71 7 24 24 Jul 18

Aranhill Chief (IRE) 57 7 15 2 Aug 19

He Rock's (IRE) 52 3 14 25 Jan 20

Afatcat (GB)from John Joseph Hanlon 46 4 11 21 Jul 19

Stormey (IRE)then Patrick G Kelly 42 3 16 24 Oct 20

Smokey Joe Joe (IRE)from Kieran Purcell 39 3 10 3 Mar 20

Lost Book (IRE) 35 1 8 5 Nov 15

Aranhill Rascal (IRE) 31 1 3 14 Jul 18

Pyrus Gold Wind (IRE) 31 2 7 6 Sep 16

Rocky Court (IRE)then A J Martin 30 4 9 9 Oct 18

Sizing Malbay (IRE)then Brian M McMahon 28 2 7 24 Oct 20

Champagne Harmony (IRE) 27 5 6 3 Mar 20

The 60 most-raced of 172 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (4) and John Joseph Hanlon (2); 38 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick G Kelly (6); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

642858455135

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDenis O'Regan

9% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.88

RiderRWSR£1

Denis O'Regan 143 9 6.3% −43.75

Robbie Colgan 131 5 3.8% −33.62

Robert Dunne 114 9 7.9% −6.50

Paul Townend 96 8 8.3% −46.92

Ger Fox 74 4 5.4% −34.50

Keith Donoghue 60 1 1.7% −49.00

Donagh Meyler 49 2 4.1% −16.50

Kevin Brouder 49 3 6.1% −29.50

L P Dempsey 42 2 4.8% −14.00

Paul Carberry 39 3 7.7% −9.50

Ambrose McCurtin 33 2 6.1% −19.00

Danny Mullins 31 1 3.2% −26.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

101

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.47m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Prince Of Tara (IRE) — Troytown Handicap Chase (0-150) Navan · Nov 2005 · Grade B

£55,335

Aranhill Chief (IRE) — thetote.com Connacht National Handicap Chase Roscommon · Jun 2016

£18,450

Prince Of Tara (IRE) — Forelock Security Handicap Chase (0-140) Navan · Dec 2007

£18,228

Notable horses

Usa (IRE) Aranhill Chief (IRE) Champagne Harmony (IRE) Afatcat (GB) Rocky Court (IRE) He Rock's (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 3.8% · 3–78

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Beneficial (GB) 4.2% · 3–71

Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 9.9% · 7–71

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Court Cave (IRE) 6.1% · 4–66

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,921 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.

Blueprint (IRE) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,670 runs since 2008 (137 horses).

September Storm (GER) 6.1% · 3–49

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,130 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,225 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,225 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 25 March 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Mar 21 Cork Self Assessed (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Follow Us On Instagram At Corkracecourse Hurdle16f · Yielding · 5 ran 5th 100/1

21 Mar 21 Curragh Sheer Bravado (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Paddy Power Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap)8f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran 24th 125/1

20 Mar 21 Thurles Forever Frankie (IRE)J: Richard Condon www.thurlesraces.ie (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 11th 40/1

14 Mar 21 Limerick Self Assessed (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Murroe Hurdle16f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 400/1

11 Mar 21 Thurles Champagne Monarch (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Holycross Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 100/1

11 Mar 21 Thurles Champagne Auction (GB)J: Jordan Gainford Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 33/1

11 Mar 21 Thurles Champagne Rebel (IRE)J: L P Dempsey Thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 300/1

07 Mar 21 Leopardstown Forever Frankie (IRE)J: Jordan Gainford Tri Equestrian Superstore & Cafe (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 80/1

04 Mar 21 Clonmel Balbir Du Mathan (FR)J: Keith Donoghue Fethard Handicap Chase (0-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran PU 100/1

02 Mar 21 Gowran Park Sheer Bravado (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Sea Moon & Jukebox Jury At Burgage Stud Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Heavy · 16 ran 14th 28/1

31 Jan 21 Naas Champagne Rebel (IRE)J: Peter Carberry I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)19f · Heavy · 18 ran 18th 250/1

31 Jan 21 Naas Sheer Bravado (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Naas Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Heavy · 18 ran 15th 50/1

27 Jan 21 Thurles Champagne Monarch (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Thurles (Pro/Am) Flat Race (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 10th 200/1

30 Dec 20 Limerick Champagne Rebel (IRE)J: Mr T Hamilton Mr Binman Christmas Racing Festival Flat Race16f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 250/1

28 Dec 20 Limerick Champagne Monarch (IRE)J: Philip Byrnes Doherty Woodshavings Flat Race18f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 150/1

26 Dec 20 Limerick Balbir Du Mathan (FR)J: Peter Carberry Mr. Binman Handicap Chase17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 50/1

26 Dec 20 Limerick Self Assessed (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Geary's Garage Kilmeedy 3-y-o Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 40/1

05 Dec 20 Navan Champagne Rebel (IRE)J: Mr T Hamilton Irish Racing Industry Fundraiser For Children's Health Foundation Crumlin In Memory Of Pat Smullen Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1

05 Dec 20 Navan Champagne Vacation (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Hotel Park St Johann Tirol Austria Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)20f · Soft · 18 ran 14th 150/1

26 Nov 20 Thurles Champagne Auction (GB)J: Peter Carberry Holycross Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S J Mahon's strike rate?: S J Mahon has won 73 of 1,604 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S J Mahon do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 32 runners (9.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S J Mahon?: Denis O'Regan, with 143 runners since 2008 — 9% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (6.3%).
What is S J Mahon's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,601 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.