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Trainer profile

Adrian Sexton

353 runners in the last 5 seasons · 43 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
8–353
Wins / Runs
2.3%
Strike rate
n=353
35 (10%)
Placed
0.70
Fair A/E
n=353 · 0.55 incl. margin
−219.28
£1 level stake
n=353 at SP · −62.1%
£109k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
2.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.70).

Deterministic profile computed from 353 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Harry Sexton: 4% from 149
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −172.78 to a £1 stake over 271 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Harry Sexton rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4%, A/E 0.90). The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.00 across 78 runners (0% strike, −78.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2%−0.3
n=50 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −40.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.8%+2.5
n=21 · A/E 2.89 · £1 +5.00
Debutants · first career start
5.3%+3.0
n=19 · A/E 3.78 · £1 +22.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.3
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.3
n=27 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −27.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −2.78
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.2%−0.1
n=271 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −172.78
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 2.3% · n=78
Over 6f – 7f 4.9% vs 2.3% · n=41
Over 1m5f – 2m 4.3% vs 2.3% · n=117
On Good to Soft going 4.4% vs 2.3% · n=68
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 203 6 3% −104.78
Flat 114 2 1.8% −78.50
NH Flat 22 0 0% −22.00
Chase 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 124 3 2.4% −60.50
Soft 78 0 0% −78.00
Good to Soft 68 3 4.4% −8.50
Heavy 48 1 2.1% −46.78
Standard (AW) 28 1 3.6% −18.50
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 28 1 3.6% −18.50
Gowran Park 26 1 3.8% −24.78
Kilbeggan 22 1 4.5% −14.50
Punchestown 22 0 0% −22.00
Naas 21 1 4.8% +5.00
Curragh 20 0 0% −20.00
Sligo 18 1 5.6% −3.00
Ballinrobe 17 0 0% −17.00
Listowel 17 0 0% −17.00
Tramore 15 0 0% −15.00
Clonmel 15 0 0% −15.00
Downpatrick 15 0 0% −15.00
Roscommon 14 1 7.1% +27.00
Fairyhouse 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Limerick 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.65 −3.78
2nd–3rd fav 13 1 7.7% 0.61 −5.50
4th–6th fav 56 1 1.8% 0.30 −48.50
7th+ in betting 279 5 1.8% 1.01 −161.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Katherine (IRE)from James M Barrett 46 3 7 5 Sep 26
Doyen Og (IRE) 20 0 2 17 Oct 26
Dixon Line (GB)from Kevin Prendergast 20 0 3 30 Apr 23
Shing Shilla (IRE) 18 0 1 29 Jun 26
Athagabhain (IRE)from D Buckley 15 1 1 9 Jul 23
Essential Part (IRE)from Peter McCreery 14 0 0 22 Oct 24
Bears Hug (IRE)from Kevin Prendergast · then J P Dempsey 14 1 1 26 Dec 22
Srowland Jack (IRE) 13 0 0 30 Jun 23
Likealightswitch (IRE)from Colin Motherway 12 1 6 17 Oct 26
Kiss My Lucky Egg (GB)from Peter McCreery 12 0 1 7 Jul 24
Sands Castle (IRE) 11 0 1 19 Oct 26
Clarabell (GB)then Adrian McGuinness 10 0 0 30 Mar 25
All 43 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 43 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Colin Motherway (2) and J S Bolger (2); 19 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 7
Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
006000723500
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Sexton
42% of all rides
4% SR · A/E 0.90
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Sexton 149 6 4% −50.78
Conor Lamon 34 0 0% −34.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
20
Archived wins
£272k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Conclave (IRE) — Diamond Vision Novice Hurdle Galway · Oct 2008
£13,020
Carlowsantana (IRE) — Helena Sheahan Memorial Maiden Listowel · Sep 2006
£11,747
Dunroe Lady (IRE) — williamhillcasino.com Handicap Hurdle (81-116) Navan · Nov 2008
£8,983
Notable horses
Katherine (IRE) Bawn Og (IRE) Carlowsantana (IRE) Conclave (IRE) Dunroe Lady (IRE) Ballygill Gale (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shirocco (GER) 6.5% · 3–46
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,161 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Doyen (IRE) 2.6% · 1–39
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).
Mayson (GB) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,365 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 1,728. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.
Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,551 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.
Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,122 runs since 2008 (315 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.6% from 378.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,934 runs since 2008 (386 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 728 · newest first

The latest 50 of 728 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 December 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) One Flash (IRE)J: Shane Foley 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 22/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Sands Castle (IRE)J: Conor Lamon Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 16/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 3rd 20/1
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Likealightswitch (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Master Chefs Handicap Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 12th 28/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) One Flash (IRE)J: Shane Foley Tifrums Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 66/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Katty (IRE)J: Shane Foley Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 9/2
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 5th 9/1
03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Like An Ocean (IRE)J: Harry Sexton BOYLE Sports Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 6th 500/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Likealightswitch (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 18/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Like An Ocean (IRE)J: Conor Lamon Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 13th 40/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Ravens Rock Novice Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 7th 9/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) One Flash (IRE)J: Wesley Joyce Army Equitation Centenary Irish EBF Maiden7f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 40/1
26 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Katty (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Market Square Monasterevin Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 3rd 28/1
18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)J: Daniel King MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (Div I)18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 6/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Spent All Me Money (IRE)J: Conor Lamon Follow Us On X Handicap7f · Good · 22 ran 11th 22/1
05 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Katherine (IRE)J: Conor Lamon Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)10f · Good · 21 ran 19th 100/1
28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Sands Castle (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Coca-Cola HBC Ireland And Northern Ireland 3-Y-O Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 8/1
26 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Katherine (IRE)J: Harry Sexton Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 28/1
23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Katsuit (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Matchbook Exchange Irish EBF Fillies Maiden6f · Good · 15 ran 12th 150/1
20 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Katty (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Fillies Maiden7f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 8th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Adrian Sexton's strike rate?
Adrian Sexton has won 8 of 353 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 2.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Adrian Sexton?
Harry Sexton, with 149 runners since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4%).
Is Adrian Sexton in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Adrian Sexton's Fair A/E?
0.70, from 353 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).