What is Paul Norton's strike rate?

Paul Norton has won 8 of 94 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Norton do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 rides (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Norton ride most for?

Jim Goldie, with 89 rides since 2008 — 95% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9%).

What is Paul Norton's Fair A/E?

0.79, from 94 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Norton

94 rides in the lifetime window · 42 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Aug 2012

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

8–94

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=94

34 (36%)

Placed

0.79

Fair A/E

n=94 · 0.68 incl. margin

−23.17

£1 level stake

n=94 at SP · −24.6%

£51,555

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB at a glance Jim Goldie: 9% from 89 First rides: 9.5%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.5%+1.0

n=42 · A/E 0.93 · £1 +0.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−8.5

n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−8.5

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

When favourite

22.2%

n=9 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −3.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.5%+0.0

n=94 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −23.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

11.5%+3.0

n=26 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +11.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good going 2.5% vs 8.5% · n=40

Off a 15-30-day break 3.1% vs 8.5% · n=32

At Ayr 3.2% vs 8.5% · n=31

In Class 6 13.3% vs 8.5% · n=30

In Hurdle races 5.6% vs 8.5% · n=36

In Flat races 10.5% vs 8.5% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 57 6 10.5% +4.00

Hurdle 36 2 5.6% −26.17

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 40 1 2.5% −37.00

Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −14.00

Good to Firm 21 6 28.6% +38.83

Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 31 1 3.2% −28.00

Musselburgh 17 2 11.8% +1.00

Hamilton 17 3 17.6% +23.00

Perth 7 1 14.3% −2.67

Kelso 5 1 20% +0.50

Newcastle 4 0 0% −4.00

Carlisle 3 0 0% −3.00

Haydock 3 0 0% −3.00

Aintree 3 0 0% −3.00

York 2 0 0% −2.00

Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 30 4 13.3% +13.00

Class 4 27 2 7.4% −17.17

Class 5 18 1 5.6% −15.00

Class 3 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 2 6 1 16.7% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.63 −6.00

2nd–3rd fav 20 2 10% 0.68 −10.17

4th–6th fav 33 3 9.1% 1.04 +1.00

7th+ in betting 29 1 3.4% 0.91 −8.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Botham (USA) 14 2 10 30 Oct 10

Grand Diamond (IRE) 8 1 5 23 Mar 11

Baaher (USA) 7 1 5 2 Jan 11

Regent's Secret (USA) 5 0 1 19 Nov 10

River Falcon (GB) 5 1 2 6 Nov 10

Kyber (GB) 4 1 1 26 Nov 10

Watercolours (IRE) 4 0 2 4 Nov 10

Giant Star (USA) 4 0 0 5 May 10

Geojimali (GB) 3 0 0 21 Nov 10

Rothesay Dancer (GB) 3 1 1 30 Sep 10

Oh Landino (GER) 2 0 1 1 Apr 11

Dhaular Dhar (IRE) 2 1 1 8 Oct 10

All 42 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0000203365201300

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJim Goldie

95% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 0.85

TrainerRWSR£1

Jim Goldie 89 8 9% −18.17

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

£51,555

Prize money

2010

Best season · 5 wins

Dhaular Dhar (IRE) — Graham The Plumbers Merchant Handicap Musselburgh · Sep 2010 · Class 2

£10,593

Botham (USA) — John Smith's Amateur Riders' Handicap Hamilton · Jun 2008 · Class 6

£2,967

Grand Diamond (IRE) — Peter Doyle Handicap Hurdle Kelso · Oct 2010 · Class 4

£2,602

Notable horses

Botham (USA) Grand Diamond (IRE) Baaher (USA) River Falcon (GB) Kyber (GB) Rothesay Dancer (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cryptoclearance (USA) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 11.3% of 151 runs since 2008 (5 horses).

Grand Lodge (USA) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.

War Chant (USA) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 10% of 953 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.2% from 129. Weakest on Good going: 6.8% from 251. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.5% from 186.

Lujain (USA) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Pivotal (GB) 20% · 1–5

Progeny have won 13.6% of 12,789 runs since 2008 (1,019 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.4% from 108.

First Trump (GB) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 7.9% of 611 runs since 2008 (53 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 94 · newest first

The latest 50 of 94 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 June 2008 to 14 August 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Aug 12 Ayr Sabratha (IRE)T: Linda Perratt Jack Daniels Tennessee Honey HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 9/1

04 Apr 11 Kelso Miss Abbey (GB)T: Jim Goldie Ali Gilhome Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 12/1

01 Apr 11 Newcastle Oh Landino (GER)T: Jim Goldie New Delaval And Newsham Social Club Grolsch Conditional Jockeys Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 17/2

23 Mar 11 Haydock Grand Diamond (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Haydock Park Bonus Selling HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 5/2F

11 Mar 11 Ayr Oh Landino (GER)T: Jim Goldie Guinness Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 10/1

16 Feb 11 Musselburgh Grand Diamond (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Weatherbys Wealth Planning Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 16/1

02 Jan 11 Ayr Baaher (USA)T: Jim Goldie Play Casino At Victorchandler.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 20/1

26 Nov 10 Musselburgh Kyber (GB)T: Jim Goldie Balfour Beatty Engineering Services Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 16/1

21 Nov 10 Kelso Geojimali (GB)T: Jim Goldie Three Diamonds Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 14/1

19 Nov 10 Musselburgh Grand Diamond (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Saltire 2010 26th-28th November Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 10/1

19 Nov 10 Musselburgh Regent's Secret (USA)T: Jim Goldie Doos An Donts Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 19.5f · Good · 11 ran 11th 33/1

06 Nov 10 Doncaster River Falcon (GB)T: Jim Goldie Bet Into US Pools At totesport.com Apprentice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 10th 22/1

04 Nov 10 Haydock Baaher (USA)T: Jim Goldie Betdaq The Betting Exchange Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1

04 Nov 10 Haydock Watercolours (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Taylormade Betting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 6th 8/1

30 Oct 10 Ayr Botham (USA)T: Jim Goldie Plumbstore Ltd Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 9f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 4/1J

30 Oct 10 Ayr Pokfulham (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Buy John Smith's At Ayr Racecourse Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 9f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 9/4F

23 Oct 10 Aintree Regent's Secret (USA)T: Jim Goldie Toteplacepot Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 9th 20/1

22 Oct 10 Ayr Botham (USA)T: Jim Goldie Jimmy & Carol-Anne Deans 10th Anniversary Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 9f · Soft · 13 ran UR 10/1

22 Oct 10 Ayr Nay Secret (GB)T: Jim Goldie European Breeders' Fund/Scottish Poppy Appeal Maiden StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 100/1

16 Oct 10 Kelso Grand Diamond (IRE)T: Jim Goldie Peter Doyle Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Norton's strike rate?: Paul Norton has won 8 of 94 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Norton do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 1 wins from 31 rides (3.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Norton ride most for?: Jim Goldie, with 89 rides since 2008 — 95% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (9%).
What is Paul Norton's Fair A/E?: 0.79, from 94 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.