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Trainer profile

P J Lally

47 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2010
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–47
Wins / Runs
4.3%
Strike rate
n=47
4 (9%)
Placed
1.22
Fair A/E
n=47 · 0.94 incl. margin
−26.50
£1 level stake
n=47 at SP · −56.4%
£17,018
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.7%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 5.4%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.3
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.3
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 3.40 · £1 +3.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.4%+1.1
n=37 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −16.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 37 2 5.4% −16.50
Chase 8 0 0% −8.00
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Good 10 1 10% −4.50
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% +8.00
Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00
Ballinrobe 6 0 0% −6.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Leopardstown 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Musselburgh 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 1 50% +13.00
Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00
Hamilton 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 1 50% +3.50
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Tipperary 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 3.40 +3.50
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 9 0 0% 0.00 −9.00
7th+ in betting 35 1 2.9% 1.26 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mac Tiernan (IRE)then Patrick Allen 13 2 3 20 Oct 10
Harry Days (IRE)then Patrick Allen 8 0 1 24 Sep 10
Grand Minstrel (IRE)from H Rogers 7 0 0 15 Apr 10
Some Steed (GB) 6 0 0 13 Sep 08
Por Chablis (IRE)from D T Hughes 4 0 0 6 Oct 09
Sole Sister (IRE) 3 0 0 12 Jul 10
Shafrons Canyon (IRE)from P M Rogers 2 0 0 22 Jun 10
Sweeterthanheaven (IRE)then Mrs John Harrington 1 0 0 21 Aug 10
Peg Sayers (IRE) 1 0 0 15 Aug 10
Divinshki (IRE)from Irene J Monaghan 1 0 0 9 May 09
Provincial Lady (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Feb 08
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick Allen (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·000000013250·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Eddie Power 7 0 0% −7.00
Ben Curtis 6 0 0% −6.00
Seamie Heffernan 5 0 0% −5.00
D C Byrne 5 0 0% −5.00
Martin Harley 5 2 40% +15.50
Robbie Egan 4 0 0% −4.00
Sam James 3 0 0% −3.00
Matthew Lawson 3 0 0% −3.00
Chris Hayes 1 0 0% −1.00
Silvestre De Sousa 1 0 0% −1.00
Shane Byrne 1 0 0% −1.00
Sean Flanagan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£24,824
Prize money
2010
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mac Tiernan (IRE) — Navan Lady Golf Captain Handicap (50-80) (Div 2) Navan · Oct 2010
£7,245
The Tinker Murray (IRE) — Thoroughbred County Maiden Hurdle Naas · Aug 2005
£6,910
Mac Tiernan (IRE) — Premier County Handicap (47-65) Clonmel · Sep 2010
£4,830
Notable horses
Mac Tiernan (IRE) The Tinker Murray (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Minashki (IRE) 15.4% · 2–13
Progeny have won 9.4% of 64 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Alhaarth (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 4,158 runs since 2008 (308 horses).
Ashkalani (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.3% of 519 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.7% from 111.
Warrshan (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 0% of 6 runs since 2008 (1 horse). A small sample.
Key Of Luck (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,326 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 136.
Lend A Hand (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.5% from 130. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 71 · newest first

The latest 50 of 71 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 20 October 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 10 Navan Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Martin Harley Navan Lady Golf Captain Handicap (50-80) (Div 2)8f · Good · 15 ran 1st 9/2F
15 Oct 10 Dundalk (AW) Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Johnny Murtagh www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 10/3F
24 Sep 10 Dundalk (AW) Harry Days (IRE)J: Martin Harley Dundalk Stadium On Facebook Handicap (47-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 9/1
05 Sep 10 Dundalk (AW) Harry Days (IRE)J: Martin Harley Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Package Handicap (47-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 16/1
02 Sep 10 Clonmel Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Martin Harley Premier County Handicap (47-65)10f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 1st 14/1
21 Aug 10 Curragh Sweeterthanheaven (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden9f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 66/1
15 Aug 10 Dundalk (AW) Peg Sayers (IRE)J: D C Byrne Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1
09 Aug 10 Ballinrobe Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: D C Byrne Flannery's Bistro Claiming Race9f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 16/1
02 Aug 10 Naas Harry Days (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Naas Handicap (47-65)6f · Good · 20 ran 17th 33/1
12 Jul 10 Dundalk (AW) Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Allen's Pharmacy Handicap (47-60)8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1
12 Jul 10 Dundalk (AW) Sole Sister (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Crowne Plaza Race & Stay Maiden6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 50/1
03 Jul 10 Bellewstown Sole Sister (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Aviva Drogheda Maiden5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 33/1
03 Jul 10 Bellewstown Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 50/1
22 Jun 10 Ballinrobe Shafrons Canyon (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden9f · Firm · 8 ran 8th 25/1
22 Jun 10 Ballinrobe Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Median Auction Race9f · Firm · 4 ran 3rd 20/1
04 Jun 10 Curragh Sole Sister (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Evening Herald - Dublin's No 1 Maiden6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 14th 66/1
06 May 10 Clonmel Harry Days (IRE)J: D C Byrne Narrow Space Gallery Handicap (47-60)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 33/1
25 Apr 10 Navan Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: D C Byrne Irish Racing Calendar Maiden5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 33/1
15 Apr 10 Tipperary Grand Minstrel (IRE)J: D C Byrne Derrinstown Stud Apprentice Handicap (47-60)5f · Good · 11 ran 10th 6/1
28 Mar 10 Leopardstown Harry Days (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Leopardstown Evening Meetings Handicap (50-75)7f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P J Lally's strike rate?
P J Lally has won 2 of 47 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P J Lally's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 47 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).