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Trainer profile

John G Carr

114 runners in the last 5 seasons · 19 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 6 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–114
Wins / Runs
3.5%
Strike rate
n=114
16 (14%)
Placed
1.24
Fair A/E
n=114 · 0.98 incl. margin
−47.00
£1 level stake
n=114 at SP · −41.2%
£53,822
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.24).

Deterministic profile computed from 114 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.7%
The read

The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (8.8%, n=34) and in Chase races (8.3%, n=48). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 0% over 35 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy at Cheltenham (Mar 2007, £205,272). The stable star of the record: Atlas Peak (IRE) — 5 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.5%+1.0
n=22 · A/E 2.78 · £1 +4.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.5
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.5
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.7%+1.2
n=85 · A/E 1.84 · £1 −18.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.5
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m5f – 3m 8.8% vs 3.5% · n=34
In Chase races 8.3% vs 3.5% · n=48
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 3.5% · n=58
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 0% vs 3.5% · n=35
In Hurdle races 0% vs 3.5% · n=34
With claiming riders up 4.7% vs 3.5% · n=85 · A/E 1.84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 48 4 8.3% +19.00
Hurdle 34 0 0% −34.00
NH Flat 18 0 0% −18.00
Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 2 4.2% −14.00
Soft 32 1 3.1% −6.00
Good to Soft 16 1 6.3% −9.00
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kilbeggan 14 1 7.1% −7.00
Downpatrick 14 1 7.1% +5.00
Punchestown 14 1 7.1% +12.00
Sligo 12 0 0% −12.00
Dundalk (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Tramore 9 1 11.1% +6.00
Ballinrobe 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Roscommon 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.98 −15.00
7th+ in betting 90 3 3.3% 1.58 −30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.8% completed · 82 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 48 79.2% 0 0 9 0 1
Hurdle 34 73.5% 2 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB) 45 4 13 14 Oct 26
Talas Kera (IRE) 12 0 2 2 Oct 26
Shore (USA)from Gerard Keane 10 0 0 10 Dec 25
Howsthewoman (IRE)from Gerard Keane 10 0 0 27 Sep 23
Pamelaisbrass (IRE) 7 0 1 19 Sep 26
Rough Diamond (IRE)from Mark Loughnane 6 0 0 31 May 26
Barney Van Winkle (IRE) 6 0 0 15 Nov 24
Mandilou (IRE) 4 0 0 3 May 24
Kippersandcustard (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Aug 26
Tubberfinn Lassie (IRE) 2 0 0 19 Aug 26
Sceptred Isle (GB)from John J Maguire · then G A Kingston 2 0 0 2 Oct 23
Two Pints Pat (GB) 1 0 0 3 Sep 26
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John J Maguire (4) and Gerard Keane (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for G A Kingston (2); 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00033017080000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jake Coen 9 0 0% −9.00
Sarah Kavanagh 8 1 12.5% +11.00
Patrick M O'Brien 8 2 25% +14.00
Eoghan Finegan 8 0 0% −8.00
Adam Caffrey 7 0 0% −7.00
Mr J Dunne 6 0 0% −6.00
Thomas Reilly 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr H C Swan 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Pat Taaffe 5 1 20% +21.00
Jack Kearney 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr B M Coonan 4 0 0% −4.00
Benjamin P Kennedy 4 0 0% −4.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
61
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£970k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sublimity (FR) — Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) Cheltenham · Mar 2007 · Class 1
£205,272
Sublimity (FR) — AES Alleged Stakes (Listed) Curragh · Apr 2005 · Listed
£32,550
Stutter (GB) — Blue Square 1800 905050 Handicap Hurdle (0-140) Punchestown · Apr 2005
£21,158
Notable horses
Atlas Peak (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB) Ballito (IRE) Sublimity (FR) Fergiethelegend (IRE) Benash (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 8.9% · 4–45
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Ribchester (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.5% from 116. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 212.
First Defence (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 14.6% of 541 runs since 2008 (59 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 19.8% from 162.
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Austrian School (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 0% of 13 runs since 2008 (6 horses). A small sample.
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (324 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,491 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,491 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Ms Pandora Briselden Matchbook Betting Exchange (Q.R.) Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 14/1
09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Sarah Kavanagh Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 22/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Talas Kera (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 9/1
30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Sarah Kavanagh Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 6th 33/1
19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Pamelaisbrass (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle21f · Good · 15 ran F 50/1
11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Sarah Kavanagh Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Steeplechase23f · Yielding · 16 ran 13th 14/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Two Pints Pat (GB)J: Mr J Dunne Jim Ryan Racecourse Services (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran PU 80/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Pamelaisbrass (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race19f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 14/1
28 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Eoghan Finegan Racing Again October 25th & 26th Handicap Steeplechase25f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 8/1
21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Patrick M O'Brien New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 1st 6/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Kippersandcustard (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan WTW Willis Insurance Brokers Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 8th 50/1
19 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Tubberfinn Lassie (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Sligo Plumb Centre Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 300/1
16 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Pamelaisbrass (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 66/1
14 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB)J: Patrick M O'Brien I.P.R.S. Handicap Steeplechase22f · Good · 13 ran 1st 14/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Talas Kera (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Bluegrass Horse Feeds Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 16 ran 4th 18/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Greenmeansgo (IRE)J: Mr B M Coonan Alan Dunlop, 90th Birthday Flat Race19f · Good · 6 ran 6th 125/1
09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Tubberfinn Lassie (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan WTW Willis Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 7 ran 7th 200/1
06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Pamelaisbrass (IRE)J: Mr J Dunne Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 50/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Kippersandcustard (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Brian Keenan On-Course Bookmaker Flat Race15.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 12th 125/1
23 Jul 26 Wexford (IRE) Talas Kera (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Cottage Autism Network Handicap Hurdle (Div II)24f · Good · 14 ran 12th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John G Carr's strike rate?
John G Carr has won 4 of 114 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is John G Carr in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John G Carr's Fair A/E?
1.24, from 114 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).