What is P Monteith's strike rate?

P Monteith has won 57 of 724 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P Monteith do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 16 wins from 148 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P Monteith?

Ryan Mania, with 169 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (10.1%).

What is P Monteith's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 721 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P Monteith

724 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2010

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

57–724

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=724

190 (26%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=721 · 0.76 incl. margin

−224.05

£1 level stake

n=724 at SP · −30.9%

£461k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 240 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). New recruits from other yards win at 10% first time out (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 724 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Apr 33.3% when favourite Ryan Mania: 10.1% from 169 New recruits: 9.5% Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newcastle (2.1% over 47 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −163.63 to a £1 stake over 322 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Ryan Mania rode 23% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.1% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well in Chase races (11.7%, n=230). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.1% over 148 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record was Nelson du Ronceray (FR) — 6 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Feb–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.6%−1.3

n=121 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −48.17

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.5%+1.6

n=42 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +10.00

Debutants · first career start

15.4%+7.5

n=13 · A/E 4.13 · £1 +14.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−7.9

n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

4.5%−3.4

n=22 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −17.67

When favourite

33.3%

n=45 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +2.62

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%−1.1

n=322 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −163.63

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.9

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Timmy Murphy 14.1% vs 7.9% · n=64

At Musselburgh 2.7% vs 7.9% · n=74

At Newcastle 2.1% vs 7.9% · n=47

At Hamilton 2.8% vs 7.9% · n=72

In Chase races 11.7% vs 7.9% · n=230

On Good to Soft going 4.1% vs 7.9% · n=148

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 244 18 7.4% −124.01

Flat 240 11 4.6% −78.50

Chase 230 27 11.7% −21.54

NH Flat 10 1 10% +0.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 256 20 7.8% −25.67

Good to Soft 148 6 4.1% −58.00

Soft 139 14 10.1% −59.04

Good to Firm 103 9 8.7% −45.67

Heavy 76 8 10.5% −33.67

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Ayr 148 16 10.8% −4.62

Kelso 129 13 10.1% −34.96

Perth 75 8 10.7% −5.17

Musselburgh 74 2 2.7% −63.25

Hamilton 72 2 2.8% −21.00

Newcastle 47 1 2.1% −40.50

Carlisle 45 4 8.9% −4.50

Hexham 38 4 10.5% −6.30

Cartmel 24 4 16.7% +14.00

Sedgefield 17 3 17.6% −2.75

Haydock 16 0 0% −16.00

Doncaster 11 0 0% −11.00

Aintree 10 0 0% −10.00

Wetherby 7 0 0% −7.00

Pontefract 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 285 26 9.1% −92.38

Class 3 159 10 6.3% −67.75

Class 5 152 13 8.6% −11.67

Class 6 80 5 6.3% −34.25

Class 2 41 3 7.3% −11.00

Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 53 16 30.2% 1.14 −0.38

2nd–3rd fav 147 11 7.5% 0.50 −84.67

4th–6th fav 231 21 9.1% 1.16 −21.00

7th+ in betting 293 9 3.1% 0.91 −118.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Los Nadis (GER)then Jim Goldie 31 3 11 28 Jun 10

Shy Glance (USA)from Alan Swinbank · then Iain Jardine 30 4 8 19 Nov 10

Solis (GER)then James Ewart 28 1 7 19 May 10

Bed Fellow (IRE)from David Barron 24 1 8 3 Oct 10

Hawkit (USA)from Alan Bailey 22 0 6 31 Oct 09

Talk of Saafend (IRE)from Richard Hannon Snr · then Dianne Sayer 21 0 2 25 Aug 10

Monte Mayor One (GB)from Derek Haydn Jones · then Jim Goldie 19 1 7 30 Oct 10

Nelson du Ronceray (FR)from M C Pipe · then Iain Jardine 19 4 7 5 Jun 10

Jordan's Light (USA)from Tim Pitt · then Tim Pitt 19 2 6 7 Sep 09

Quicuyo (GER)then James Ewart 18 2 6 21 Nov 10

First Look (FR)then J P G Hamilton 18 2 7 8 Mar 09

Cast Iron Casey (IRE)from Howard Johnson · then Howard Johnson 17 3 7 6 Nov 10

The 60 most-raced of 82 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from David Pipe (15) and George Charlton (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

