What is Tjade Collier's strike rate?

Tjade Collier has won 61 of 670 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Tjade Collier do best at?

Carlisle by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 rides (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Tjade Collier ride most for?

Sue Smith, with 499 rides since 2008 — 74% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.2%).

What is Tjade Collier's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 669 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Tjade Collier

670 rides in the lifetime window · 221 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2011 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

61–670

Wins / Runs

9.1%

Strike rate

n=670

158 (24%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=669 · 0.91 incl. margin

−141.21

£1 level stake

n=670 at SP · −21.1%

£530k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (56 rides). Rode mostly for Sue Smith — 74% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 670 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Feb–Mar 41.9% when favourite Sue Smith: 10.2% from 499 LTO winners: 16.1% Claiming: 11.5% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (17.6%, n=34) and Hexham (15.4%, n=52) — all clear of the rider's 9.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.1% (n=56, Fair A/E 1.10), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 5% (n=161, Fair A/E 0.95). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 11.5% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +8.29 to a £1 stake over 418 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Sue Smith supplied 74% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (10.2%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in NH Flat races (16.3%, n=49) and on Heavy going (15.4%, n=52). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (Mar 2008, £57,020). The standout partner of the record was Flake (GB) — 8 wins from 39 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.2%−2.9

n=177 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −80.75

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.1%+7.0

n=56 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −2.46

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.9%−1.2

n=127 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −29.75

When favourite

41.9%

n=31 · A/E 1.62 · £1 +12.04

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.5%+2.4

n=418 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +8.29

Big fields · 14+ runners

5%−4.1

n=161 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −10.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

25%+15.9

n=12 · A/E 7.97 · £1 +69.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Carlisle 17.6% vs 9.1% · n=34

On last-time-out winners 16.1% vs 9.1% · n=56

In NH Flat races 16.3% vs 9.1% · n=49

At Hexham 15.4% vs 9.1% · n=52

On Heavy going 15.4% vs 9.1% · n=52

With debutants 3.1% vs 9.1% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 315 32 10.2% −56.46

Hurdle 293 21 7.2% −84.00

NH Flat 49 8 16.3% +12.25

Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 248 23 9.3% −35.42

Soft 143 12 8.4% −57.12

Good to Soft 130 10 7.7% −53.00

Good to Firm 94 8 8.5% −31.25

Heavy 52 8 15.4% +38.58

Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 73 9 12.3% −7.75

Market Rasen 55 4 7.3% −36.75

Hexham 52 8 15.4% +22.75

Newcastle 44 4 9.1% +7.50

Wetherby 44 4 9.1% −11.50

Uttoxeter 43 4 9.3% +0.00

Haydock 42 2 4.8% −23.50

Catterick 41 3 7.3% −24.00

Southwell 36 5 13.9% +13.00

Carlisle 34 6 17.6% −13.29

Doncaster 33 2 6.1% −25.00

Aintree 30 3 10% +50.25

Bangor-on-Dee 26 1 3.8% −23.75

Kelso 18 1 5.6% −13.67

Cartmel 16 1 6.3% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 295 28 9.5% −108.71

Class 3 161 12 7.5% −40.00

Class 5 103 10 9.7% −30.75

Class 2 52 3 5.8% −30.50

Class 6 43 5 11.6% +3.75

Class 1 16 3 18.8% +65.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 44 16 36.4% 1.49 +11.04

2nd–3rd fav 141 19 13.5% 0.91 −35.75

4th–6th fav 206 14 6.8% 0.88 −69.50

7th+ in betting 279 12 4.3% 1.19 −47.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 608 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 315 83.5% 16 14 20 1 1

Hurdle 293 87.4% 6 2 27 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Daldini (GB) 27 3 7 19 Jan 11

Flake (GB) 25 4 10 4 Nov 10

Auroras Encore (IRE) 20 4 6 20 Nov 10

Leac An Scail (IRE) 14 0 4 4 Feb 11

Teenando (IRE) 14 2 4 20 Jun 10

Woody Valentine (USA) 13 3 6 27 Jun 10

Darina's Boy (GB) 12 1 5 20 May 10

I'm Your Man (GB) 12 3 5 16 Mar 10

Work Boy (GB) 9 1 3 12 Jan 11

Garleton (IRE) 9 4 6 9 Apr 10

Stagecoach Diamond (GB) 9 0 2 6 Feb 10

Pugnacity (GB) 9 1 1 29 Aug 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 221 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1012178122547994

