Peter Grayson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 140 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.56).
The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (6.1%, n=181), clear of the yard's 2.9% baseline. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 0.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.22 and −76.00 to a £1 stake over 157 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Robbie Fitzpatrick rode 18% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.1%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also read well in Class 7 (8.8%, n=91). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Hong Kong Jockey Club Sprint Heritage Handicap at Ascot (Jul 2007, £43,624). The stable star of the record was Garstang (GB) — 8 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,025 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,025 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 May 2005 to 9 February 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Peter Grayson's strike rate?
- Peter Grayson has won 32 of 1,100 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Peter Grayson do best at?
- Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 11 wins from 181 runners (6.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Peter Grayson?
- Robbie Fitzpatrick, with 195 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (4.1%).
- What is Peter Grayson's Fair A/E?
- 0.56, from 1,094 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.