Stephane Breux
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.61).
The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 1.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −102.30 to a £1 stake over 138 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 55 rides (0% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Grand Prix Anjou Bretagne - Haras du Saz at Nantes (FR) (Jul 2020, £17,161).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 1.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,057 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,057 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 16 April 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Stephane Breux's strike rate?
- Stephane Breux has won 4 of 236 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 1.7% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Stephane Breux do best at?
- Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 147 rides (2%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Stephane Breux's Fair A/E?
- 0.61, from 236 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.