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Trainer profile

I Madden

176 runners in the last 5 seasons · 13 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 17 days ago 96% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
3–176
Wins / Runs
1.7%
Strike rate
n=176
10 (6%)
Placed
0.69
Fair A/E
n=176 · 0.54 incl. margin
+46.50
£1 level stake
n=176 at SP · +26.4%
£36,674
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.69).

Deterministic profile computed from 176 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Galway (6.1%, n=33), clear of the yard's 1.7% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 0.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.43 and −106.00 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 66 runners (0% strike, −66.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Air of Confusion (GB) — 5 wins from 51 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.6%+0.9
n=39 · A/E 1.60 · £1 −29.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−1.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.3%+4.6
n=16 · A/E 2.53 · £1 −6.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0.8%−0.9
n=118 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −106.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Galway 6.1% vs 1.7% · n=33
On Soft going 0% vs 1.7% · n=66 · A/E 0.00
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 1.7% · n=62 · A/E 0.00
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 1.7% · n=55 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 106 2 1.9% −84.50
NH Flat 38 1 2.6% +163.00
Chase 25 0 0% −25.00
Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 66 0 0% −66.00
Good 58 2 3.4% +155.00
Good to Soft 37 1 2.7% −27.50
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Galway 33 2 6.1% +177.50
Ballinrobe 31 0 0% −31.00
Kilbeggan 16 1 6.3% −4.00
Punchestown 15 0 0% −15.00
Roscommon 13 0 0% −13.00
Cork 13 0 0% −13.00
Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00
Thurles 11 0 0% −11.00
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Clonmel 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 15 1 6.7% 1.24 −5.50
7th+ in betting 155 2 1.3% 0.71 +58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.1% completed · 131 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 25 48% 3 0 10 0 0
Hurdle 106 84% 2 1 14 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Max Time (IRE) 41 1 1 6 Oct 26
Dream Shaper (IRE)from Thomas Cooper 30 1 2 24 Sep 26
Back The West (IRE)from K A Heffernan 23 0 3 21 May 26
So Easy Way (IRE)from Harry Whittington 22 0 2 13 Sep 24
Brave Crogha (FR)from Thomas Cooper 17 1 1 10 Aug 26
Force Of Forces (FR)from W P Mullins 9 0 1 23 May 23
Shackleton Island (IRE)from K A Heffernan 8 0 0 27 Sep 23
Grivei (FR)from Eoin Griffin 7 0 0 25 Oct 25
Heure Exacte (FR) 7 0 0 9 Sep 24
Gambling Glory (IRE) 4 0 0 17 May 24
Throwmedownsomthin (IRE) 3 0 0 28 Sep 26
John Willie (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Sep 22
All 13 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 13 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Eoin Griffin (2) and K A Heffernan (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
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A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Daniel King 21 0 0% −21.00
Miss A B O'Connor 19 1 5.3% +182.00
Danny Mullins 14 0 0% −14.00
John Shinnick 12 0 0% −12.00
Paddy Cleary 12 1 8.3% +0.00
Robbie Geoghegan 11 0 0% −11.00
Mr J P Sampson 7 0 0% −7.00
Gavin Brouder 6 0 0% −6.00
Michael O'Sullivan 5 0 0% −5.00
Kieran Callaghan 5 0 0% −5.00
Benjamin P Kennedy 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr H C Swan 5 0 0% −5.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
27
Archived wins
£435k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Air of Confusion (GB) — Carrol Cuisine Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Kilbeggan · Jun 2006
£13,020
Air Of Confusion (GB) — Guinness Handicap Hurdle Sligo (IRE) · Jul 2007
£10,365
Cherryantor (IRE) — Newgrange Veterans Handicap Chase Navan · Mar 2014
£10,350
Notable horses
Air of Confusion (GB) Cairdiuil (IRE) Max Time (GB) Cherryantor (IRE) Trevi Fountain (IRE) Max Speed (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Policy Maker (IRE) 2.4% · 1–41
Progeny have won 9% of 1,243 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Morpheus (GB) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Mountain High (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2008 (184 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 10% of 3,475 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Brave Mansonnien (FR) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 10.5% of 295 runs since 2008 (35 horses).
Gris De Gris (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,069 runs since 2008 (142 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,340 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,340 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 January 2005 to 6 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Tom Kelly SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 100/1
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)J: Niall Moore Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 13th 150/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 400/1
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Tom Kelly Railway Bar Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 22/1
24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran PU 33/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Joshua Halford Francie 'Banger' Burns Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 10 ran F 8/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Joshua Halford McDermott Farm Machinery Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 6th 25/1
10 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Brave Crogha (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Cummins Homevalue Hardware Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 33/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 11th 200/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 18/1
02 Aug 26 Galway (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Brian Barry Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 17 ran 8th 14/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)19f · Good · 16 ran 1st 11/1
24 Jul 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Kidam Roque (FR)J: Paddy Cleary Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 15 ran UR 250/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Throwmedownsomthin (IRE)J: Mr J P Sampson Matchbook Exchange Flat Race17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 50/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Max Time (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 50/1
12 Jul 26 Sligo Dream Shaper (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Kilcawley Construction Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 25/1
09 Jun 26 Sligo Max Time (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Knocknarea Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20.5f · Good · 15 ran 13th 80/1
26 May 26 Ballinrobe Brave Crogha (FR)J: Paddy Cleary FBD Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 15 ran PU 50/1
21 May 26 Limerick Back The West (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Maloney's Bus Hire & Martin's Coaches Handicap Chase20f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran PU 66/1
21 May 26 Limerick Max Time (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Calor Gas Handicap Chase (0-100)17.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is I Madden's strike rate?
I Madden has won 3 of 176 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does I Madden do best at?
Galway by strike rate: 2 wins from 33 runners (6.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is I Madden's Fair A/E?
0.69, from 176 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).