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Jockey profile

Raphael Mayeur

564 rides in the lifetime window · 326 individual horses
As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 10 days ago 99% of rides over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
28–564
Wins / Runs
5%
Strike rate
n=564
102 (18%)
Placed
0.76
n=557 · 0.68 incl. margin
−325.00
£1 level stake
n=560 at SP · −58.0%
£1.37m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (30 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 564 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.6% Erwan Grall: 10.1% from 89 LTO winners: 13.3% Claiming: 7.3%
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.3% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.09), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 1.4% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.38). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.56 and −182.70 to a £1 stake over 326 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Erwan Grall supplies 16% of the rides and beats the rider's average (10.1% vs 5%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (9.7%, n=103). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 76 rides, 5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Beugnot at Auteuil (FR) (Feb 2025, £40,909).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.7%−1.3
n=326 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −182.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.3%+8.3
n=30 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −5.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%+0.6
n=179 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −30.20
When favourite
34.5%
n=29 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +4.40
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.3%+2.3
n=289 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −102.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
4.7%−0.3
n=190 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −82.90
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
1.4%−3.6
n=72 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −66.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 13.3% vs 5% · n=30
With G Cherel 11.8% vs 5% · n=34
With Erwan Grall 10.1% vs 5% · n=89
Off a 61-180-day break 9.7% vs 5% · n=103
Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5% · n=76
With Mme P Butel & J-L Beaunez 0% vs 5% · n=51
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 392 19 4.8% −215.90
Chase 169 8 4.7% −131.10
Flat 3 1 33.3% +22.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 324 16 4.9% −201.70
Heavy 233 12 5.2% −118.30
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 329 15 4.6% −253.20
Compiegne (FR) 120 7 5.8% −14.70
Enghien (FR) 19 1 5.3% −5.70
Dieppe (FR) 16 0 0% −16.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 15 0 0% −15.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00
Fontainebleau 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Pau 11 1 9.1% +13.00
Nantes (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00
Lyon Parilly (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Craon (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Le Touquet (FR) 2 0 0% —
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 1 50% +3.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 72 1 1.4% −66.50
Class 3 4 2 50% +6.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 10 34.5% 1.21 +4.40
2nd–3rd fav 57 10 17.5% 1.11 −12.40
4th–6th fav 122 4 3.3% 0.34 −71.20
7th+ in betting 352 4 1.1% 0.46 −245.80
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.7% completed · 561 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 169 79.3% 12 3 19 1 0
Hurdle 392 77% 23 5 61 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Pop Art Du Berlais (FR) 10 0 0 23 Dec 20
Ptiturf (FR) 9 3 4 2 May 17
Hupeca De Thaix (FR) 8 2 5 17 Nov 24
Just In Time Blue (FR) 7 1 4 15 Feb 25
Ediboum (FR) 7 0 2 24 Nov 24
Jasmine De Corton (FR) 7 1 3 19 May 24
Melle April (FR) 6 2 2 4 Mar 25
Lee D'Anjou (FR) 6 0 3 29 Jun 20
Best Du Potier (FR) 6 0 0 17 Oct 15
The Robbers (FR) 5 0 1 22 Sep 26
Chardasso (FR) 5 0 2 9 Apr 26
Iyengar De Pail (FR) 5 1 1 27 Sep 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 326 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01031133005655
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardErwan Grall
16% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.35
TrainerRWSR£1
Erwan Grall 89 9 10.1% +16.40
Y Fouin 88 8 9.1% −59.90
Mme P Butel & J-L Beaunez 51 0 0% −51.00
P Lenogue 50 0 0% −49.00
F-M Cottin 48 1 2.1% −24.00
G Cherel 34 4 11.8% −7.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
28
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.37m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 5 wins
Just In Time Blue (FR) — Prix Beugnot (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Feb 2025 · Listed
£40,909
Hupeca De Thaix (FR) — Prix Soulange-Bodin (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023
£25,089
Iyengar De Pail (FR) — Prix Hipparque (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Oct 2023
£24,690

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Martaline (GB) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,350 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Buck's Boum (FR) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.9% of 1,389 runs since 2015 (178 horses).
Gemix (FR) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.4% of 734 runs since 2019 (125 horses).
Cokoriko (FR) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 13.2% of 2,326 runs since 2017 (384 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 12.4% of 6,646 runs since 2008 (727 horses).
Konig Turf (GER) 25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 14.9% of 518 runs since 2015 (76 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 564 · newest first

The latest 50 of 564 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 May 2013 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lily Des Champs (FR)T: B Gourdon Prix FrascatiClass 3 · 18f · Heavy · 11 ran 3rd 11/1
28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louise Lambern (FR)T: W Menuet Prix ElisaClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran F 9/1
22 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Martin (FR)T: S Gouyette Prix Petit FontaineClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 6 ran 3rd 14/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Maestranzo (FR)T: N Paysan Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 9/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Zen Dream (FR)T: N Paysan Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 10/1
14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Nomade (FR)T: E Leray Prix Des Societaires19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 13/2
06 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Louise Lambern (FR)T: W Menuet Prix Sapin17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 50/1
01 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Martin (FR)T: S Gouyette Prix MarittimoClass 2 · 18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Raphael Mayeur's strike rate?
Raphael Mayeur has won 28 of 564 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Raphael Mayeur do best at?
Compiegne (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 120 rides (5.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Raphael Mayeur ride most for?
Erwan Grall, with 89 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.1%).
Is Raphael Mayeur in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Raphael Mayeur's Fair A/E?
0.76, from 557 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 14 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).