Shane Byrne
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (36 rides). Rode mostly for Sue Smith — 94% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Carlisle (26.8%, n=41), clear of the rider's 11.5% baseline. It is weakest at Wetherby (5.3% over 38 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.1% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.96). Sue Smith supplied 94% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (12.3%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Soft going (18.8%, n=96) and in Class 4 (16.3%, n=190). The record read poorly on Soft going — 7.9% over 89 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.77 across 76 rides (7.9% strike, −32.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was You Know Yourself (IRE) — 5 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Oct–Nov.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 480 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 480 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 November 2005 to 15 March 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Shane Byrne's strike rate?
- Shane Byrne has won 46 of 401 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Shane Byrne do best at?
- Carlisle by strike rate: 11 wins from 41 rides (26.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Shane Byrne ride most for?
- Sue Smith, with 375 rides since 2008 — 94% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (12.3%).
- What is Shane Byrne's Fair A/E?
- 1.10, from 401 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.