What is Valentin Morin's strike rate?

Valentin Morin has won 8 of 106 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Valentin Morin do best at?

Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 53 rides (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Valentin Morin in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Valentin Morin's Fair A/E?

1.14, from 101 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Valentin Morin

106 rides in the lifetime window · 75 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 5 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

8–106

Wins / Runs

7.5%

Strike rate

n=106

24 (23%)

Placed

1.14

Fair A/E

n=101 · 0.94 incl. margin

−13.60

£1 level stake

n=102 at SP · −13.3%

£386k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14).

Deterministic profile computed from 106 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 8.6% First rides: 8% Claiming: 8.3%

The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.77). The rider also reads well in Chase races (11.8%, n=34) and on Heavy going (11.1%, n=45). The market has consistently overbet the rider on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.85 across 58 rides (5.2% strike, −0.80 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix General de Saint-Didier at Compiegne (FR) (Nov 2023, £53,761).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8%+0.5

n=75 · A/E 1.45 · £1 +9.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+9.2

n=6 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +1.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.6%+1.1

n=35 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −6.70

When favourite

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.3%+0.8

n=48 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +21.10

Big fields · 14+ runners

3%−4.5

n=33 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −9.80

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

18.8%+11.3

n=16 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −3.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 11.8% vs 7.5% · n=34

On Heavy going 11.1% vs 7.5% · n=45

On Soft going 5.2% vs 7.5% · n=58

With debutants 5.1% vs 7.5% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 72 4 5.6% −29.80

Chase 34 4 11.8% +16.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 58 3 5.2% −0.80

Heavy 45 5 11.1% −10.80

Good 2 0 0% −1.00

Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 53 3 5.7% −20.80

Compiegne (FR) 17 3 17.6% +8.20

Clairefontaine (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Dieppe (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Nantes (FR) 4 0 0% −3.00

Pau (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Angers (FR) 3 1 33.3% −2.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Granville-St Pair Sur Mer (FR) 1 0 0% —

Machecoul (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Orleans (FR) 1 0 0% —

Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 1 100% +30.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 3 18.8% −3.90

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00

2nd–3rd fav 14 2 14.3% 0.91 −5.00

4th–6th fav 25 3 12% 1.48 +0.20

7th+ in betting 62 2 3.2% 1.21 −7.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

79.2% completed · 106 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 34 67.6% 4 2 4 0 1

Hurdle 72 84.7% 2 0 9 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Joyeuse Allen (FR) 5 0 2 7 May 24

Doctor Fontenaille (FR) 5 1 3 12 Jun 21

Karakta (FR) 4 2 2 6 Apr 24

Take The Risk (FR) 4 1 2 11 Nov 23

Fripon De Ballon (FR) 4 0 0 6 Oct 21

Maniysa Bleue (FR) 3 0 1 10 Sep 24

Georgia Parcs (FR) 3 0 0 6 May 22

Ellipse (FR) 3 0 0 7 Oct 20

Ritano Guapo (FR) 2 0 1 9 Nov 26

Izgor De Viette (FR) 2 0 0 10 Sep 24

Zarakhan (FR) 2 1 2 21 Apr 24

Ginja Des Taillons (FR) 2 0 0 17 Mar 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 75 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

·0900600903625

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

E D'Andigne 27 4 14.8% −8.00

A Lefeuvre 17 1 5.9% +6.20

T Viel 16 1 6.3% −4.70

D Retif 6 0 0% −5.00

P & C Peltier 5 1 20% +26.00

G Lassaussaye 5 0 0% −5.00

J Boisnard 3 0 0% −3.00

L Viel 2 0 0% −2.00

F Foucher 2 0 0% −2.00

D Delorme 2 0 0% −2.00

Mme Stephanie Jaffrelot-Bedon 2 0 0% −2.00

E & G Leenders 1 0 0% −1.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£386k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 3 wins

Karakta (FR) — Prix General de Saint-Didier (Hurdle) (3yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2023 · Grade 3

