What is Thomas Henderson's strike rate?

Thomas Henderson has won 64 of 398 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Thomas Henderson do best at?

Compiegne by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Thomas Henderson ride most for?

J-C Rouget, with 71 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (32.4%).

What is Thomas Henderson's Fair A/E?

1.16, from 329 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Thomas Henderson

398 rides in the lifetime window · 280 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Dec 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

64–398

Wins / Runs

16.1%

Strike rate

n=398

137 (34%)

Placed

1.16

Fair A/E

n=329 · 1.18 incl. margin

+134.50

£1 level stake

n=383 at SP · +35.1%

£1.52m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, across both codes, winning on 16% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.16). When claiming the record reads 21% (134 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 398 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr 27.1% when favourite J-C Rouget: 32.4% from 71 Claiming: 20.9% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

Claiming rides have been a positive signal at 20.9% (n=134, Fair A/E 1.50), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.73). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 16.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.33 and +136.10 to a £1 stake over 280 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. J-C Rouget supplies 18% of the rides and beats the rider's average (32.4% vs 16.1%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (22.2%, n=72) and over 6f – 7f (22.4%, n=49). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 3.8% over 53 rides, 12.3pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Air Landais at Auteuil (FR) (Mar 2019, £34,595). Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 16.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

16.1%+0.0

n=280 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +136.10

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.2%+3.1

n=26 · A/E 0.48 · £1 +3.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

15%−1.1

n=133 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +15.50

When favourite

27.1%

n=48 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −4.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

20.9%+4.8

n=134 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +85.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.3%−8.8

n=96 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −5.90

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−12.3

n=53 · A/E 0.73 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J-C Rouget 32.4% vs 16.1% · n=71

In Class 1 3.8% vs 16.1% · n=53

In Group / Graded races 3.8% vs 16.1% · n=53

In Chase races 9.1% vs 16.1% · n=66

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 22.2% vs 16.1% · n=72

Over 6f – 7f 22.4% vs 16.1% · n=49

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 210 43 20.5% +121.80

Hurdle 122 15 12.3% +10.30

Chase 66 6 9.1% +2.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 149 19 12.8% +24.30

Heavy 92 12 13% −11.40

Good 62 12 19.4% +42.30

Standard (AW) 48 9 18.8% +32.30

Good to Soft 42 9 21.4% +33.20

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 132 16 12.1% +39.80

Deauville (FR) 43 5 11.6% +15.40

Compiegne 40 5 12.5% −11.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 20 4 20% −3.90

Bordeaux Le Bouscat 19 5 26.3% +26.40

Longchamp (FR) 17 4 23.5% +29.70

La Teste De Buch 14 3 21.4% +1.80

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 14 3 21.4% −2.10

Toulouse 14 2 14.3% +0.00

Chantilly (FR) 12 1 8.3% −1.90

Pau 8 2 25% +7.90

Fontainebleau 7 2 28.6% +2.70

Mont-De-Marsan 7 3 42.9% +14.20

Dax 6 0 0% −6.00

Pornichet-La Baule 4 1 25% +0.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 53 2 3.8% +3.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 14 28% 0.77 −4.20

2nd–3rd fav 96 29 30.2% 1.51 +100.10

4th–6th fav 107 11 10.3% 1.19 +32.90

7th+ in betting 130 5 3.8% 1.11 +5.70

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rooke (GB) 7 0 2 28 May 16

Chestnut Dream (FR) 6 1 4 14 Jul 21

Sudiste (FR) 6 1 2 1 Apr 18

Heva Rose (FR) 5 0 3 7 Mar 21

Lazzaz (FR) 5 1 2 13 Dec 14

Albahar (FR) 5 2 3 4 Jul 14

Ultranet (FR) 4 1 2 29 Nov 19

Naoura (FR) 4 0 4 4 Jun 18

Mongolia (FR) 4 0 0 7 Jun 16

Bantu (FR) 4 2 2 2 Sep 15

Two Days In Paris (FR) 4 3 3 28 Jun 13

Amok (IRE) 4 1 2 30 Aug 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 280 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

