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Trainer profile

Miss Katy Brown

145 runners in the last 5 seasons · 29 individual horses
As at 24 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–145
Wins / Runs
4.8%
Strike rate
n=145
20 (14%)
Placed
1.14
Fair A/E
n=145 · 0.93 incl. margin
−69.25
£1 level stake
n=145 at SP · −47.8%
£103k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 145 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 24 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.9% Claiming riders: 5.9%
The read

It is weakest at Dundalk (AW) (0% over 30 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The yard also reads well on Good going (11.8%, n=51). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 41 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Effernock Fizz (IRE) — 6 wins from 63 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+1.1
n=34 · A/E 1.76 · £1 −19.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+15.2
n=10 · A/E 3.90 · £1 +4.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.54 · £1 +3.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%+1.1
n=68 · A/E 1.30 · £1 −39.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 11.8% vs 4.8% · n=51
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 4.8% · n=41
At Dundalk (AW) 0% vs 4.8% · n=30
At trips under 6f 7.1% vs 4.8% · n=42
Off a 15-30-day break 2.7% vs 4.8% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 114 4 3.5% −56.50
Hurdle 18 3 16.7% +0.25
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 51 6 11.8% +11.75
Standard (AW) 41 0 0% −41.00
Soft 25 0 0% −25.00
Good to Soft 14 0 0% −14.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 30 0 0% −30.00
Curragh 17 0 0% −17.00
Navan 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Naas 13 0 0% −13.00
Bellewstown 11 1 9.1% −8.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 4 1 25% +6.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Down Royal 3 1 33.3% +2.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 12 1 8.3% −2.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.40 +2.25
2nd–3rd fav 4 1 25% 1.88 +0.50
4th–6th fav 37 2 5.4% 0.82 −16.00
7th+ in betting 98 2 2% 1.14 −56.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE) 28 1 4 21 Oct 26
Reinforce (IRE)from Daniel James Murphy 21 2 4 3 Aug 26
Stop On Red (IRE)from J G Coogan 12 1 2 15 Aug 24
Isthatrightkatie (IRE) 8 0 0 23 Oct 26
Effernock Fizz (IRE)then Cian Collins 8 0 3 12 Jul 22
Le Comte De Frou (IRE) 6 0 1 1 Nov 23
Must Meet Cecil (IRE)then Cian Collins 6 1 1 2 Jul 22
Kodi Moma (IRE) 5 0 0 11 Apr 22
Ballysax Boo (GB) 4 0 0 20 Oct 26
Art Of Unity (GB)from Aidan Melia 4 0 1 19 May 26
Dream Big Eireann (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Nov 24
Cula Bula Mamool (IRE)then J G Coogan 4 0 0 8 Apr 22
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Cian Collins (2); 18 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Cian Collins (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 4
Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00009614130000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Killian Leonard 13 1 7.7% +16.00
Ronan Whelan 11 2 18.2% +7.50
D M Simmonson 10 1 10% +0.00
Mark Gallagher 9 0 0% −9.00
Wesley Joyce 7 0 0% −7.00
Siobhan Rutledge 7 0 0% −7.00
Ross Coakley 6 0 0% −6.00
Dillon Butler 6 0 0% −6.00
Jack G Gilligan 5 0 0% −5.00
Luke McAteer 5 0 0% −5.00
Jack Kearney 4 0 0% −4.00
Gavin Ryan 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
20
Archived wins
£291k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 5 wins
Effernock Fizz (IRE) — Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund 'Ragusa' Handicap Curragh · Jun 2021
£29,500
Petrol Head (IRE) — Bia Energy Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle Bellewstown · Jul 2024
£29,500
Effernock Fizz (IRE) — Indaver Bellewstown Bowl Handicap Bellewstown · Aug 2020
£9,145
Notable horses
Effernock Fizz (IRE) Secret Memories (IRE) Allora Yeats (IRE) Reinforce (IRE) Petrol Head (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Prince Of Lir (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,375 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 200.
Tasleet (GB) 9.5% · 2–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,176 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.9% from 107. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 357.
Mehmas (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (747 horses).
French Navy (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.4% of 770 runs since 2008 (68 horses).
Lovelace (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 6.5% of 185 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Kingman (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,478 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11% from 960. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 24 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 480 · newest first

The latest 50 of 480 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2017 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Siobhan Rutledge Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 150/1
21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 33/1
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: Killian Leonard 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 21st 125/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Boyle Maiden10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 250/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: Killian Leonard M.L.A Engineering Ltd. Supporting Ardclough GAA Maiden8f · Soft · 13 ran 7th 200/1
01 Oct 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Johnny Kierans Memorial Handicap5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 5/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: James Ryan Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 16th 250/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 11th 300/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap5f · Good · 18 ran 5th 12/1
04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Brian Barry WTW Willis Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 150/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Hetty Parker (IRE)J: Mr J G Chute WTW Willis Insurance Brokers Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1
16 Aug 26 Curragh (IRE) Ballysax Lil' Mick (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Handicap5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 9/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Isthatrightkatie (IRE)J: Brian Barry Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 200/1
03 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Reinforce (IRE)J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 40/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Ballysax Boo (GB)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 13 ran 9th 300/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Uno Me I Like My T (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Killarney Grand Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 9th 300/1
11 Jul 26 Navan Reinforce (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Newgrange Hotel Handicap6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 40/1
04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Uno Me I Like My T (IRE)J: Paddy Cleary Johnny's Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 150/1
26 Jun 26 Curragh Ballysax Stew (IRE)J: James Ryan McGuinness Maintenance Services Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 11th 300/1
24 Jun 26 Naas Reinforce (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan ARKequine Handicap (0-60)5f · Good · 21 ran 15th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Katy Brown's strike rate?
Miss Katy Brown has won 7 of 145 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 24 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Miss Katy Brown do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 0 wins from 30 runners (0%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Miss Katy Brown in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss Katy Brown's Fair A/E?
1.14, from 145 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 24 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).