What is Robbie Fitzpatrick's strike rate?

Robbie Fitzpatrick has won 48 of 943 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Robbie Fitzpatrick do best at?

Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 96 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Robbie Fitzpatrick ride most for?

Richard Guest, with 328 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (7%).

What is Robbie Fitzpatrick's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 935 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Robbie Fitzpatrick

943 rides in the lifetime window · 282 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jul 2014 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

48–943

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=943

167 (18%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=935 · 0.79 incl. margin

−312.38

£1 level stake

n=943 at SP · −33.1%

£196k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 8% (48 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 943 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Jan Richard Guest: 7% from 328 LTO winners: 8.3%

The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (8.3%, n=96), clear of the rider's 5.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 8.3% (n=48, Fair A/E 0.84), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=109, Fair A/E 0.41). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 4.6% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +16.37 to a £1 stake over 280 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Richard Guest supplied 35% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The market has also underrated the rider at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 1.24 across 235 rides (7.7% strike, +6.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 1.9% over 106 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Celebrated Artist Piran Strange Paints Stakes at Windsor (Nov 2006, £16,596). The standout partner of the record was Egyptian Lord (GB) — 6 wins from 30 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.6%−0.5

n=280 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +16.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

8.3%+3.2

n=48 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −15.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−1.1

n=101 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −13.38

When favourite

25%

n=20 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −5.13

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.8%−3.3

n=109 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −93.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 9.5% vs 5.1% · n=210

With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=41

With Michael Attwater 0% vs 5.1% · n=36

On Good to Firm going 1.9% vs 5.1% · n=106

At Kempton (AW) 8.3% vs 5.1% · n=96

At trips under 6f 7.7% vs 5.1% · n=235

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 942 48 5.1% −311.38

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 613 35 5.7% −215.88

Good 112 4 3.6% −65.00

Good to Firm 106 2 1.9% −74.50

Good to Soft 54 3 5.6% −31.00

Soft 45 2 4.4% +3.00

Heavy 12 1 8.3% +5.00

Firm 1 1 100% +66.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 306 17 5.6% −116.13

Southwell (AW) 141 8 5.7% −23.50

Kempton (AW) 96 8 8.3% −18.50

Lingfield (AW) 70 2 2.9% −57.75

Doncaster 34 1 2.9% −28.50

Thirsk 28 0 0% −28.00

Newcastle 24 3 12.5% +16.00

Nottingham 24 2 8.3% −3.00

Yarmouth 23 1 4.3% +6.00

Beverley 22 2 9.1% +1.00

Hamilton 19 1 5.3% −14.00

Redcar 15 0 0% −15.00

Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00

Haydock 12 0 0% −12.00

Catterick 12 1 8.3% +5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 503 31 6.2% −76.88

Class 5 299 9 3% −193.00

Class 4 77 5 6.5% −17.50

Class 7 33 3 9.1% +6.00

Class 3 21 0 0% −21.00

Class 2 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 25 7 28% 1.17 −2.88

2nd–3rd fav 75 6 8% 0.57 −42.00

4th–6th fav 257 25 9.7% 1.33 +36.50

7th+ in betting 586 10 1.7% 0.58 −304.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ambitious Icarus (GB) 31 3 10 19 Jun 14

Rightcar (GB) 29 3 11 16 Nov 12

Vhujon (IRE) 29 3 4 14 Nov 12

Outlaw Torn (IRE) 28 5 11 12 May 14

Avonvalley (GB) 26 2 10 27 Oct 12

Lord Buffhead (GB) 21 2 5 15 Jul 14

Dingaan (IRE) 20 0 2 17 Sep 12

Ryedale Dancer (IRE) 19 2 6 23 Mar 13

General Tufto (GB) 15 1 3 17 Apr 13

Flow Chart (IRE) 15 0 6 18 May 12

Dickie Le Davoir (GB) 13 3 5 11 May 13

Alpha Tauri (USA) 12 1 5 15 Jul 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 282 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

644343365767

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Guest

35% of all rides
7% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Guest 328 23 7% −124.00

Peter Grayson 195 8 4.1% −95.00

Derek Shaw 88 4 4.5% −4.50

Charles Smith 81 2 2.5% −53.00

Michael Appleby 37 2 5.4% +18.00

Michael Attwater 36 0 0% −36.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