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardSue Smith

74% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.08

TrainerRWSR£1

Sue Smith 499 51 10.2% −58.21

Evelyn Slack 62 8 12.9% +5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£706k

Prize money

2009

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Himalayan Trail (GB) — John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Mar 2008 · Listed

£57,020

Auroras Encore (IRE) — John Smith's Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Aintree · Apr 2008 · Listed

£34,206

Auroras Encore (IRE) — totepool Handicap Chase (For The Tom Wragg Trophy) (Listed) Uttoxeter · May 2010 · Listed

£28,505

Notable horses

Flake (GB) Daldini (GB) Auroras Encore (IRE) Garleton (IRE) Woody Valentine (USA) I'm Your Man (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Zilzal (USA) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 9.6% of 531 runs since 2008 (42 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 137.

Cloudings (IRE) 18.5% · 5–27

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,885 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 11.1% · 3–27

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Classic Cliche (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.

Teenoso (USA) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 9.1% of 110 runs since 2008 (13 horses).

Alflora (IRE) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 944 · newest first

The latest 50 of 944 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 7 May 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 May 11 Thirsk Hill Tribe (GB)T: Richard Guest Calverts Carpets HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 18 ran 13th 33/1

04 May 11 Southwell (AW) Coracle (GB)T: David Nicholls ladbrokesbingo.com Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 50/1

03 May 11 Catterick Patch Patch (GB)T: Michael Dods Don't Miss Totesport Saturday 28th May HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

30 Apr 11 Thirsk Ginger Ted (IRE)T: Richard Guest totetrifecta Flexi Betting Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 6th 16/1

27 Apr 11 Newcastle Pengula (IRE)T: Robert Johnson STP Construction Claiming Stakes (Str)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 150/1

24 Apr 11 Musselburgh Coracle (GB)T: David Nicholls Bet totepool On 0800 221 221 Easter HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good · 9 ran 9th 25/1

23 Apr 11 Musselburgh Dr Red Eye (GB)T: David Nicholls Racing UK Handicap (Qualifier For The Betfair Bonus Scottish Racing Sprint Final)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 4/1

19 Apr 11 Pontefract Jackson (BRZ)T: Richard Guest Pontefract Marathon HandicapClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 9th 28/1

19 Apr 11 Pontefract Red Samantha (IRE)T: Alan Berry Irish Night On Friday Evening 27th May Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 9th 100/1

18 Apr 11 Redcar Royal Blade (IRE)T: Alan Berry Book Tickets On-Line At redcarracing.co.uk Apprentice Claiming StakesClass 6 · 6f · Firm · 11 ran 7th 40/1

16 Apr 11 Haydock Coracle (GB)T: David Nicholls Turftv.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 11th 33/1

12 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Army of Stars (IRE)T: James Given 32Red.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 12/1

17 Feb 11 Kelso Camden George (IRE)T: Sue Smith Lloyd Vaderstad Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 22.5f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

15 Feb 11 Newcastle Wee George (GB)T: Sue Smith Newcastle Flooring Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 8 ran F 9/1

15 Feb 11 Newcastle Udaya Klum (GB)T: Sue Smith Parklands Golf Course Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 40/1

08 Feb 11 Sedgefield Cloudy Too (IRE)T: Sue Smith John Wade Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

05 Feb 11 Wetherby Pinerolo (GB)T: Sue Smith wetherbyracing.co.uk Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 10th 18/1

04 Feb 11 Bangor-on-Dee Leac An Scail (IRE)T: Sue Smith Cheltenham Preview Evening 3rd March Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 40/1

04 Feb 11 Bangor-on-Dee Vintage Star (IRE)T: Sue Smith Private Parties In The Paddock Maiden Open National Hunt Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

04 Feb 11 Bangor-on-Dee Twice Lucky (GB)T: Sue Smith Darlands Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tjade Collier's strike rate?: Tjade Collier has won 61 of 670 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.1% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tjade Collier do best at?: Carlisle by strike rate: 6 wins from 34 rides (17.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tjade Collier ride most for?: Sue Smith, with 499 rides since 2008 — 74% of the total. That pairing has won 51 (10.2%).
What is Tjade Collier's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 669 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.