Shane Butler
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Rode mostly for Seamus Fahey — 47% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Down Royal (10.3%, n=39), clear of the rider's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Navan (0% over 41 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Seamus Fahey supplied 47% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 0.97) — the market has that partnership priced right. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Leopardstown Handicap Chase at Leopardstown (Jan 2014, £60,000). The standout partner of the record was He'llberemembered (IRE) — 5 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 835 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 835 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 March 2005 to 7 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Shane Butler's strike rate?
- Shane Butler has won 37 of 714 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Shane Butler do best at?
- Down Royal by strike rate: 4 wins from 39 rides (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Shane Butler ride most for?
- Seamus Fahey, with 334 rides since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (4.8%).
- What is Shane Butler's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 714 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.