149

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£744k

Prize money

2006

Best season · 61 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Alfie Flits (GB) — Celebrated Artist Piran Strange Paints Stakes (Listed) Windsor · Nov 2006 · Listed

£16,596

Glenviews Youngone (IRE) — Robin Hood Sprint Handicap Nottingham · Jun 2006 · Class 2

£14,249

Stoneacre Lad (IRE) — Castles Peugeot 207 Handicap Leicester · Jun 2006 · Class 3

£11,218

Notable horses

Egyptian Lord (GB) Outlaw Torn (IRE) Garstang (GB) Stoneacre Lad (IRE) Orchestration (IRE) Ambitious Icarus (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bertolini (USA) 10.6% · 5–47

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Mujadil (USA) 8.1% · 3–37

Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,379 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.

Striking Ambition (GB) 8.6% · 3–35

Progeny have won 7.5% of 682 runs since 2008 (45 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 277.

Iffraaj (GB) 15.6% · 5–32

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,971 runs since 2008 (1,091 horses).

Kyllachy (GB) 12.9% · 4–31

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Refuse To Bend (IRE) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,868 runs since 2008 (320 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,035 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,035 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 January 2005 to 15 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Jul 14 Beverley Alpha Tauri (USA)T: Charles Smith 100% Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 13 ran 13th 16/1

15 Jul 14 Beverley Lord Buffhead (GB)T: Richard Guest 100% Racing UK Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 20/1

27 Jun 14 Yarmouth Robbian (GB)T: Charles Smith Colmans Of Norwich 200th Anniversary HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 8/1

19 Jun 14 Ripon Ambitious Icarus (GB)T: Richard Guest North Ormesby Wmc Tony Bennett Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 5th 16/1

14 Jun 14 Leicester Robbian (GB)T: Charles Smith Asfordby HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 8/1

20 May 14 Nottingham Navajo Dream (GB)T: Michael Appleby Phs Washrooms Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 50/1

19 May 14 Southwell (AW) Sleet (IRE)T: Michael Appleby Quicksilverslots Open After 10pm HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 3/1

17 May 14 Thirsk Ambitious Icarus (GB)T: Richard Guest Happy Birthday Mike Wood HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good · 15 ran 10th 20/1

13 May 14 Beverley Eddiemaurice (IRE)T: Richard Guest Colin Hepple - The Gambler Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 7/1

13 May 14 Beverley Robbian (GB)T: Charles Smith Great British Raceday Saturday 24 May Selling StakesClass 6 · 5f · Heavy · 5 ran 1st 16/1

12 May 14 Musselburgh Outlaw Torn (IRE)T: Richard Guest CMS HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

09 May 14 Ripon Ambitious Icarus (GB)T: Richard Guest Theakston Of Masham Paradise Ale HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 20/1

29 Apr 14 Nottingham Eddiemaurice (IRE)T: Richard Guest Follow Us On Facebook And Twitter HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 8th 16/1

28 Apr 14 Southwell (AW) Lord Buffhead (GB)T: Richard Guest 2,000 Guineas Ante Post At Totepool.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 4th 10/1

24 Apr 14 Newcastle Outlaw Torn (IRE)T: Richard Guest Rutherford & Co Handicap (Rnd)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 9/2F

14 Apr 14 Pontefract Lotara (GB)T: Michael Appleby Racing UK Easter Holiday Maiden Fillies' Stakes (BOBIS Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 14/1

12 Apr 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Arabian Flight (GB)T: Michael Appleby Ladbrokes Classified Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 5/1

07 Apr 14 Redcar Eddiemaurice (IRE)T: Richard Guest Racinguk.com/anywhere: 3devices, 1price Handicap (straight-mile Championship Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 33/1

20 Jan 14 Southwell (AW) Captain Scooby (GB)T: Richard Guest Best Odds At Bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 16/1

14 Jan 14 Southwell (AW) Outlaw Torn (IRE)T: Richard Guest Download The Ladbrokes App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robbie Fitzpatrick's strike rate?: Robbie Fitzpatrick has won 48 of 943 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robbie Fitzpatrick do best at?: Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 96 rides (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Robbie Fitzpatrick ride most for?: Richard Guest, with 328 rides since 2008 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (7%).
What is Robbie Fitzpatrick's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 935 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.