Charlotte Alesi
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.82).
It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (1.8% over 55 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=42, Fair A/E 0.37). The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (10.4%, n=48). The record reads poorly off a 8-14-day break — 2.3% over 44 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m – 1m1f: Fair A/E 0.39 across 75 runners (2.7% strike, −27.10 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Oser (IRE) — 6 wins from 94 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2019→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 193 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 193 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2019 to 3 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Charlotte Alesi's strike rate?
- Charlotte Alesi has won 8 of 148 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 5.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Charlotte Alesi do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 43 runners (7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Charlotte Alesi's Fair A/E?
- 0.82, from 148 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.