What is Michael Dods's strike rate?

Michael Dods has won 252 of 2,626 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Dods do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 13 wins from 96 runners (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Dods?

Connor Beasley, with 1,205 runners since 2022 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 117 (9.7%).

Is Michael Dods in form?

In the last 14 days: 31 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.5%. That is below the baseline of 9.6% since 2022.

What is Michael Dods's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 2,615 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Dods

2,626 runners in the last 5 seasons · 198 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 5.3% of 544 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Won yesterday Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

252–2,626

Wins / Runs

9.6%

Strike rate

n=2,626

756 (29%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=2,615 · 0.79 incl. margin

−671.20

£1 level stake

n=2,626 at SP · −25.6%

£4.04m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 530 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). In Group and Graded company the record reads 21% (52 runs). The yard is quiet just now — 2 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,626 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance 28.6% when favourite Connor Beasley: 9.7% from 1,205 Headgear returns: 12.3% Group/Graded: 21.2% Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

In Group and Graded company the record reads well at 21.2% (n=52, Fair A/E 1.48), but debutants struggle at 3.4% (n=117, Fair A/E 0.55). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 7.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −79.55 to a £1 stake over 240 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 2 from 31 runners in the last 14 days (6.5%, 3.1pts below the 9.6% baseline). Connor Beasley rides 46% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.7%, A/E 0.86). The yard also reads well in Class 1 (21.2%, n=52). 34 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes at York (Aug 2016, £236,622). The stable star of the record: Dakota Gold (GB) — 17 wins from 79 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−2.5

n=340 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −42.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.7%+1.1

n=28 · A/E 1.11 · £1 +4.50

Debutants · first career start

3.4%−6.2

n=117 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −89.40

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.5%−6.1

n=86 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −72.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.3%+2.7

n=65 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +42.50

When favourite

28.6%

n=189 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −29.67

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.1%−2.5

n=240 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −79.55

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

21.2%+11.6

n=52 · A/E 1.48 · £1 −0.42

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 1 21.2% vs 9.6% · n=52

In Group / Graded races 21.2% vs 9.6% · n=52

With Tom Eaves 0% vs 9.6% · n=55

On last-time-out winners 16.4% vs 9.6% · n=250

With Callum Rodriguez 16.9% vs 9.6% · n=59

With debutants 3.4% vs 9.6% · n=117

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,624 252 9.6% −669.20

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 805 70 8.7% −233.59

Standard (AW) 636 60 9.4% −137.18

Good to Firm 520 60 11.5% −92.83

Good to Soft 315 33 10.5% −76.38

Soft 277 22 7.9% −105.34

Heavy 73 7 9.6% −25.88

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 394 30 7.6% −165.71

Thirsk 297 31 10.4% −79.43

Ayr 276 34 12.3% −16.04

Redcar 228 20 8.8% −55.42

Southwell (AW) 147 17 11.6% +48.66

Beverley 140 12 8.6% −41.46

York 134 11 8.2% −44.42

Carlisle 117 8 6.8% −50.09

Pontefract 114 8 7% −6.00

Doncaster 113 5 4.4% −83.75

Catterick 104 13 12.5% −46.73

Hamilton 96 13 13.5% −45.29

Wolverhampton (AW) 82 11 13.4% −23.63

Haydock 76 4 5.3% −46.00

Ripon 72 6 8.3% −35.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 938 99 10.6% −226.14

Class 6 713 63 8.8% −199.78

Class 4 546 49 9% −143.77

Class 3 198 15 7.6% −82.59

Class 2 178 15 8.4% −17.50

Class 1 52 11 21.2% −0.42

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 247 68 27.5% 1.04 −28.46

2nd–3rd fav 618 88 14.2% 0.91 −155.74

4th–6th fav 908 70 7.7% 0.93 −190.00

7th+ in betting 853 26 3% 0.79 −297.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Langholm (IRE)from Jonjo O'Neill 60 5 24 16 Jul 26