£53,761

Zarakhan (FR) — Prix Hubert d'Aillieres (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2024 · Listed

£35,200

Take The Risk (FR) — Prix Gaston Despres - Prix du Salon du Cheval (Chase) () (5yo+) (Turf) Angers (FR) · Nov 2023 · Listed

£30,159

Notable horses

Karakta (FR) Doctor Fontenaille (FR) Take The Risk (FR) Zarakhan (FR) Brenus D'Artaix (FR) Ange L'Hermitage (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Doctor Dino (FR) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 15.9% of 3,242 runs since 2013 (500 horses). Strongest on Good going: 19.9% from 567. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 212. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 699. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.7% from 138.

No Risk At All (FR) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 14.5% of 3,175 runs since 2016 (439 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.6% from 957.

Karaktar (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 12.8% of 750 runs since 2021 (150 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.7% from 267. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 18.3% from 142.

Fly With Me (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 13.3% of 203 runs since 2021 (26 horses).

Gemix (FR) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 10.4% of 734 runs since 2019 (125 horses).

Balko (FR) 0% · 0–4

Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,667 runs since 2011 (297 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 106 · newest first

The latest 50 of 106 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 June 2018 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Ritano Guapo (FR)T: J Boisnard Grande Course De Haies De l'Ouest17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 4/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Narandja De Mee (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Point BleuClass 3 · 17f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 16/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Ritano Guapo (FR)T: J Boisnard Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 3/1

12 Jun 25 Dieppe (FR) Alba Aurelia (FR)T: Mme S Quere Prix du Jardin Vasterikal (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 27/1

12 Jun 25 Dieppe (FR) Briac D'Echal (FR)T: B Le Regent Prix des Paysagistes (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 21/1

14 May 25 Compiegne (FR) Lewis Baie (FR)T: Matthieu Nadot Prix Galafron (Hurdle) (Claimer) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 9th 93/1

14 May 25 Compiegne (FR) Wondermix (FR)T: T Viel Prix A Mi Manera (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Very Soft · 9 ran 7th 29/1

30 Nov 24 Auteuil (FR) Milord Du Lemo (FR)T: T Viel Prix Boum (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 15/1

29 Nov 24 Compiegne (FR) Ange L'Hermitage (FR)T: T Viel Prix Hamilton (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 103/10

24 Nov 24 Auteuil (FR) Toronado Bello (FR)T: J-L Pelletan Prix de Biarritz (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo) (Turf)17.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 4th 10/1

11 Nov 24 Compiegne (FR) Hemevoici (FR)T: Francois Nicolle Grand Steeple-Chase-Cross-Country de Compiegne () (5yo+) (Turf)27f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 14/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Izgor De Viette (FR)T: T Viel Prix Mortemart (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 18 ran 13th 62/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Lemnos (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix des Platanes (Hurdle) () (3yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran 8th 14/1

10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Maniysa Bleue (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Weather Permitting (Chase) (Conditions) (3yo Unraced Over Fences) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran F 81/10

18 May 24 Auteuil (FR) Khal Tyron (FR)T: Hugo Merienne Prix le Guales de Mezaubran (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 5th 26/1

13 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Idee Du Choeur (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix du Cher (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Very Soft · 8 ran 7th 5/1

09 May 24 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Light Of Heart (FR)T: G Lassaussaye Prix du Domaine d'Avrille (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 3rd 31/5

07 May 24 Compiegne (FR) Joyeuse Allen (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Jument Radio Paris (Chase) (AQPS Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 6 ran UR 56/10

02 May 24 Dieppe (FR) Morning Flight (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Night And Day (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo Fillies) (Turf)17f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 12/1

27 Apr 24 Auteuil (FR) Maniysa Bleue (FR)T: E D'Andigne Prix Girofla (Hurdle) () (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 5 ran 4th 74/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Valentin Morin's strike rate?: Valentin Morin has won 8 of 106 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Valentin Morin do best at?: Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 3 wins from 53 rides (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Valentin Morin in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Valentin Morin's Fair A/E?: 1.14, from 101 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.