31 have since run for another yard, most often for Jim Goldie (5) and Dianne Sayer (4); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0121396101162893

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRyan Mania

23% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.00

RiderRWSR£1

Ryan Mania 169 17 10.1% −56.63

Wilson Renwick 156 14 9% −19.50

Timmy Murphy 64 9 14.1% −1.92

Tony Hamilton 39 4 10.3% +24.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

129

Archived wins

£1.03m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 38 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Marcel (FR) — Albert Bartlett And Sons Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2008 · Class 2

£18,786

Standin Obligation (IRE) — Ashleybank Investments Chase (Handicap Chase) (For the Wilfred & Patricia Crawford Memorial Trophy) Kelso · Apr 2008 · Class 2

£15,655

Marcel (FR) — Extr-Ordin-Air 20th Anniversary Caverton Handicap Chase Kelso · Mar 2008 · Class 2

£12,700

Notable horses

Nelson du Ronceray (FR) Los Nadis (GER) First Look (FR) Shy Glance (USA) Andre Chenier (IRE) Quicuyo (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acatenango (GER) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 9.4% of 637 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 126.

Hernando (FR) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 120.

Red Ransom (USA) 13.3% · 4–30

Progeny have won 9.7% of 3,290 runs since 2008 (303 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13% from 687.

In The Wings (GB) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,518 runs since 2008 (110 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 231. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.4% from 114.

Trans Island (GB) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).

Old Vic (GB) 4.3% · 1–23

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,457 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,457 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Nov 10 Kelso Quicuyo (GER)J: Paddy Aspell Three Diamonds Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 16/1

21 Nov 10 Kelso Raysrock (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick Three Diamonds Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 5/1

21 Nov 10 Kelso More Equity (GB)J: Ryan Mania Ashleybank Investments Reg And Betty Tweedie Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 7/1

19 Nov 10 Musselburgh Real Desire (GB)J: Wilson Renwick Scottish Racing Your Better Bet Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 150/1

19 Nov 10 Musselburgh Shy Glance (USA)J: Campbell Gillies Scottish Racing Your Better Bet Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 100/1

17 Nov 10 Hexham Brootommitty (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick At The Races Sky 415 Juvenile Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 80/1

12 Nov 10 Newcastle Sierra Victor (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick Thompsons Solicitors Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 18/1

12 Nov 10 Newcastle Vallani (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick digibet.com Mares' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 100/1

12 Nov 10 Newcastle Real Desire (GB)J: Wilson Renwick Wsr Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 200/1

09 Nov 10 Sedgefield Tiger King (GER)J: Wilson Renwick Sportpool.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Soft · 11 ran PU 11/1

06 Nov 10 Kelso St Killian's Run (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick Merry Farriers Stag Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 18f · Good · 15 ran 10th 12/1

06 Nov 10 Kelso Cantgeton (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick Mayfield Restaurant Chase (Limited Handicap)Class 2 · 17f · Good · 5 ran 4th 16/1

06 Nov 10 Kelso Planetarium (GB)J: Henry Brooke Graeme Todd Haulage And Friends Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 26f · Good · 11 ran 10th 7/1

06 Nov 10 Kelso Cast Iron Casey (IRE)J: Wilson Renwick Premier Traffic Management Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/2F

06 Nov 10 Kelso More Equity (GB)J: Ryan Mania Ship Inn, Dalkeith Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 9/2

05 Nov 10 Hexham Tiger King (GER)J: Graham Lee Toteswinger Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 10 ran PU 17/2

05 Nov 10 Hexham Corky Dancer (GB)J: Wilson Renwick Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 5/1

31 Oct 10 Carlisle Louisa (GER)J: Wilson Renwick Northern Racing Club 30th Anniversary Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 17 ran 17th 33/1

30 Oct 10 Ayr Bagber (GB)J: Andrew Mullen John Smith's HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 5/1

30 Oct 10 Ayr Monte Mayor One (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Advance Construction HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Monteith's strike rate?: P Monteith has won 57 of 724 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Monteith do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 16 wins from 148 runners (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Monteith?: Ryan Mania, with 169 runners since 2008 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (10.1%).
What is P Monteith's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 721 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.