Roaring Ralph (GB) 51 9 17 12 Oct 26

King's Crown (IRE)from Adrian Nicholls 51 6 18 5 Oct 26

Stallone (IRE)from Henry Spiller 51 4 14 28 May 25

Zuffolo (IRE) 49 7 16 16 Oct 26

Hale End (IRE)from Richard Hannon 48 7 17 10 Oct 26

Lord Abama (IRE)from M Halford 47 6 16 20 Oct 26

Pol Roger (IRE) 47 6 19 17 Oct 26

Commanche Falls (GB) 43 4 14 5 Oct 26

Arkenstaar (GB) 42 8 16 20 Oct 26

Nelson Gay (IRE)from Richard Hughes 42 5 15 23 Oct 25

Northern Express (IRE) 40 5 18 9 Oct 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 16 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Balding (2); 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

2 from 31 6.5% · −3.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.5%

5-season base9.6%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

9613712913997711

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderConnor Beasley

46% of all rides
9.7% SR · A/E 0.86

RiderRWSR£1

Connor Beasley 1,205 117 9.7% −448.13

Sean Kirrane 228 28 12.3% +56.66

Paul Mulrennan 224 30 13.4% −20.88

Rhys Elliott 170 12 7.1% −82.50

Phil Dennis 91 8 8.8% −4.25

Clifford Lee 65 4 6.2% −38.62

Callum Rodriguez 59 10 16.9% +93.06

Tom Eaves 55 0 0% −55.00

Lewis Edmunds 51 6 11.8% +3.00

Mark Winn 46 7 15.2% +46.00

Oliver Stammers 34 1 2.9% −29.80

David Nolan 31 1 3.2% −24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

1,012

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£12.5m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 62 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mecca's Angel (IRE) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) York · Aug 2016 · Group 1

£236,622

Mabs Cross (GB) — Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (2yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2018 · Group 1

£176,982

Mecca's Angel (IRE) — Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) York · Aug 2015 · Group 1

£175,801

Notable horses

Dakota Gold (GB) Kiwi Bay (GB) Osteopathic Remedy (IRE) Gale Force Maya (GB) Commanche Falls (GB) Best Prospect (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bungle Inthejungle (GB) 11.1% · 16–144

Progeny have won 8.8% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.5% from 121. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 2.4% from 124.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.8% · 10–128

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Mehmas (IRE) 13.5% · 17–126

Progeny have won 11.6% of 8,110 runs since 2008 (747 horses).

Churchill (IRE) 8.9% · 10–112

Progeny have won 11% of 4,788 runs since 2008 (459 horses).

Profitable (IRE) 12.1% · 12–99

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,412 runs since 2008 (357 horses).

Starspangledbanner (AUS) 13.2% · 10–76

Progeny have won 11.1% of 7,147 runs since 2008 (659 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14.5% from 1,187.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 9,476 · newest first

The latest 50 of 9,476 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Macedonian (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 10/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lord Abama (IRE)J: Jack Callan Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 1st 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Golden Havana (IRE)J: Sean Kirrane Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 40/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Simba's Pride (GB)J: Mark Winn Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 16/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Arkenstaar (GB)J: Sean Kirrane Awc Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Camera Shy (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Novamay (GB)J: Rhys Elliott William Hill Catterick Dash Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 14/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Call Me Betty (IRE)J: Mark Winn William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 10 ran 10th 25/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Pol Roger (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good · 7 ran 4th 18/1

17 Oct 26 Catterick Lion's Den (IRE)J: Mark Winn EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D With No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 1st 6/1

17 Oct 26 Ascot Arapaho Gold (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Qatar Racing British Champions Day Two-Year-Old Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 9/4F

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Keep The Gold (GB)J: Connor Beasley Quaff Box Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 13/8F

16 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Zuffolo (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Quaff Box Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 15/2

16 Oct 26 Redcar Taygar (IRE)J: Dougie Costello Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 12 ran 5th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Frontier Legend (GB)J: Dougie Costello Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 7th 250/1

16 Oct 26 Redcar Meccapulco (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 150/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Macedonian (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 16/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Eve's Boy (GB)J: Connor Beasley Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 8/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Roaring Ralph (GB)J: Rhys Elliott Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 50/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Taygar (IRE)J: Connor Beasley Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Dods's strike rate?: Michael Dods has won 252 of 2,626 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.6% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Dods do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 13 wins from 96 runners (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Dods?: Connor Beasley, with 1,205 runners since 2022 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 117 (9.7%).
Is Michael Dods in form?: In the last 14 days: 31 runners, 2 winners, a strike rate of 6.5%. That is below the baseline of 9.6% since 2022.
What is Michael Dods's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 2,615 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.