No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 50 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66).
Deterministic profile computed from 229 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 2.8%
The read
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −73.00 to a £1 stake over 143 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The market has also underrated the yard in Class 6: Fair A/E 1.23 across 66 runners (4.5% strike, +8.00 to a £1 stake). The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 8-14-day break: Fair A/E 0.00 across 55 runners (0% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 2.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.9%−0.7
n=53 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −19.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.6
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
Debutants · first career start
4.5%+1.9
n=22 · A/E 2.47 · £1 +12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.8%+0.2
n=143 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −73.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break0% vs 2.6% · n=55
On Good to Soft going0% vs 2.6% · n=38
On Good to Firm going0% vs 2.6% · n=36
On Standard (AW) going0% vs 2.6% · n=32
Off a 15-30-day break4.6% vs 2.6% · n=65
In Class 64.5% vs 2.6% · n=66 · A/E 1.23
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle10921.8%−79.00
Flat6623%−26.00
NH Flat3213.1%+2.00
Chase2214.5%+45.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good9244.3%+39.00
Good to Soft3800%−38.00
Good to Firm3600%−36.00
Standard (AW)3200%−32.00
Soft2214.5%+12.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Firm11100%+5.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Uttoxeter2926.9%+18.00
Market Rasen2514%−8.00
Towcester2400%−24.00
Southwell2114.8%+46.00
Southwell (AW)1600%−16.00
Fakenham1600%−16.00
Wolverhampton (AW)1600%−16.00
Huntingdon1100%−11.00
Wetherby1000%−10.00
Beverley9222.2%+31.00
Newcastle800%−8.00
Catterick600%−6.00
Doncaster600%−6.00
Leicester500%−5.00
Stratford400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 57822.6%+2.00
Class 47511.3%−58.00
Class 66634.5%+8.00
Class 3900%−9.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite100%0.00−1.00
2nd–3rd fav1815.6%0.33−12.00
4th–6th fav5112%0.37−34.00
7th+ in betting15942.5%1.31−11.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m8122.5%−34.00
2m1f – 2m4f5223.8%+32.00
2m5f – 3m2900%−29.00
1m2f – 1m4f2414.2%−18.00
1m – 1m1f2015%+14.00
6f – 7f1900%−19.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20086511.5%−48.00
20093512.9%−29.00
20102200%−22.00
20114812.1%−14.00
20125935.1%+55.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps7045.7%+50.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners9544.2%+8.00
8-10 runners5423.7%+14.00
14-16 runners4900%−49.00
5-7 runners2500%−25.00
17+ runners400%−4.00
2-4 runners200%−2.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 47 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Irene J Monaghan (2) and Jimmy O'Reilly (2); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.
17 have since run for another yard, most often for Garry Woodward (5) and Christopher Kellett (3); 30 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
005064570000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 10.1% of 89 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Rossini (USA)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 8.2% of 999 runs since 2008 (74 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.8% from 122. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.5% from 179.
Bach (IRE)0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Jendali (USA)0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 6.3% of 142 runs since 2008 (10 horses).
Rainbow High (GB)7.1% · 1–14
Progeny have won 6.6% of 560 runs since 2008 (48 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.9% from 132. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.2% from 158.
Hawkeye (IRE)10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 6.2% of 275 runs since 2008 (28 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 486 · newest first
The latest 50 of 486 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 January 2005 to 29 November 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Owen Brennan's strike rate?
Owen Brennan has won 6 of 229 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Owen Brennan's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 229 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Owen Brennan·SR 2.6%·A/E 0.66
KTB
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