No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceFirst rides: 29%
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 27.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
29%+1.1
n=31 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +3.27
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
31.3%+3.4
n=16 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +3.60
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
32%+4.1
n=25 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +4.10
When favourite
66.7%
n=18 · A/E 1.76 · £1 +8.88
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−27.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
12.5%−15.4
n=24 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −10.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 27.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Chase races28.8% vs 27.9% · n=59 · A/E 1.34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase591728.8%−3.12
Flat100%−1.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good31929%−1.25
Good to Soft20630%−0.49
Soft7228.6%−0.38
Heavy200%−2.00
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham1119.1%−4.50
Ludlow9444.4%+1.30
Bangor-on-Dee8562.5%+2.07
Leicester5120%−2.62
Stratford4125%−0.50
Aintree400%−4.00
Warwick200%−2.00
Chepstow200%−2.00
Exeter200%−2.00
Huntingdon2150%+2.00
Haydock200%−2.00
Newbury100%−1.00
Kelso100%−1.00
Hereford100%−1.00
Punchestown100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 619631.6%−1.63
Class 215213.3%−5.00
Class 513538.5%−0.32
Class 48450%+7.83
Class 3500%−5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite221254.5%1.57+4.88
2nd–3rd fav22522.7%1.21+7.00
4th–6th fav1000%0.00−10.00
7th+ in betting700%0.00−7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m5f – 3m271037%+5.70
Over 3m19315.8%−4.50
2m1f – 2m4f13430.8%−4.32
1m5f – 2m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200822627.3%+1.33
200920420%−5.29
201011545.5%+1.72
20118225%−2.88
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps400%−4.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners21628.6%−8.29
17+ runners1417.1%−7.50
14-16 runners10220%−2.50
11-13 runners8450%+3.75
5-7 runners8450%+9.42
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 32 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·26224329·······
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Cloudy Lane (GB) — Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amat's) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 2
£33,011
Juveigneur (FR) — Fulke Walwyn Amateurs' Handicap Chase Cheltenham · Mar 2005 · Class 2
£29,000
Cappa Bleu (IRE) — Christie's Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup Cheltenham · Mar 2009 · Class 2
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Alflora (IRE)71.4% · 5–7
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Roi de Rome (USA)20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 269 runs since 2008 (37 horses).
Weld (GB)40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Beneficial (GB)66.7% · 2–3
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Glacial Storm (USA)33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 7.3% of 959 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 10.6% from 151.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 130 · newest first
The latest 50 of 130 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 February 2005 to 27 May 2011.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr R Burton's strike rate?
Mr R Burton has won 17 of 61 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 27.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr R Burton's Fair A/E?
1.32, from 61 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr R Burton·SR 27.9%·A/E 1.32
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