What is Valentin Morin's strike rate?

Valentin Morin has won 5 of 65 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Valentin Morin do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Valentin Morin in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Valentin Morin's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 61 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Valentin Morin

65 rides in the last 5 seasons · 46 individual horses

As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 13 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

5–65

Wins / Runs

7.7%

Strike rate

n=65

15 (23%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=61 · 0.84 incl. margin

−32.70

£1 level stake

n=62 at SP · −52.7%

£304k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

6.7%−1.0

n=45 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −20.70

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

33.3%+25.6

n=3 · A/E 2.99 · £1 +4.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.5%+1.8

n=21 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −15.90

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5%−2.7

n=20 · A/E 1.51 · £1 −11.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−7.7

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18.8%+11.1

n=16 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −3.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Heavy going 12.9% vs 7.7% · n=31

At Auteuil (FR) 2.9% vs 7.7% · n=34

On Soft going 3.1% vs 7.7% · n=32

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 5.6% vs 7.7% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 46 3 6.5% −28.00

Chase 19 2 10.5% −4.70

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 32 1 3.1% −30.00

Heavy 31 4 12.9% −1.70

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Good 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 34 1 2.9% −29.90

Compiegne (FR) 16 3 18.8% +9.20

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Pau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Granville-St Pair Sur Mer (FR) 1 0 0% —

Machecoul (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Orleans (FR) 1 0 0% —

Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Angers (FR) 1 1 100% —

Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 3 18.8% −3.90

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.72 −4.90

4th–6th fav 18 3 16.7% 1.96 +7.20

7th+ in betting 35 0 0% 0.00 −35.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.5% completed · 65 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 19 68.4% 3 1 2 0 0

Hurdle 46 87% 2 0 4 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Joyeuse Allen (FR) 5 0 2 7 May 24

Karakta (FR) 4 2 2 6 Apr 24

Take The Risk (FR) 4 1 2 11 Nov 23

Maniysa Bleue (FR) 3 0 1 10 Sep 24

Izgor De Viette (FR) 2 0 0 10 Sep 24

Zarakhan (FR) 2 1 2 21 Apr 24

Ginja Des Taillons (FR) 2 0 0 17 Mar 24

Kissman (FR) 2 0 0 10 Nov 23

Klovis (FR) 2 0 0 27 Jun 23

Fantastic Sun (FR) 2 0 1 11 Jun 22

Georgia Parcs (FR) 2 0 0 6 May 22

Ritano Guapo (FR) 1 0 1 14 Oct 26

All 46 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

·09000000044·

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

E D'Andigne 27 4 14.8% −8.00

T Viel 13 1 7.7% −1.70

G Lassaussaye 4 0 0% −4.00

A Lefeuvre 3 0 0% −3.00

L Viel 2 0 0% −2.00

Matthieu Nadot 1 0 0% −1.00

J-L Pelletan 1 0 0% −1.00

C Herpin 1 0 0% −1.00

E & G Leenders 1 0 0% −1.00

Daniela Mele 1 0 0% −1.00

Hugo Merienne 1 0 0% −1.00

Francois Nicolle 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£381k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 3 wins

Karakta (FR) — Prix General de Saint-Didier (Hurdle) (3yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2023 · Grade 3

£53,761

Zarakhan (FR) — Prix Hubert d'Aillieres (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2024 · Listed

£35,200

Take The Risk (FR) — Prix Gaston Despres - Prix du Salon du Cheval (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Angers (FR) · Nov 2023 · Listed

£30,159

Notable horses

Karakta (FR) Doctor Fontenaille (FR) Take The Risk (FR) Zarakhan (FR) Brenus D'Artaix (FR) Ange L'Hermitage (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Karaktar (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 12.7% of 724 runs since 2008 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.6% from 260. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.6% from 140.

Fly With Me (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 13.4% of 201 runs since 2008 (26 horses).

Gemix (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 10.1% of 722 runs since 2008 (123 horses).

Choeur Du Nord (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 13.7% of 779 runs since 2008 (134 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 18.5% from 119.

No Risk At All (FR) 25% · 1–4

Progeny have won 14.4% of 3,124 runs since 2008 (433 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.4% from 943.

Buck's Boum (FR) 0% · 0–3

Progeny have won 11% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (176 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 266.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 27 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 104 · newest first

The latest 50 of 104 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2018 to 14 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Ritano Guapo (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 3/1

12 Jun 25 Dieppe (FR) Alba Aurelia (FR)T: Mme S Quere Prix du Jardin Vasterikal (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 27/1

12 Jun 25 Dieppe (FR) Briac D'Echal (FR)T: B Le Regent Prix des Paysagistes (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 21/1

14 May 25 Compiegne (FR) Lewis Baie (FR)T: Matthieu Nadot Prix Galafron (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 93/1

14 May 25 Compiegne (FR) Wondermix (FR)T: T Viel Prix A Mi Manera (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 9 ran 7th 29/1

30 Nov 24 Auteuil (FR) Milord Du Lemo (FR)T: T Viel Prix Boum (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 15/1

29 Nov 24 Compiegne (FR) Ange L'Hermitage (FR)T: T Viel Prix Hamilton (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 103/10

24 Nov 24 Auteuil (FR) Toronado Bello (FR)T: J-L Pelletan Prix de Biarritz (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 10/1

11 Nov 24 Compiegne (FR) Hemevoici (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Grand Steeple-Chase-Cross-Country de Compiegne () (5yo+) (Turf)27f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 14/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Izgor De Viette (FR)T: T Viel Prix Mortemart (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran 13th 62/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Lemnos (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix des Platanes (Hurdle) () (3yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 8th 14/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Maniysa Bleue (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Weather Permitting (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo Unraced Over Fences) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 81/10

18 May 24 Auteuil (FR) Khal Tyron (FR)T: Hugo Merienne Prix le Guales de Mezaubran (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 5th 26/1

13 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Idee Du Choeur (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix du Cher (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran 7th 5/1

09 May 24 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Light Of Heart (FR)T: G Lassaussaye Prix du Domaine d'Avrille (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 3rd 31/5

07 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Joyeuse Allen (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Jument Radio Paris (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 6 ran UR 56/10

02 May 24 Dieppe (FR) Morning Flight (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Night And Day (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 12/1

27 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Maniysa Bleue (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Girofla (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 5 ran 4th 74/10

21 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Zarakhan (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Leon Rambaud (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 2nd 33/10

06 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Karakta (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix de Pepinvast (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 87/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Valentin Morin's strike rate?: Valentin Morin has won 5 of 65 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 27 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Valentin Morin do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 rides (2.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Valentin Morin in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Valentin Morin's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 61 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.