330201815213014121930

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJ-C Rouget

18% of all rides
32.4% SR · A/E 1.00

TrainerRWSR£1

J-C Rouget 71 23 32.4% +16.20

G Cherel 59 13 22% +47.90

D De Watrigant 30 7 23.3% +63.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.52m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 14 wins

Spirit Sun (FR) — Prix Air Landais (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2019 · Listed

£34,595

Laskadine (FR) — Prix Finot (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2018 · Listed

£25,487

Ultranet (FR) — Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2019

£22,703

Notable horses

Two Days In Paris (FR) Albahar (FR) Bantu (FR) Majurca (FR) Mrs Nobody (FR) Lacarolina (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Martaline (GB) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,351 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Califet (FR) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,814 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Poliglote (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Saint Des Saints (FR) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 15% of 5,367 runs since 2008 (645 horses).

Linda's Lad (GB) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,324 runs since 2012 (186 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.6% from 216.

Shirocco (GER) 25% · 2–8

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,213 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 398 · newest first

The latest 50 of 398 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 12 March 2011 to 23 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Dec 24 Deauville (FR) Global Venture (GB)T: D Henderson Prix de Cuigny (Claimer) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 23/10F

10 Nov 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Global Venture (GB)T: D Henderson Prix Herod () (2yo) (Turf)7f · Heavy · 8 ran 7th 30/1

21 Sep 22 Chantilly (FR) Campello (FR)T: Julian Resimont Prix de la Ville de Lamorlaye (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 37/1

21 Sep 22 Chantilly (FR) Guido (IRE)T: Julian Resimont Prix du Poncel (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 11th 52/1

06 Mar 22 Auteuil (FR) Idole Mome (FR)T: J Planque Prix Rohan (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+ Unraced Over Obstacles) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 14 ran F 62/1

28 Feb 22 Auteuil (FR) Stormicaya (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Bright Zagreus (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 17 ran PU 61/10

28 Feb 22 Auteuil (FR) Bandero (FR)T: Mme A-S Pacault Prix Robert de Clermont-Tonnerre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 30/1

28 Feb 22 Auteuil (FR) Koregaon Park (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Beugnot (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 21/1

17 Feb 22 Fontainebleau (FR) Vernon Subutex (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix du Chateau de Fontainebleau (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 14/1

14 Nov 21 Auteuil (FR) Accentus (FR)T: E & G Leenders Prix Metatero (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 4 ran F —

13 Nov 21 Compiegne (FR) Hands Up Sivola (FR)T: Erwan Grall Prix Astoun Blount (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 27/1

06 Nov 21 Auteuil (FR) Feu D'Artifice (FR)T: E & G Leenders Prix Cacao (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Heavy · 15 ran F 19/1

21 Oct 21 Auteuil (FR) Hirsute (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Cap (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 17 ran PU 63/1

10 Oct 21 Auteuil (FR) Accentus (FR)T: E & G Leenders Prix Andre Adele (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran 8th 42/1

25 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Anjou Bleu (FR)T: Daniela Mele Prix Nous Aussi (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 11 ran 10th 12/1

25 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Kerlaz (CZE)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Julien Decrion (Chase) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 11 ran 6th 11/2

25 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Hirsute (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Jumna (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran BD 17/1

10 Sep 21 Compiegne (FR) Ironique (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Nuage (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 8 ran 4th 89/10

07 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Havania (FR)T: J-L Pelletan Prix Pelat (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 7 ran 7th 25/1

01 Sep 21 Auteuil (FR) Beau Diamant (FR)T: Mrs E Collinson Prix Recruit II (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 12th 39/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Henderson's strike rate?: Thomas Henderson has won 64 of 398 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 16.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Henderson do best at?: Compiegne by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 rides (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Thomas Henderson ride most for?: J-C Rouget, with 71 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (32.4%).
What is Thomas Henderson's Fair A/E?: 1.16, from 329 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.