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Trainer profile

J T R Dreaper

104 runners in the last 5 seasons · 21 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Feb 2024 99% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
5–104
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=104
15 (14%)
Placed
0.88
n=104 · 0.69 incl. margin
−46.80
£1 level stake
n=104 at SP · −45.0%
£62,513
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
66.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.88).

Deterministic profile computed from 104 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 29 Oct 2026
The read

The yard also reads well in Chase races (8.5%, n=47). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 1.8% over 56 runners, 3pts below the baseline. 8 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup at Punchestown (Apr 2009, £165,000). The stable star of the record: Notre Pere (FR) — 7 wins from 28 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4%−0.8
n=25 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −17.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
100%+95.2
n=1 · A/E 18.12 · £1 +12.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 2.03 · £1 +2.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4%−0.8
n=25 · A/E 0.79 · £1 +4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 8.5% vs 4.8% · n=47
In Hurdle races 1.8% vs 4.8% · n=56
With a new jockey booking 7.5% vs 4.8% · n=40
Over 1m5f – 2m 2.3% vs 4.8% · n=44
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 56 1 1.8% −51.80
Chase 47 4 8.5% +6.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 58 3 5.2% −34.00
Heavy 28 2 7.1% +5.20
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fairyhouse 19 0 0% −19.00
Punchestown 16 2 12.5% +17.20
Naas 9 1 11.1% −5.50
Down Royal 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Cork 2 1 50% +5.50
Roscommon 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.74 +1.70
2nd–3rd fav 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
4th–6th fav 19 3 15.8% 2.47 +30.50
7th+ in betting 64 0 0% 0.00 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.3% completed · 103 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 47 89.4% 2 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 56 87.5% 0 1 5 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Know The Game (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 13 1 5 10 Jul 23
Papa Barns (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 10 0 2 24 Nov 23
Lar's Lass (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 9 2 4 5 Feb 24
Always Giving (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 9 0 0 27 Oct 23
Master Breffni (IRE)then Micky Hammond 9 0 1 27 Oct 23
Tech Talk (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 6 0 1 8 Aug 23
Folly Master (IRE)then Tom Dreaper 5 1 1 29 Jan 24
Sizing Diamond (IRE) 5 0 0 1 May 23
Do Whatever (IRE) 5 0 0 30 Mar 23
Anseo (IRE) 5 0 0 17 Aug 22
Westy Fox (IRE)then Micky Hammond 5 0 0 6 May 22
Forrard Away (IRE)then Ryan Chapman 4 0 0 29 Nov 22
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Tom Dreaper (10) and Micky Hammond (3); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
9709000000010
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKeith Donoghue
43% of all rides
6.7% SR · A/E 1.05
RiderRWSR£1
Keith Donoghue 45 3 6.7% −24.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
118
Archived wins
8
Pattern / graded wins
£2.09m
Prize money
2015
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Notre Pere (FR) — Punchestown Guinness Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2009 · Grade 1
£165,000
Notre Pere (FR) — williamhill.ie Troytown Handicap Chase (0-150) Navan · Nov 2008 · Grade B
£65,100
Notre Pere (FR) — Knight Frank Ganly Walters Novice Chase (Grade 1) Leopardstown · Dec 2007 · Grade 1
£65,000

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Califet (FR) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,793 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 10% of 3,479 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 294. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,358 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Mustameet (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,161 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.5% from 248. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 424.
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,122 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Ocovango (GB) 22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,996 runs since 2008 (305 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.9% from 194.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,188 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,188 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 5 February 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 May 23 Limerick Tech Talk (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue CUBE Handicap Chase (0-95)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 4th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J T R Dreaper's strike rate?
J T R Dreaper has won 5 of 104 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is J T R Dreaper's Fair A/E?
0.88, from 104 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).