Nicolas Perret
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 18% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17). First rides on a horse are a strength: 20% on the first captured pairing (117 rides).
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.78). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 19.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.26 and +31.80 to a £1 stake over 117 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. K Borgel supplied 32% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (13.2% vs 18.1%, A/E 0.94). The rider also read well on Standard (AW) going (24.6%, n=69). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 7.7% over 65 rides, 10.4pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Exbury at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Mar 2015, £31,008).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 18.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 217 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 217 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 November 2006 to 16 July 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Nicolas Perret's strike rate?
- Nicolas Perret has won 39 of 215 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Nicolas Perret ride most for?
- K Borgel, with 68 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (13.2%).
- What is Nicolas Perret's Fair A/E?
- 1.17, from 156 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.